An area of disturbed weather has developed near the Bahamas and over the Atlantic waters just east of there. Although development of this system is unlikely in the near-term future, there is some chance it could organize further later this week.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)
Medium Chance of Development, For Now
As of Sunday evening, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) had given the area of disturbed weather a 40 percent chance of development during the next five days.
The showers and thunderstorms flaring up near
and east of the Bahamas are due to a combination of a surface trough of
low pressure and an upper-level weather system approaching the area.
This will continue a threat of locally heavy rain in parts of the
Bahamas during the next few days, including some of the same areas that
were just impacted by Hurricane Matthew.
(MORE: Matthew Recap)Infrared Satellite Image
Later this week, there is a chance that atmospheric conditions could become somewhat more favorable for tropical or subtropical cyclone development as the system moves east of the Bahamas.
Wind Shear Analysis
That jet stream dip could then interact with the moisture and energy from the disturbance currently near the Bahamas as it guides the system northward parallel to the East Coast.
At the moment, it appears there is a chance that it could enhance moisture ahead of the aforementioned jet stream dip that will swing through the eastern states late this week.
Check back for updates the next few days on this system. As a side note, the next named storm in the Atlantic would be Otto.
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