By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
March 26,2015; 11:32PM,EDT
Following the surge in warmth in coastal areas and the central Appalachians on Thursday, temperatures will again bottom out at cold levels in the Northeast this weekend.
After receiving a taste of spring weather in many areas, the weather will slide back into winter mode for a time this weekend.
Friday will be the transition day to the change to colder weather.
While far from the monthly minimum set during the first week of the month, temperatures will drop to 10-20 degrees below average for late March this weekend.
Temperatures are forecast to drop into the teens on Saturday night in much of the Appalachians and in upstate New York.
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On the Atlantic coast, temperatures will plunge 40-50 degrees Fahrenheit from their highs on Thursday to forecast lows on Sunday. Lows along the Interstate-95 corridor will be in the 20s.
A frost or freeze will even plunge into interior areas of the South this weekend.
Snow will also accompany the cold air in some locations.
The combination of lingering moisture and a weak disturbance moving through will produce flurries and locally heavier snow showers over the central Appalachians to part of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coast during the first part of the weekend. Enough snow could fall to coat the ground in some of the heavier snow showers.
While most major highways and roads in urban areas will be wet where it does manage to snow, there can be some slushy and slippery spots, especially where the snow falls at night or first thing in the morning.
Temperatures will recover somewhat on Sunday. However, in most areas, temperatures will remain below the late-month average. Highs on Sunday will range from the upper 30s in the northern tier to the 40s in much of New England and the central Appalachians to the lower 50s in the Chesapeake Bay region.
During the tail end of the weekend, another weak disturbance will push eastward from the Midwest. Snow showers could be significant enough to coat the ground from the central Appalachians to the lower Great Lakes on Sunday night.
- William Smith · Top Commenter · Inventory at Rem BarI know, accuweather blew this big time.It was supposed to be 60 degrees here in NYC and environs, today but it never got above 50 until 6PM, and only got to 54 degrees at 9PM, and now it's back down to 45 degrees.Wow, some rollercoaster! More like a kiddie-coaster. STILL have not seen 60 yet in 2015 here and might not hit 60 until Mother's Day at this rate.
Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.If there was cloud cover in your area today then that is probably part of the reason why the high did not get as warm as predicted. I am slightly farther northwest from you in Southern Ontario and it was supposed to be 50F in my area on Wednesday, but instead it reached 44F and that was at night due to cloud cover/rainfall. It struggled to get above 40F during the daylight hours. A complete kiddy coaster this pattern has been lol. Like those dragon ones at fairs.
Salvatore del Prete · Top Commenter · Southern Connecticut State UniversityBelow came from accu weather Feb.04 , 2015. I will give commentary on this around a month from now.
AccuWeather.com is predicting more severe storms in and around Arkansas during the upcoming Spring weather cycle. The severe weather season will ramp up compared to the past three years, as more widespread warm air will prompt unstable conditions.
John SimondsThe so-called "surge of warmth" that Accuweather has been touting all week never made it to upstate NY I can assure you. After yesterday's below average high to our current balmy 37F and rain, when exactly was the surge supposed to begin? I don't think it will be here tomorrow either. Perhaps Accuweather could be a little more specific in their descriptions of exactly where this spring-like warmth will be and not mislead us all by predicting it for the Northeast in general.
Alex Sosnowski · Follow · Top Commenter · Senior Meteorologist / Writer at AccuWeatherThe story concerning the "Roller Coaster" was referring primarily to the Atlantic Seaboard and Appalachians and not so much the Great Lakes. However, for example Syracuse, N.Y., has an average range of a low of 20 to a high of 47 F from March 1-26. This month through that date the temp. has ranged from a low of minus 7 F to a high of 51 at SYR and they did squeak out 48 F on Wed. The range has been a bit more extreme than average, albeit on the low end. Specific location forecast information is available on our website by entering your city, state.- Alex Sosnowski · Follow · Top Commenter · Senior Meteorologist / Writer at AccuWeatherCory Morrison You are located where Cory?
- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.Alex Sosnowski in Southern Ontario near Toronto. Not far from upstate New York. It did reach the low to mid 40s though.
Linda Maxey · Follow · Top Commenter · Roanoke, VirginiaAlex Sosnowski Accuweather should offer Cory a paid summer internship during his break.- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.I live in Canada so that cannot happen, but thanks a lot!
- John SimondsThanks Alex Sosnowski. I always enjoy your participation in the discussions. Spring is a frustrating time, particularly for us easterners. Along NY's southern tier, we seem to have missed out on any decent warm-ups. The persistency of the pattern is quite amazing coming off a below average January, record low February and a March that is equal to or worse than last year's coolness.
- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.John, this will very likely be the long term pattern in the East for most months until the North Pacific SST's cool off, and until we get a strong El Nino. I am not even sure when either of those will happen. That Gulf of Alaska has been a huge bully to North America's pattern these last 2 years.
- John SimondsCory, I agree. I am very impressed with the persistency. Every time the pattern looks like it will change, it reverts back to the west ridge/east trough pattern. They say history repeats itself but I can't remember a time when it was so stubbornly persistent. It was probably the 70s when this occurred but I was probably too busy with other things to notice!
Aaron Ginther · Top Commenter · Lynchburg, VirginiaMarch hasn't been that bad for the lower Mid-Atlantic.. just very up and down. The month started very cold but we've been allowed to warm this month because the cold shots haven't been that intense south of the Mason-Dixon line. For example, Washington, DC has seen plenty of mild days this month. I'm in central VA and we hit the 70's today, but going back down to the 40's this weekend.- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.Even the late 1970s which did have winters similar to what we have been experiencing these last 2 years, had a very warm spring in 1977 and a warm March in 1979 (Something we have not had since 2012). Most summers in the 70s weren't particularly hot but not unusually cool either in the East (Except 1972 was a very cold summer). I'd say this mini ice age period has been even more remarkable than the 1970s.
Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State UniversityAccuweather said we'd have a late spring. How are they defining "late"? April? Memorial Day? August?- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State UniversityCory Morrison Idk, we had cold through May last year.
Joshua Wade · Follow · Owensboro, KentuckyCory, I would not be surprised if February 2016 will be even colder than February 2015 throughout the entire eastern half of North America, perhaps another February being unprecedentedly frigid for the THIRD year in a row. At this point, it looks like 2016 will have a cold, late start to spring and a cold summer for the FOURTH year in a row, even if 2016 is a leap year like 2012.- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.Again, nobody knows for sure when this long term pattern will end. It may never end, it may take another decade, it may take another few years, or it may even just take another few months. Nobody really knows. It is just unfortunate that we have been stuck in this same pattern most months since February 2013.
Grant, May 2014 was actually close to average where I am (Only the 1st week of the month was below average in my area last year). I am assuming it must have been somewhat different in your area.
Also Josh, another odd thing I have noticed, besides 2012 which was a major exception, some of my area's lousiest summers have actually occurred during leap years (2008, 2004, 2000, 1996, 1992, 1972, 1968, 1964, 1956, 1940, 1904 etc.). Although these last 2 so-called summers were not during leap years.
- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Labelling/General Assistant with Industrial Supply Products at Independent Distributors Inc.Seeing the Northeast colored in blue is like seeing the Toronto Maple Leafs lose. It keeps happening.
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