Krosa a Typhoon, Philippines the First Target

By Eric Leister, Meteorologist

October 30,2013; 6:11PM,EDT

 

 

Krosa has strengthened into a Typhoon Wednesday afternoon, EDT, and the storm looks to continue strengthening as it tracks west-northwestward toward northern Luzon.
Conditions will deteriorate on Thursday across the northern Philippines as Krosa approaches from the east. Krosa will make landfall over far northern Luzon Thursday night, local time, as typhoon.
Satellite image of Krosa on Wednesday, courtesy of NOAA.
As a result, damaging wind gusts of over 150 kph are expected across northern Luzon, well north of the capital city of Manila and other highly populated areas, along with a dangerous storm surge along the eastern and northern coasts. The heaviest rainfall will also be north of Manila.
According to Accuweather.com Meteorologist Eric Wanenchak, "125-250 mm (5-10 inches) of rainfall is expected across northern Luzon later Thursday into Friday as Krosa passes over the area from east to west." This amount of rainfall will produce flooding problems and potential mudslides.
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The interaction with Luzon will likely weaken Krosa as it moves into the South China Sea on Friday. Environmental conditions will allow another round of strengthening, and Krosa could again become a typhoon over the open South China Sea by late Friday or Saturday.
Satellite image of Krosa approaching the Philippines on Wednesday, courtesy of UW-CIMSS.
Krosa will continue to track generally westward over the South China Sea which will result in the tropical system approaching Hainan Island on Sunday. Higher wind shear combined with land interaction will result in a weakening Krosa as it approaches Hainan.
Still flooding rainfall and mudslides will be a potential impact from Krosa before it weakens further and drifts toward northern Vietnam.

On Social Media

Tweets for this articleAccuWeather Updates

ManilaTyphoonCenter

ManilaTC

Vinta upgraded to Tropical Storm Krosa, heads for Northern Luzon... Storm warnings raised in 13... fb.me/6yn2cOk7x

19h

Operation Blessing

obphil

Typhoon #VintaPH is here! Targeting Northern and Central Luzon. Be #OneStepAhead! Be informed and stay alert.

20h

Mari Ramos

MariRamosCNN

Here is the latest forecast track for Tropical Storm #Krosa as it heads toward northern #Philippines #VintaPH #CNN pic.twitter.com/mcKX6dnXBq

11h

AidCom

AidCom

Tropical storm #Krosa forecast to strike the #Philippines as a typhoon 31 Oct. tinyurl.com/nlklu4d

5h

Aaron Perry

AaronPerryLSC

IR Sat Imagery of Typhoon Krosa, east of the Northern Philippines w/ good meridional/zonal outflow. pic.twitter.com/tWhx8eKOf6