Published: April 11,2016
The threat for severe thunderstorms will continue in parts of the South into Tuesday. In addition to the potential for severe weather, locally heavy rain may cause flash flooding, particularly over the Lower Mississippi Valley.
This latest round of severe weather first fired up in the southern Plains Sunday. Hail up to 2.5 inches (tennis ball size) was reported near Ralls, Dickens, and Guthrie, Texas. On Sunday afternoon, golf ball size hail was reported near Crowell, Texas and ping pong ball size hail was measured near Slaton, Texas. A wind gust of 65 mph was also measured near Vernon, Texas, and a gust of 60 mph was reported near Hobart, Oklahoma.
(MORE: Record Flooding Strikes Southern States)
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Current Radar with Watches and Warnings
![Guide to Watches and Warnings](https://i.imwx.com/web/2013/rww-guide.jpg)
Below is a look at the severe weather forecast into Tuesday.
Severe Weather Forecast
Monday- The frontal system gradually moves southeast across the southern Plains and mid-South with a dryline positioned over Texas.
- Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across east Texas into east Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana and west Mississippi. Overnight, the threat may move across the rest of Mississippi and into western Alabama.
- Large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible.
- Heavy rain and local flash flooding could develop across portions of the Mid-South into the lower Mississippi Valley.
- Cities: Houston | Jackson | Little Rock | Shreveport
![](https://i.imwx.com/images/maps/truvu/map_specnewsdct-48_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366.jpg)
Monday's Thunderstorm Forecast
- The front continues to move southeastward toward the Gulf Coast.
- Instability and available wind shear appear less robust than prior days, which may limit any severe threat.
- Nonetheless, a few strong to locally severe storms are possible in portions of the Southeast, from southern Alabama and northern Florida into southern Georgia and South Carolina. An isolated severe thunderstorm also cannot be ruled out in parts of southern Texas.
- Cities: Mobile, Alabama | Tallahassee, Florida | Valdosta, Georgia
![](https://i.imwx.com/images/maps/truvu/map_specnewsdct-47_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366.jpg)
Tuesday's Thunderstorm Forecast
- A second upper-level storm system swings across the South.
- This time, warm, moist low-level air and instability may be limited to Deep South Texas and areas near the northern Gulf Coast.
- Thus, the threat of any strong to severe t-storms and heavy rain may remain pinned to these areas Wednesday/Thursday.
Friday-Weekend
- This weekend, an area of low pressure will form over the Southwest while high pressure in the East pulls Gulf of Mexico moisture northward into the Plains states.
- Heavy rain and severe storms will be possible in the central and southern Plains starting Friday and continuing through this weekend.
- More details will be provided on this threat later in the week.
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