November 10,2013
The agency said Sunday the crash is expected to occur between 1830 GMT Sunday and 0030 GMT on Monday (1:30 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. EST).
It says "with a very high probability, a re-entry over Europe can be excluded."
Spokeswoman Jocelyne Landeau said the satellite, GOCE, will mostly disintegrate as it comes down and "we will have only a few pieces which could be 90 kilograms at the most."
ESA said Friday that humans are 250,000 times more likely to win the lottery than to get hit by the debris.
GOCE was launched in 2009 to map the Earth's gravitational field.
MORE: Out of This World Space Photos
In mid-August 2010, ESO Photo Ambassador Yuri
Beletsky snapped this amazing photo at ESO’s Paranal Observatory.
(ESO/Y. Beletsky)
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