By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
December 2,2014; 8:34PM,EST
The scenario of strengthening Hagupit bringing life-threatening dangers to the Philippines remains a serious concern.
Hagupit strengthened into a typhoon early Tuesday night PHT (Tuesday morning EST) with maximum sustained winds of 130 kph (80 mph).
Conditions are prime for Hagupit to strengthen further, potentially approaching super typhoon intensity over the waters of the Philippine Sea later this week.
Prior to reaching the Philippine Sea, Hagupit will bear down on the island of Yap during the first part of Wednesday night (local time).
Residents of this island should prepare for torrential rain, damaging winds and dangerously rough surf. The weather will begin deteriorating Wednesday afternoon.
Beyond Yap, AccuWeather.com meteorologists have identified two scenarios for Hagupit. Both involve Hagupit becoming a powerful and dangerous typhoon. However, the Philippines will either have to brace for life-threatening impacts or will be spared depending on which track unfolds.
The first scenario would be a more westerly track, bringing the typhoon into the southern or central Philippines this weekend and in contact with a much more significant population.
RELATED:
AccuWeather.com Typhoon Center
Philippines Weather Center
Yap Weather Center
"If the storm takes the track into the Philippines, the impacts will be potentially very severe with widespread flooding, damaging winds, storm surge and pounding surf," stated AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Anthony Sagliani.
The danger for flooding would become extreme and more life-threatening if Hagupit slows its forward movement and crawls through the Philippines, unloading inundating amounts of rain. Mudslides would also be a serious concern.
The Philippines would be spared of all but rough surf if the second scenario of Hagupit unfolds. This scenario takes the typhoon northward through the Philippine Sea, then northeastward in the Northwest Pacific Ocean.
Hagupit could stall before making much northward progress, which would keep seas violently stirred up for a prolonged period of time across the Philippine Sea.
The threat of coastal flooding would then increase along the eastern coast of the Philippines, especially central areas.
Depending on how sharp of a northeastward turn Hagupit takes, the Volcano Islands could be threatened or impacts could be felt along the southern coast of Japan next week.
All interests from the Philippines to Japan should closely monitor the progress of what will become a dangerous typhoon.
AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Eric Leister contributed to the content of this story.
On Social Media
1StopShopHealthyIdea
Kristal_Heyrosa
Not again! I pray that the Philippines will be spared from any potential damage of Typhoon #Hagupit
accuweather.com/en/weather-new…
Dennis Uy
dennisuy
late season typhoon. still unclear how it will track. fb.me/6WXRqZFJe
22h
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