Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Rainy pattern in eastern US to persist until early June

By , AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
May 10,2016; 10:37PM,EDT
 
 
Those hoping for an extended period of dry weather in the eastern United States will have to wait a few more weeks. There are no signs of a week-long stretch of rain-free weather anywhere in the region into early June.

Washington, D.C., set a new record for consecutive days in a row with rainfall, with at least 0.01 of an inch falling each day from April 27 to May 10. The old record was 10 days in a row set during the summers of 1938 and 1873.
Since April 23, days with rainfall of 0.01 of an inch or more have totaled 11 in Philadelphia, nine in New York City, nine in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and eight in Boston.
Rainfall will continue to hinder agriculture, construction, sports and other outdoor activities across the region despite brief periods of dryness.

"Some subtle changes in the weather pattern will allow small gaps in the rainfall moving forward toward the last part of May," Pastelok said. "But the overall pattern will remain wetter than average for a large part of the Eastern states into early June."
Portions of New England and the Deep South are likely to have the longest gaps in rainfall while the mid-Atlantic will be wet the most often.
Despite the persistent pattern, lower-than-average temperatures will tend to limit the amount of thunderstorm activity, which will reduce the risk of flash and urban flooding.
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"With a few exceptions, the greatest potential for flooding downpours will be in the South, where the warm and humid air will make the atmosphere more volatile," Pastelok said.
"In the northern tier states, the atmospheric environment will be more stable and will tend to favor lighter, more general rainfall."
The busy nature of the pattern will prevent precise timing of the rainfall, beyond several days out.
Those needing to recharge in sunlight are encouraged to take advantage of any sunny days, as they will continue to be few and far between into early June, especially in much of the mid-Atlantic.
"We are still a few weeks away from a pattern change during June," Pastelok said. "We still expect rounds of hot weather to fight back during June, July and August."



Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
If 2015 in the Great Lakes was awesome May=lousy June, and 2016 is so far lousy May, then it BETTER equal to awesome June, even though I am cautious.
Nikole Davis ·
I love this stormy weather heart emoticon
Like · Reply · 2 · 1 hr · Edited
Paul Berger ·
5 days ago I focused on the Accuweather forecast for 5/18, my birthday. Initial forecast was cloudy and 75. Since then the forecast has changed every day and now it is partly sunny and 66. I am sure it will continue to change for the next eight days. Now, I do not begudge the fact that forecasts can be altered, but it just highlights the uselessness of long-term forecasts because given enough time, they can and are often radically different by the time the date in question comes.
Peter Westin ·
Works at Ithaca College
It looks like that temps won't be nearly as cool as in Early May. So I am thinking of 2 all day rain events and it looks like next week won't be nearly as wet afterall.
Thomas Armstrong
I SAY THE SAME AS John HITCHNER
Like · Reply · 1 · 3 hrs
Debbie Brunell
after the bust from last fall and winter weather this spring has been just what the doctor ordered, for thoes who were celebrating no snow and cold in December, Jan. and Feb. here is your rain, and this pattern can stay till September to make up for the lost time!
Like · Reply · 1 · 3 hrs · Edited
John C. Hitchner Jr. ·
Well unfortunately if they're right about this lasting till June then the warm weather season here will be almost over by then,what's that going to leave us with about five weaks of outdoor weather?
Like · Reply · 2 hrs · Edited
Debbie Brunell
John C. Hitchner Jr. 5 weeks to long.
Like · Reply · 1 · 2 hrs
John C. Hitchner Jr. ·
Debbie Brunell Yes that is true lol
Like · Reply · 1 · 1 hr
John C. Hitchner Jr. ·
Is there any way that it will clear up sooner then early June? I mean what would actually throretically have to happen for it to start clearing up and stay clear,there has to be a way for this to end sooner than that
Donna McClish ·
The more rain that falls, the more depressed I become.
Like · Reply · 1 · 4 hrs
Todd Biddinger
I heard back in early april that the first two weeks of april will be cold,they were then warm up and stay, This was from someone who use to be at accu. Now that same person is saying, summer temps are coming on or around may 20th Oh and about your 90day forecast. do away with that, its a joke.
Like · Reply · 1 · 5 hrs
Mike Felt ·
They called for a warm Spring smh
and they dont show 80s in June until later in the month in philly
they are terrible
Like · Reply · 5 hrs
Mary Murphy
I am sick of this weather and more sick of your forecasts adding to this glum. I'm sick about hearing records to keep breaking for this lousy weather. I'm sick of hearing laughter from local idiot weather reporters. Even so called stupid humor that just makes me feel worse. Like the smell off this rain is so nice. Yes come out and smell my moldy rotting gardens and see plants I can't even plant yet die.
Like · Reply · 2 · 7 hrs
Robert Bennethum
OK your graphic says rounds of rain next week. Shows all green (rain)
Then you go to your extended forecast and it shows mainly sunny days?????
What are you people smoking??
Like · Reply · 3 · 8 hrs
Paul Berger ·
Further proof that long-range forecasts must be taken with a grain of salt. Now they have extended the unsettled weather pattern into June after extending it to the third week of May not long ago.
Like · Reply · 3 · 9 hrs
Stewart Gerhart ·
Didn't you just show a map for drought conditions in the midwest? Thank goodness your radar is reliable. That way you can change forecasts accordingly.
Stewart Gerhart ·
Oh and by the way, global warming doom and gloom scenarios are about as reliable. But hey, it gives us something else to talk about.
Like · Reply · 2 · 10 hrs
Neven Prvinic ·
This does not come as a shock to me, as I totally expected a cold spring. I said this way back in january. I was basing it on some of the strongest analog years in the recent history, 1983 and 1995 and to the point 2002 and 2007. This is pretty much exactly what happened in each one of those years.
Like · Reply · 2 · 10 hrs
Tom Bold
Hope it is also like the summer of 2002 then with 40 days over 90 degrees!
Like · Reply · 2 · 8 hrs
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Tom Bold or 2005, which was one of my area's hottest in recent memory.
Like · Reply · 5 mins
James Loredo ·
But you guys on your April-June long range forecast were predecting above average temps, what happen? as usual your forecast in WRONG...bunch of idiots!!!
Like · Reply · 5 · 10 hrs
Daniel Kilbride ·
It would be interesting to hear an explanation for how they got it so wrong.
Like · Reply · 4 · 10 hrs
Marty Bell ·
@ Daniel: Of course THAT will never happen. Are you kidding, Accuweather actually admitting that they screwed up...again? Watch my comment be deleted.
Like · Reply · 7 hrs
Grant McGuire ·
Funny how Accuweather is SO confident in June turning hot. This is the same team that said May would be much warmer & drier than average
Like · Reply · 5 · 11 hrs
Tom Bold
Spot on! This is unbearable at this point.
Like · Reply · 2 · 10 hrs
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
I think the June pattern could be better, but I am in no way expecting the exact opposite of what we have been going through this spring.
Like · Reply · 4 mins · Edited
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Grant McGuire it has not been too rainy up here, since my area has often been in the dry part of the cool air masses this month. I do not really see the cold pattern in the Great Lakes letting up until the storm track moves away from the Mid Atlantic though.
Like · Reply · 1 min
Rocco Salvemini ·
Looks like Memorial Day wknd won't be a perfect one.
Grant McGuire ·
Won't be perfect? There's the understatement of the year
Like · Reply · 1 · 8 hrs
Randy J. Anderson
Let's hope this May's not wacko like 2013 was!
May 25, 2013 was a March-like 45 F! That was it!
Like · Reply · 8 hrs
Donna Farrell
Much rather have the rain than those wildfires!!!!
Like · Reply · 3 · 11 hrs

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