Saturday, March 5, 2016

Spring Fever Takes Aim at Central, Eastern States This Coming Week

Quincy Vagell
Published: March 5,2016

Winter will quickly melt away, for those who have any snow left, as a change in the weather pattern brings a surge of warm air across the country into the coming week. This will be sure to change your winter blues into a joyous spring fever.
This upcoming round of warmth should be even more widespread than what the country experienced around the middle of February.
The same weather pattern will also be responsible for sending heavy rain and mountain snow to California, as the jet stream digs into the Southwest, allowing for a steady stream of moisture to take aim at the West Coast.

Pattern Change For Second Week of March
An upper-level ridge of high pressure slides east from the Plains to the East through Sunday, setting the stage for the prolonged spell of springlike warmth. A southwesterly flow of air around the Bermuda high will allow for warmer temperatures to spread across areas east of the Rockies.
Here is a breakdown of when and where the warmth will prevail.

Plains, Midwest, South Warmth

The warmest weather, relative to early March averages, will be centered across the Desert Southwest and Plains this weekend.
(FORECAST: Dallas | Denver)
High temperatures reached the 70s as far north as the Dakotas on Saturday, though not quite warm enough to break many records. Still, a daily record high was set at Winslow, Arizona, where teh temperature reached 74 degrees.
Sunday looks even warmer as 80s return to the Texas panhandle, 70s surge into Montana and warmer air begins pushing east into the Upper Mississippi Valley.
Record highs are possible Sunday in Billings, Montana, and Bismarck, North Dakota. Just last Saturday, Bismarck set a new North Dakota state February temperature record, reaching 73 degrees.
(MORE: North Dakota State Record Set)
As high pressure advances toward the East Coast, warmer air will be pulled east into the Midwest, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley by early in the week ahead. Some of the most impressive warmth in the region will be felt Monday and Tuesday ahead of a storm system developing over the Plains.

Forecast Into Next Week
The Great Lakes, which already have considerably less ice cover than this point last year, should enjoy temperatures rising into the 50s and 60s, a welcome change for some after recent snow storms.
The warmth also spreads east from Texas into the Southeast, with widespread highs in the 70s and some 80s near the Gulf Coast and Florida. The warm conditions may also fuel strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rain early in the coming week over parts of the Plains and Mississippi Valley.
(FORECAST: Chicago | Atlanta | Orlando)
A weak cold front gradually makes its way across the central states by the middle of the week, after which temperatures warm right back up from the Plains and Rockies to the Upper Midwest.

Eastern States Warm Up Too

High pressure slides across the East into early in the week. As is common with late winter and early spring setups, a northeasterly flow will likely keep parts of Upstate New York and New England cool to start this weekend, but that will all change rather abruptly as the high moves offshore.
A return of the Bermuda high, an area of high pressure in the western Atlantic Ocean near Bermuda, will bring a surge of warm air up much of the East Coast.
By Tuesday, temperatures are expected to rise into the 60s and 70s across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic region. Even the Hudson Valley and parts of southern New England will make a run at the 60-degree mark.

Highs Compared to Average Next Wednesday
Really impressive warmth is forecast for Wednesday, as 60s overspread most of the Northeast, sending temperatures up to 25 degrees above average in some locations. Some as far north as southern New England may make a run at 70 degrees, and daily record highs may be threatened in Boston, Portland, Maine, and New York City.
This also means temperatures at night largely stay above freezing at night, melting away any snow cover that remains across the region.
(FORECAST: Albany, New York | Hartford | Philadelphia)

Eastern Forecast Next Week
If high pressure stalls off the Southeast coast, as some indications show, the warmth may linger into Thursday and Friday across parts of the East Coast. It is still several days away, so there are uncertainties, including any "backdoor" cold fronts that may cause temperatures to quickly cool across New England.
To be fair, as often is the case in March, this warm-up won't necessarily be "cloud-free".
Periods of rain, locally heavy in some areas, or simply days with either cloudy skies can be expected in most of these areas.
(MAPS: 7-Day Rain/Snow Areas | National Highs/Lows)
Then again, if you're truly sick of winter, a cloudy, rainy day in the 60s might feel downright tropical to you.
MORE: Animals Come Out of Hibernation

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