May 18,2014; 9:22PM,EDT
A tropical system is trying to take shape off of the coastline of western Mexico over the next few days. Though this system will likely be slow to develop, if it does, this could affect Mexico late in the week and into the weekend.
Currently, some clouds off to the southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, are trying to form into a tropical system. The water temperatures are warm, but conditions in the atmosphere do not favor rapid development.
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This system looks to be pushing off to the west the next few days as it moves over the warm waters of the Eastern Pacific. There is some uncertainty on the track this will take this week, but it should remain near the coastline no matter the track.
AccuWeather.com meteorologist Andy Mussoline says "We will have to keep a close eye for tropical development this week. There is plenty of warm water to help spur development, but the cluster of showers and thunderstorms we are monitoring will battle wind shear through the week."
There are two possible tracks for this storm. We could see this move slowly off to the west and remain in the waters of the open Pacific Ocean. If this occurs, we may see a named storm, but we are not likely to see this affect any land as it eventually weakens over the ocean.
Another possible track for this is turning off to the northeast by the middle of the week and moving into southern Mexico by the weekend. If this occurs, we could see some heavy rainfall over southern Mexico which could lead to flooding and mudslides.
Since this would remain a weaker system if it develops, AccuWeather.com meteorologists are not expecting this to bring strong winds or storm surge to the coast of Mexico regardless of the track.
Visible satellite from Sunday afternoon of the developing system, courtesy NOAA
No matter if this develops of not, this is just the beginning of tropical season for the Eastern Pacific as the season stretches from May 15 through November 15. if this does develop into a named storm, it would be Amanda.
Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Alan Reppert
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