By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
January 22,2015; 10:56PM,EST
A storm poised to hit this weekend could bring the first widespread snowfall of the winter to part of the Interstate-95 Northeast corridor, the northern and western suburbs of the I-95 cities and parts of the Appalachians.
According to AccuWeather.com Chief Meteorologist Elliot Abrams, "Unlike many storms this winter, this particular one has the potential to bring a foot of snow to some locations, where rain fails to mix in over New England."
The storm responsible for spreading snow into New Mexico and Texas into Thursday will spread a swath of snow and rain to a large part of the East Friday night and Saturday.
How much snowfall versus rainfall will depend on the track of what will become a significant coastal storm.
A shift in track farther to the east or west by as little as 50 miles could have a big impact on snowfall accumulation.
A lack of arctic air will be factor in the storm and will prevent a 6- to 12-inch accumulation in much of the mid-Atlantic region.
However, people traveling to, from or through the I-81 and I-95 corridors on spanning Friday night into Saturday night should expect major delays due to rain in the South and snow or a wintry mix farther north.
Accumulating snow is most likely to fall from the mountains of western North Carolina, eastern Kentucky and western Virginia to southern and eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, the lower Hudson Valley of New York state and southeastern and central New England. Enough snow is likely to fall to shovel and plow in this area.
Included in the potential swath of accumulating snow is the Interstate-95 corridor from near Washington, D.C., and Baltimore to Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. Even though rain could mix in over all or part of this zone, roads will be slippery during much of the storm. Airline delays are likely with the potential for cancellations.
"Where the snow is heavy and wet, there could be trees coming down with power outages," Abrams said.
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How quickly the storm strengthens will determine how nasty the weather gets in New England. A full-fledged nor'easter or blizzard could hit part of New England with blowing and drifting snow, as well as the potential for damaging wind gusts and coastal flooding.
The storm will behave differently than the storm from last Saturday in that in most cases this will be a snow, rain or snow/rain mix, rather than an extended period of freezing rain. Some sleet can be mixed in as the storm transitions to rain in some coastal areas of the mid-Atlantic and New England.
Over much of the southern Atlantic Seaboard and the Piedmont areas of the Carolinas, enough rain can fall to cause urban flooding problems. Where heavy rain follows heavy snow, along part of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts, there can be street and poor drainage area flooding.
Another storm with snow will affect the Midwest later this weekend and then the coastal Northeast during the first part of next week.
Northeast Snowfall This Winter
Northeast Snowfall This Winter
As of Jan. 22, 2015 (amounts in inches)
As of Jan. 22, 2015 (amounts in inches)
More information on the storms will continue to unfold and be released as it becomes available on AccuWeather.com this week.
- Caleb Miller · Hanover, PennsylvaniaMaybe my wish for the BIG ONE will come true! Bring it on! I love snow.
- Roz Stimpel · Works at Fairway MotorsQuick! PANIC. RUN and buy milk, bread and eggs! Lol. Why do people do tagt? #FRENCHTOAST???
- Andrea Bonner · Top Commenter
- Debbie Scott · Follow · Top Commenter · Https://www.facebook.com/palmeritransportation?fref=ts at Palmeri TransportationI love snow.. and have been waiting all winter for our 'first big' storm.. GOD I hope those weathermen(and women) are right.. I could not stand to be disappointed yet again by a ton of hoopla and no substance!
- Deshaun Divinityz Peterson · Top Commenter · BMCCThis has not happened in a while, When was the last time you have herd of all 3 Major locations.. Boston, NYC, and Washington DC getting lots of snow all from the same storm?
This is an absolutely beautiful pattern change, hopefully one that will stay for the rest of winter, Shoot to break the snow records mother nature Woo!- Steve Wolf · Top Commenter · Alpha Dog at Dog Training
- Arthur Yagudayev · Top Commenter · Volunteering at WATD 95.9 FMAll the models say the storm is a go, and even the Euro is predicting up to a foot plus in New York City, but one model, also a very reliable model, the GFS is saying the storm will only clip the NYC area bringing the tr-state area nothing more than a few rain/snow showers. I hate to say it, but I think the GFS will win out. The reason for this is the blocking is to weak right now as the North Atlantic Oscillation is mostly positive right now.
- Lawrence P. Bansbach · Top Commenter
- Remy Mermelstein · Follow · Irvington High SchoolLawrence P. Bansbach Your hopes are futile the storm will likely be at least as bad as Accuweather is currently predicting and there is another storm right on its heels. The next at least two weeks appear to be very exciting with extremely cold weather and multiple opportunities for snowstorms in the Northeast, including Philly.
- Lawrence P. Bansbach · Top Commenter
- Remy Mermelstein · Follow · Irvington High SchoolLawrence P. Bansbach I don't know your credentials, but you should know that those models have a very hard time with those clippers. First off the Euro came out at 0z for that clipper with 2-4"...over 8 hours before the clipper arrived in Philly. You CANNOT look at the Euro for the clipper, not high enough resolution and model run not close enough. Look at the HRRR model or NAM 4KM WRF...those update almost every hour paint a much better picture. Clippers are very unpredictable. Agreed, the Euro has been overplaying snow totals...BUT in the beginning, and has corrected itself more or less as storm approches 24-36 hours out. Is this ideal? NO! It should be right 3 days out. But this storm has been nearly consistent on the Euro for 4 days now and we are 2 ish days out...We cannot ignore it. Moreover, there are 3 other models with very similar ideas. So come back with concrete evidence that this storm will be a washout otherwise don't clog this feed with pointless blabbering.
- Lawrence P. Bansbach · Top CommenterRemy Mermelstein Never said it would be a washout, only that I hoped it would. Most local forecasts are for 1-3 inches of snow for Philly. The NWS is more bullish at 2-6. Bernie Rayno thinks rain will limit snowfall totals here. EDIT: NWS has lowered the range to 2-4.
- Lawrence P. Bansbach · Top Commenter
- Deshaun Divinityz Peterson · Top Commenter · BMCC
- Jeffrey M. Martire · Farmingdale Senior High SchoolRelax ? Try plowing snow for 12 hrs on your day off then come home and shovel your property out. Been an ameteur meteorologist since a kid. Last year started the over sensational forecasting. It's grsat to get information but it's doomsday worst scena
- Kitsune Hazard · FollowLast year? Over sensational weather forecasts have been thing for a couple of decades now. I seem to recall a certain "blizzard" that was to hit Philadelphia back in the late '90s and we got 1" of snow. Also the same year predicted to get a record snowfall throughout the winter we had a total of 3". Dallas, TX had more.
- Suz Protz · Top Commenter · Fairleigh Dickinson University
- Brian Beiler · Top Commenter · York, Pennsylvania
- Joshua Miller · Top Commenter · Undercover Agent, posing as Oil Changer at Curtin Livery at Curtin TransportationBRNG IT ON! Its going to happen eventually,, may as well get it over with! I've had my plow and spreader on my quad for a month,, gotten nothing so far. I work on Saturdays so the only downside will be driving home... but that's what 4 wheel drive is for!
- Jeffrey M. Martire · Farmingdale Senior High Schoolover sensationalize storms worry all. clipper was to give 2-4 we got barely inch again..no cold air major winter storm? rain mix ocean temps up.this year...its not last year 2014 pattern relax and give modest forecasts.
- JamieandZaira Martin · Top Commenter · University of the Nations
- Aaron Ginther · Top Commenter · Lynchburg, VirginiaDoes the potential exist for Lynchburg, VA? I live about 45 miles east of the I-81 corridor.
- Gary Lackey · West Fargo, North DakotaThere isn't too much volcanic ash remaining from the recent eruptions at Colima Volcano in Mexico but watching that ash (and the ash carried in on the jetstream from last weeks eruptions in Kamchatka Russia) indicated to me significant cloud-seeding in yesterdays storm in Texas. I would suspect that THE REMAINING VOLCANIC ASH WILL CONTINUE MIXING INTO THIS LOW ESPECIALLY ENHANCING PRECIPITATION ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE LOW. I would predict the storm to strengthen sooner and dump heavy precipitation from Quantico (south of DC) to Maine.
- Adam Lowe · Top CommenterThe weather stations are going crazy about this storm, yet most stations are only predicting 1-3 inches for the big cities with up to an inch on the south side, I do not call that a storm, I can see a lot of people on this blog upset when only an inch or two of slushy wet snow falls on Saturday. We did get our biggest snow of the season this morning in southern RI when an inch fell, I was glad to see it melted by midday. This has been the winter of 1 inch or less snowstorms, what a great winter! I hope it continues, NWS is forecasting rain in my area for Saturday.
- Frank Baldassare · Belknap CollegeFolks..we don't get a major snowstorm in situations like this...no cold air source...no artic high to our north...for DCA-phl-nyc...the will be just a cold rain with very little or no snow...boston has a chance to get something...for the remainder of the I-95 corridor..not a chance in hell...this is just more accu weather hype....i wish these guys would do some serious forecast instead of trying to cover for a bust all the time.
- Marc Fresco · University of Massachusetts DartmouthPatience people, will all know by later tonight, the models are all over the place and it may just be more of a rain event and cold @ that. I love the snow, but after the last several years, i could do with one or two storms on the 6 to 10 range. when your running the snow blower for a path for your dog to have @ it and more then four times in a month, well it gets a little past fun..
- Jason Simonds · Top Commenter · Realtor at Farrin PropertiesPlease... (oh please oh please) consider changing the way you make maps/graphs... I have red/green color blindness, and as such most of these color banded prediction maps are just confusing and useless to myself and many others.... thanks..
- Bobby Rice · Faculty Member at Humber CollegeOH WELL, MAYBE THIS WILL CHEER YOU ALL UP!
http://youtu.be/rCBNBD1dm4o
http://youtu.be/F3-TUN7AQbU - Arthur Yagudayev · Top Commenter · Volunteering at WATD 95.9 FMNow, the GFS, ECMWF is forecasting a much bigger storm for Monday into Monday night and the storm should be a 24-30 hour event and NYC could get 6-12", boston could get up to a foot form this storm. The Saturday storm in NYC should be only 2-4".
- Chris Esguerra · Top CommenterOnce again another rain event this weekend. I've predicted a total of 3" of snow all winter for NYC and I'm sticking to it. Same winter like last year, biggest storm was like 5". Pathetic. Move to Texas if you want snow.
- Ryan Brumbaugh · Top CommenterI hope it misses all the major cities. Get tired of hearing non stop about the NE and seems like they are more important than any other location in America. Go GFS and out to sea further to allow rain more so then snow.
- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State UniversityWhen are we going to see a mid-Winter thaw? You know, like the one we were promised this week, which never arrived.
- Doug Alspach · Follow · Electrical/Millwork Manager at The Home DepotFor Philadelphia and the surrounding suburbs I don't consider 3-6 inches if even that big... weak actually
- Cathy Szewc · Top CommenterCaleb I don't enjoy traveling in the snow. The storm could wreck my birthday dinner plans dang it! And at my age I don't know how many more birthdays there will be....
- Ken Rochford · Top Commenter · Lead something doer. at Somewhere Doing SomethingIll believe it when I see it.... Too many "Storm of the Century" headlines last year, and not a damn one panned out.
- John Grabowski · Wanamassa, New JerseyI can live without it.. But, it is a fact of life here on the Jersey coast that we will get hit at least once a year with one of these..
- Joseph Miller · Top CommenterI live in Bensalem,Pa.just outside of Phil.,calling for 1 to 3 ,yep,big storm.
- Barb Fitzgerald · Chichester High SchoolThe BIG BOMB once again becomes the BIG DUD! Winter for us in southeast , pa. is done!
- Christian Thomas HirkoMeanwhile in LA it will be 84, surfs up. LA Rams on their way home.
- AnsTin AnTony · Follow · Full Sail UniversityStill not that much snow to central east PA. Low for the season.
- PJL PhotographyUpdated radar has it going south of us here in New England.....thank God.
- Michael Sokolowski · Top Commenter · Massabesic High SchoolAnd Vermont is poised to get basically nothing out of this. Crap...
- Lawrence P. Bansbach · Top Commenter
- Sue Emanovsky · Follow · Top Commenter · Wentworth, New Hampshirejust leave down there. I'm happy without it.
- Marti Christmas Meyers Gaibl · Follow · Senior Associate, QC Microbiology at Bristol-Myers SquibbWhere's Don Kent he was always accurate.
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