Saturday, April 2, 2016

Four Things We Are Watching Next Week: Wintry North, Warm West, Storms Return, Wet Pacific Northwest

Linda Lam
Published: April 2,2016

April can be a month of lots of weather changes and depending on where you live, the first full week of April may not feel like spring, but more like winter or even summer.
Next week will feature a low pressure system that will bring cold temperatures and some snow to portions of the Upper Midwest and Northeast. This same system will also bring another round of rain, with a few thunderstorms, from the Plains to the Southeast. Meanwhile, wet weather will start the week in the Pacific Northwest but most of the West will enjoy above-average temperatures.
Below we go into more detail on each area that we are watching next week.

1) More Like Winter


Next Week's Forecast
After a warm March for much of the Midwest and Northeast, April is starting off quite the opposite. Below-average temperatures will first be experienced this weekend and will continue for much of the week ahead.
(MORE: April to Begin With Snow and Cold Temperatures)
High temperatures will be up to 25 degrees below average at times and low temperatures will also be colder than average, especially midweek in the Northeast.
Highs will top out in the 30s and 40s for much of the Midwest and Northeast next week, with a few 20s near the Canadian border. At times during the week, temperatures may reach the 50s in parts of the Ohio Valley and toward the East Coast.
Morning low temperatures will be quite chilly through midweek, with many locations seeing lows in the teens and 20s. Temperatures may dip into the single digits from the Upper Peninsula of Michigan into the interior Northeast.
(FORECAST: Chicago | Detroit | Burlington, Vermont | New York)
In addition to the chilly temperatures, snow is also possible. The next low pressure system will bring the chance for snow or a mix of rain and snow from the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Tuesday into Wednesday. The chance for wintry precipitation will then push east from the Great Lakes into northern Pennsylvania, Upstate New York and portions of New England during the second half of the week.
As this system moves off the East Coast, the cold front may linger and another area of low pressure could develop off the Northeast coast. This could enhance snowfall and rainfall, as well as bring an increase in wind, to the region late next week.

2) Warm West


Forecast Highs Next Week
It may feel more like late spring or early summer for many in the West this upcoming week, due to a ridge of high pressure. Strong high pressure is expected to build along the West coast early in the week and then slide eastward, allowing an offshore flow to develop which will result in very warm temperatures, including along the coast.
High temperatures will be up to 25 degrees warmer than you would normally expect for early April. High temperatures will climb into the 70s and 80s for much of the region by midweek, with 50s and 60s in the higher elevations. In southern Arizona and southeastern California temperatures will reach the 90s, with Phoenix topping out in the mid 90s.
(MORE: April Temperature Outlook)
Many locations will see the warmest temperatures so far this season and a few record highs are possible as well.
The highest temperature recorded in San Francisco this year has been 77 degrees and temperatures may soar into the lower 80s Wednesday. Las Vegas may also see the warmest conditions so far this season, as their highest temperature has been 87 degrees.
A few cities that could set new daily record highs (current record is in parenthesis):
  • Sacramento: Tuesday (85 degrees) and Wednesday (90 degrees)
  • Medford, Oregon: Wednesday (83 degrees) and Thursday (83 degrees)
  • Portland, Oregon: Wednesday (78 degrees), Thursday (79 degrees) and Friday (74 degrees)
  • Seattle: Friday (71 degrees)
  • Boise, Idaho: Thursday (79 degrees) and Friday (82 degrees)
These high temperatures are more what you would expect in mid-to-late May in Las Vegas and Salt Lake City, and closer to the average highs in late June in Los Angeles and Seattle.
Changes, however, are expected late in the week, as an area of low pressure moves into southern California. This will bring cooler temperatures, along with the chance of showers to the Southwest to end the week.

3) Early Week Rain


Monday's Forecast
Before the warmer temperatures arrive in the Pacific Northwest, a cold front will push through the region Sunday night into Monday, bringing the chance for rain.
Rain is expected to spread across Washington, Oregon and possibly far northern California Sunday night into early Monday. A rumble of thunder is even possible.
Snow is also expected in the Cascades and behind the cold front, snow levels will drop to around 3500 feet. Showers may linger in western Washington and northwestern Oregon into Monday night due to onshore flow.
(FORECAST: Seattle | Portland | Missoula, Montana)
Rain and some higher elevation snow will also extend into Idaho, Montana and Wyoming Monday into Tuesday.
Generally light rainfall amounts are expected across the region through early week, with most areas seeing less than an inch of rain.
(MAPS: Weekly Planner)
A few showers are also possible in western Washington on Tuesday, as a warm front moves through the area. Mainly dry conditions are expected Wednesday through Friday across the Pacific Northwest, as high pressure is expected to dominate the region.

4) Thunderstorms and Wet Weather Return


Midweek Forecast
The low pressure system that will bring the chance for snow to portions of the Upper Midwest and Northeast, will also bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms farther south.
Rain and thunderstorms will begin to develop late Tuesday in portions of the Midwest, mid-Mississippi Valley and possibly the central Plains. The good news is severe thunderstorms are not likely.
(FORECAST: Tulsa | Indianapolis | Atlanta)
On Wednesday, the chance for rain and thunderstorms slides east stretching from the Ohio Valley into portions of the South. An isolated severe thunderstorm is also possible from southern Illinois, western Kentucky and southeastern Missouri into southeastern Arkansas and northern Mississippi.
(MORE: More Than a Dozen Tornadoes Hit the South)
The chance for showers and thunderstorms will reach the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on Thursday and will push off the East Coast by Friday.
Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected with this system, but heavy rain is possible in any thunderstorms that develop.
Check back with weather.com for the latest forecast and updates.
MORE: Severe Weather and Flooding March 2016 (PHOTOS)

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