Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Another Round of Severe Thunderstorms Coming Late This Week

April 26,2016
After Tuesday's outbreak of severe storms, more potentially damaging thunderstorms, along with the risk of flash flooding, are expected for the final few days of April.
Early week storm weakens in the East as new storm pushes from Southwest into the Plains late this week.
The energy responsible for the severe weather we expect Tuesday and Wednesday will push eastward Thursday while weakening with time.
(MORE: Outbreak of Severe Storms Tuesday)
Following quickly behind that system is a southward plunge of the jet stream that will swing through the Southwest and southern Rockies, then punch into the southern Plains by Friday. This will give rise to another organized risk of severe thunderstorms, including possible tornadoes, late this week.
Here's an overview of the timing and impacts for the severe threat late this week, though keep in mind that uncertainty remains in the details since this is several days from now.

Severe Weather Outlook

Thursday
  • The new upper level system should stay far enough to the west to keep the threat of severe weather confined to parts of western and central Texas on Thursday. Thunderstorms may become more widespread Thursday night in portions of Texas, as well as western and southern Oklahoma, as that system advances east.
  • Threats: Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazards, however a tornado cannot be ruled out. 
  • Cities: Abilene, Texas | San Angelo, Texas

Thursday Night's Thunderstorm Forecast
Friday
  • The jet stream dip, or at least a significant piece of it, surges east allowing for a potentially more widespread round of severe storms (outbreak?) in parts of Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas, possibly extending into southern Arkansas, northern Louisiana and western Mississippi.
  • Threats: Supercell thunderstorms are possible, which could unleash large hail, damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. The magnitude of the tornado threat is uncertain given that we are several days away. Heavy rainfall could cause some flooding, especially in eastern Texas, southeastern Oklahoma, northwestern Louisiana and western Arkansas.
  • Cities: Austin | Dallas-Fort Worth | Oklahoma City

Friday's Thunderstorm Forecast
This Weekend
  • There will likely be plenty of thunderstorm activity this weekend, spreading from the south-central states to parts of the mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and Southeast.
  • It's too early to nail down the exact geographic locations and timing of any potential threat of severe storms this weekend.
  • Right now, it appears the greatest threat of severe storms on Saturday may include locations from eastern Kansas and Missouri to the Gulf Coast. This may push a bit farther east on Sunday.
(MAPS: 7-Day National Forecast)
Now is a good time to refresh your memory on severe weather preparedness.
(MORE: 7 Things You Should Never Forget When Tornadoes Threaten | Tornado Safety Page)
Do you know where to go in your home, condo, apartment, office or school when a tornado warning is issued? What if you're caught out in the open?
The time to have a tornado safety plan is now, before a tornado strikes.
(MORE: April's Tornado Pace Slow So Far)

MORE: Strange Tornado Debris

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