Published: August 8,2015
On
the heels of a hot finish to July across much of the southern U.S.,
another string of hot days is underway way. In many spots, the heat will
only worsen this weekend.
Three-Day Forecast Highs
Triple
digit heat has been reported across much of the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi River Valley today. Tulsa, Oklahoma reached
100-degrees for the first time this summer. This afternoon, the Little Rock Air Force Base in Arkansas also had a feels like temperature of 116 degrees.
Widespread
highs in the 100s are in the forecast across a large portion of the
southern U.S. through this weekend and should last into early next week.
As of Friday afternoon, more than 30 million people were under heat
advisories or excessive heat warnings. Many more heat-related advisories
can be expected in the coming days.
If 100-degree heat was not bad enough, high levels of humidity will make it feel even more uncomfortable.
Forecast Feels Like Temperatures
With
dewpoints forecast to remain in the 70s for several days, the heat
index – or the temperature it feels like when you factor in the humidity
– is forecast to rise to near or even above 110 degrees in many
locations by this weekend. The hardest hit areas will be across
Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and western
Tennessee.
Little relief is expected at night as cities like Memphis, Tennessee, and Jackson, Mississippi, may struggle to fall below 80 degrees for low temperatures by Sunday and Monday.
(MAPS: 10-day Forecast)
While
some daily record highs may be broken, the bigger story may be the
longevity of such hot conditions. Shreveport, Louisiana, did not hit 100
degrees even once in 2014, but they have already reached 100 degrees 10
times this summer. This includes a stretch of 12 out of 15 days from
July 24 to Aug. 7.
The hot
weather will be associated with a ridge of high pressure in the upper
levels of the atmosphere. This ridge is projected to be centered right
over southwest Arkansas. However, it will influence a broad area of the
South with sinking air motions that suppress thunderstorm development.
This will deflect most rain and thunderstorm activity to the north,
meaning much of the period will not only be hot, but short on rainfall
as well.
Rainfall is one thing several Texas cities saw none of in July. The city of Tyler, Texas,
marked its first rainless July since continuous recordkeeping began at
the airport in 1984. Longview and Waco each had their first rain-free
July since 1993. Monroe, Louisiana, just experienced one of its top 10
driest months of July on record.
(FORECASTS: Dallas, Texas | Baton Rouge, Louisiana)
Even
locations very close to the Gulf Coast, including southern Louisiana,
can expect to feel the effects of the oppressive heat and humidity.
Being east of the high-pressure center means winds will tend to blow
from the north. While that's a cold wind in winter, it's a wind blowing
off sun-parched land in summer and preventing the moderating effects of
the Gulf of Mexico from having as much of a cooling influence.
Some
relief is possible by the second half of next week as some forecast
models shift the ridge to the west, taking the hottest of the hot air
with it.
(MORE: Severe Heat in Middle East | How Hot is Too Hot?)
MORE: Louisiana's Chandeleur Islands are Washing Away
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