Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Tropical Storm Ida May Form in Atlantic This Week

By Becky Elliott, AccuWeather.com Meteorologist
September 15,2015; 10:38PM,EDT
 
 
The Atlantic hurricane season is still in full swing and a couple tropical systems in the central part of the basin may develop this week.
The first system, which the National Hurricane Center has designated 93L, remains poorly organized and is spinning several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.
Development Still Possible in the Atlantic This Week
"This system is consisted of just an oval-shaped area of rotating clouds with only a few small areas of thunderstorms," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist and Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.
"This system seems to be ingesting dry, stable air located just north of the system. If organized thunderstorms and convective clouds fail to develop around this system within the next day or two, this feature will probably fail to fully develop."
This animated satellite image shows 93L tracking nearly due west across the Atlantic Ocean. (NOAA/Satellite)
The jet stream will force 93L to take a northward turn into the open waters of the Atlantic by the end of the week. This northward track will keep the system well away from the coast of the United States and the chance for any threat to land looks to be quite low.
The tropical system will encounter increasing wind shear and this could be a limiting factor in it trying to develop.

"After making the northward turn, the system will get hung up in the open waters of the central Atlantic and is not forecast to be a threat to land through at least this weekend," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Steve Travis.
The tropical wave to the east of 93L, labeled 95L, may have the best chance of developing into a tropical system over the next few days.
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"This system will encounter warm water, low shear and relatively moist air for the next few days," Kottlowski said. "There is a good chance this system will become a depression or tropical storm later this week."
This system will track farther west than 93L, but will then turn to the north by the end of the week, steering clear from any landmasses.
Additional Tropical Threats in Atlantic This Week
The last feature being monitored in the tropics is an area of unsettled weather near the east coast of Mexico.

The system is currently in an environment too hostile for further development.
"This feature has a weak low-level circulation center with no organized convective clouds,"Kottlowski said. "We see little support for this to become more organized since it is drifting west into Mexico."
So far, eight tropical systems have developed in the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The most recent system was Henri, who is bringing rain and wind to western Europe as a tropical rainstorm.
 

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