Published: August 30,2017
Tropical Storm Harvey's torrential rain has already pushed rivers and bayous to record levels in some locations, and rivers in parts of Texas and Louisiana may take days, if not weeks, to return within their banks.
(FULL COVERAGE ON HARVEY: Hurricane Central)
Record flooding has already been recorded at 17 different National Weather Service river forecast locations where the period extends to at least before 2000. Another two locations may set new record crests in the days ahead.
Parts of southeast Texas had received more than 40 inches of rain, with at least one location – Cedar Bayou gauge near Highlands, Texas – setting a new continental U.S. rainfall record for any tropical cyclone with 51.88 inches as of 3 p.m. CDT Tuesday.
Radar-estimated storm-total rainfall from Harvey through late Wednesday morning, Aug. 30.The National Weather Service is forecasting major river flooding in dozens of locations in southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.
(MORE: NWS River Flood Forecasts)
Rivers forecast to be above flood stage by the National Weather Service River Forecast Centers, as of Wednesday, Aug. 30. Locations in major flood are denoted by purple dots, moderate flood by red dots and minor flood by orange dots.(MORE: How You Can Help Victims)
Here is a rundown of notable current and forecast statuses of rivers and bayous, generally those in major flood, according to the National Weather Service. Locations in bold indicate those that have already set new record crests. Click on each link for the latest National Weather Service river stage forecast.
Near Houston MetroCypress Creek (northern Harris County):
- Near Westfield: Already topped previous record from Oct. 8, 1949; should fall below flood stage by the Labor Day weekend
- Near Cypress: Already topped previous record from Oct. 18, 1994; should fall below flood stage by the Labor Day weekend
- Near Hockley: Crested at fourth-highest level, highest since Oct. 1998 flood; should fall below flood stage by the Labor Day weekend
San Jacinto River:
- East Fork at Cleveland: Already topped previous record from Oct. 18, 1994; will fall below flood stage soon
- West Fork near Conroe: Already topped previous record from Oct. 18, 1994; will fall below flood stage by Thursday
- East Fork near New Caney: Already topped previous record from Oct. 19, 1994; will fall slowly into the weekend
- West Fork near Humble: Already topped previous record from Oct. 18, 1994; will fall slowly into the weekend
- San Jacinto River near Sheldon: Highest crest since Nov. 16, 1940; to remain in major flood until early Sunday
- At West Belt Drive: Already topped previous record from Aug. 18, 1983; may remain in record flood into next week due to nearby earthen levee release
- At Piney Point Village: Already topped previous record from Mar. 4, 1992; may remain in record flood into next week
- At Shepherd Drive: Crested initially at highest level since Allison 2001
- Near Goodrich: Crested at third-highest level on record, highest since Oct. 18, 1994; many homes below Lake Livingston flooded; forecast to be in major flood into the weekend
- Near Romayor: Cresting near the fifth highest crest on record, highest since May 1990
- At Liberty: Already topped previous record from Oct. 12, 1994; several subdivisions above Liberty flood, as well as extensive flooding of much of Liberty County
- Near Moss Bluff: Already topped previous record from June 3, 2016
Elsewhere near the immediate Houston metro:
- Spring Creek near Spring: Crested just inches shy of the Oct. 18, 1994, record
- Caney Creek near Splendora: Tied Allison 2001 for the second-highest crest; this is almost 7 feet higher than the Tax Day 2016 flood
- Peach Creek near Splendora: Already topped previous record from Oct. 8, 1949; homes flooded in Splendora, Patton Village
- Clear Creek at Friendswood: Already topped previous record from Allison in 2001
(MORE: Three Reasons Slow-Moving Tropical Storms and Hurricanes Are the Worst)
Brazos RiverThe Brazos River is expected to crest nearly 2 feet above the previous record set just last June at Richmond, Texas. Mandatory evacuations have been ordered in Fort Bend County.
- At Richmond: Forecast record crest by late Thursday or Friday topping June 2, 2016, crest; may stay above flood stage well into the following week
- Near Rosharon: Cresting similar to June 4, 2016, crest; third highest on record; little fall in levels through the Labor Day weekend
- Near West Columbia: Breach in levee near Columbia Lakes Tuesday makes forecast uncertain; not expected to crest until this weekend
(MORE: Your Vehicle Can Be the Biggest Danger in a Flood)
Above: Interactive map showing mandatory (red) and voluntary evacuation zones in Ft. Bend County, Texas (Credit: Ft. Bend County Office of Emergency Management)
- Near Smithville: Crested at highest level since Oct. 18, 1998; has fallen quickly below flood
- Above La Grange: Crested at third-highest level, and highest since Dec. 5, 1913; falling quickly
- At Columbus: Crested at fourth-highest level, highest since July 26, 1938; will fall quickly the rest of this week
- At Wharton: Cresting at second-highest level, highest since Dec. 13, 1913; drops below flood stage over the Labor Day weekend
- Near Bay City: Crest Thursday or Friday at eighth-highest level, highest since June 1960; falling quickly into the Labor Day weekend
Guadalupe RiverThe Guadalupe River is flooding parts of the city of Victoria. Upstream, the west side of the town of Cuero may experience disastrous flooding, potentially forcing all roads to be shut down into town except Highway 87. Near Thomaston, hundreds of homes may be flooded to over 10 feet, according to National Weather Service accounts of previous floods.
- Near Cuero: Crested Tuesday among the top three crests on record, highest since Oct. 20, 1998; capable of disastrous flooding in the area
- At Victoria: Forecast crest near second-highest level early Thursday, but about 2.6 feet lower than October 1998 crest, with only a slow fall into the Labor Day weekend
- Near Bloomington: Forecast crest late this week topped only by Oct. 21, 1998, crest, with only a slow fall into next week
East Texas/Western Louisiana
- Neches River at Beaumont: Forecast record-flood crest this weekend, several feet above the previous Oct. 22, 1994 record crest; will remain flooded into next week
- Neches River near Town Bluff: Crest later this week at highest level since 1953; some homes flooded
- Village Creek near Kountze: Already topped previous record crest from Aug. 1, 1915; may fall below flood stage Labor Day weekend
- Pine Island Bayou near Sour Lake: Already topped previous record crest from Oct. 20, 1994; numerous homes in Bevil Oaks have at least 3 to 4 feet of water; slow fall into the Labor Day weekend
- Sabine River near Deweyville: Forecast crest Thursday about 3 feet lower than record March 2016 crest; third highest on record; numerous homes may flood and the town of Deweyville may be isolated by floodwater
- Sabine River at Orange: Forecast rise to a crest Labor Day weekend, potentially topped only by Hurricane Ike and the March 2016 flood
- Calcasieu River northwest of Lake Charles (Sam Houston Jones State Park): Cresting near levels seen during Hurricane Rita; water up to a few homes; slow fall this weekend
- Bundick Creek at Bundick Lake: Cresting now near April 2017 crest; numerous homes, camps flooded around the lake
- Bayou Anacoco near Rosepine: Crest Thursday near or slightly above April 2017 and Allison 1989 crests; major flood damage along the bayou
Check back with weather.com for updates on Harvey.
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