Sunday, November 8, 2015

Tropical Depression Twelve Forms Near the Southeastern Bahamas

November 8,2015
Tropical Depression Twelve has developed near the Bahamas and is expected to bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds to portions of the Caribbean early this week. 
  • Tropical Depression Twelve has formed in the Atlantic Ocean about 115 miles southeast of San Salvador Island in the Bahamas.
  • The depression is forecast to strengthen into Tropical Storm Kate on Monday as it moves to the northwest.
  • A tropical storm warning has been issued for the central and northwestern Bahamas, and for Acklins, Samana Cays, Crooked Island and Long Cay in the southeastern Bahamas.
  • Heavy rain, flash flooding and gusty winds are concerns in the Turks and Caicos and most of the Bahamas through early this week
  • Tropical Depression Twelve is not expected to make landfall in the U.S.
  • An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system Monday morning.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)

Current Status

Projected Path and Intensity

Watches and Warnings
In the area where Tropical Depression Twelve has developed sea-surface temperatures remain above average for this time of the year, providing just enough heat content to support a tropical cyclone.
Tropical storm force winds are expected in portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas late Sunday night or early Monday and will spread into the northwestern Bahamas by Monday afternoon. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected over the Turks and Caicos Islands, as well as the Bahamas through Monday night.
Due to atmospheric steering currents on the western periphery of high pressure over the open Atlantic, Tropical Depression Twelve will continue to be pulled north, then northeast early this week ahead, remaining off the Southeast coast. No direct threat to Florida is anticipated, but some increased surf is possible along Atlantic-facing shores of the Sunshine State. This system may brush Bermuda by mid-week.
Shower and thunderstorm activity with locally heavy rain will impact the coastal Carolinas early this week from a separate weather system. However, Tropical Depression Twelve may help to add more moisture to the already soaking setup there and may enhance rainfall from Virginia to southern New England.
(MORE: Flash Flood Threat in the Southeast Early This Week)
This system has already doused parts of the Lesser Antilles with excessive rainfall. Martinique picked up 192.4 millimeters (7.57 inches) of rain from Thursday through 8 p.m. AST Saturday. Most of that fell Friday, causing serious flooding on parts of the island.

MORE: Hurricanes Joaquin (Oct. 2015)

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