By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
May 26,2016; 8:34PM,EDT
Summerlike warmth will make it feel like the 90s F at times in the eastern United States through Memorial Day weekend, despite localized rainfall.
The weather through the holiday weekend will offer opportunities to some spend time outdoors in shorts, short sleeves and sunglasses.
Eighty-degree air that has already made its presence at midweek will continue through the weekend.
The storm responsible for the cool air, showers and thunderstorms in the Northeast since last weekend dissolved and moved away on Wednesday.
The stage is set for long-awaited warmth in the mid-Atlantic region that will have some staying power.
"At long last, we have some consistency in the warmth department for the second half of this week and the holiday weekend," according to AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Elliot Abrams.
High temperatures will climb into the 80s most days in Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and New York City through Memorial Day. AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures will spike into the 90s for a few hours during the afternoon in the major cities. Actual high temperatures will touch 90 in some cities.
The weather will get warm enough for some to turn on air conditioners or fans.
Meanwhile, a wedge of cooler air will push southward into New England this weekend. Even with the cooler air, temperatures will still be higher on a consistent basis than they have been for a long time. Some coastal areas of eastern New England could dip into the 60s. However, where the sun is out over inland areas, temperatures can bounce back into the 70s and 80s.
While summerlike warmth will be the general rule, the weather will not be dry everywhere through Memorial Day weekend.
A couple of rounds of showers and thunderstorms will swing in from the Midwest and reach parts of the central Appalachians and northern New England into the first part of the weekend. Through Saturday, most of the showers will diminish approaching the Interstate 95 corridor and the beaches.
The areas of dry versus showery weather may change as the weather pattern becomes more complex later during the holiday weekend.
"A front sagging southward across New England with showers, the approach of a potential tropical system toward the Carolina coast with downpours and dry high pressure in between will be factors in the weather during the second half of the weekend," Abrams said.
RELATED:
Check AccuWeather MinuteCast® for your exact location
Northeast interactive weather radar
AccuWeather 2016 US summer forecast
How much the two areas of moisture fill in will determine the fate of rainfall from New England to the mid-Atlantic.
"There is the potential for Memorial Day itself to be wet and humid in parts of the Northeast," according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Jim Andrews.
If you have outdoor plans, you can check AccuWeather MinuteCast® for rain start and stop times over the next two hours.
The warmth will be felt on the mid-Atlantic beaches.
"The weather will be great to head to the beaches and lakes most days this weekend, but water temperatures are dangerously cool this time of the year," Andrews said.
Atlantic surf temperatures range from the upper 50s along Long Island and New Jersey to near 60 in Virginia.
Some people may have trouble adjusting to the warm and humid weather pattern. Those partaking in physical activity may want to tone down their intensity level and/or be sure to take breaks and drink plenty of liquids.
There is the possibility that the system approaching the Carolinas may cause rough surf as far north as Virginia, Maryland and Delaware later this weekend.
Debbie Brunell
...ugh!
i knew this godforsaken hot, humid , suffocating weather would
eventually come but one is never ready for it. just need to keep telling
myself " stay positive! stay positive! stay positive!..
3
David Colantuono ·
Works at Unemployed
"The weather will get warm enough for some to turn on air conditioners or fans."
It's been "warm enough" to use the air conditioner since March. Granted, there were a few days, here and there, where it was not needed. But, overall, it's been warm enough since then. And, it will stay on as long as we don't have a blackout and as long as it stays warm enough for it.
Last year, it stayed on until the end of December, thanks to the Spring warmth we had from October through December. It wasn't until our first blast of cold air in January that the air conditioner was finally turned off.
It's been "warm enough" to use the air conditioner since March. Granted, there were a few days, here and there, where it was not needed. But, overall, it's been warm enough since then. And, it will stay on as long as we don't have a blackout and as long as it stays warm enough for it.
Last year, it stayed on until the end of December, thanks to the Spring warmth we had from October through December. It wasn't until our first blast of cold air in January that the air conditioner was finally turned off.
Cecil Patrick
I love this weatther!!
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Most weeks need to be like this week well into September.
Grant McGuire ·
Best weather since last Sept. Just perfect.
Brent Richardson ·
It wont last long, sorry kiddo
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Anyone who complains about this weather: Sorry, but you had your "glorious" weather in April-mid May, lol.
Grant McGuire ·
In a normal year, we start seeing summer heat around Memorial Day. We're right on target.
Neven Prvinic ·
Cory
and Grant we should all live by the code "do not feed the troll". I am
not always best at practicing this either. Some days it is easier than
others..
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Neven Prvinic I was responding to Grant, as the troll is blocked.
Neven Prvinic ·
Cory Morrison I love it when the troll is blocked, although some are so humorous I keep them on just to amaze myself
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Again, I block them so they do not respond to me, but log off to read their humorous comments sometimes.
Peter James Smith ·
I
own a weather-dependent business on the Jersey Shore, and this forecast
couldn't be any better news! We're still recovering from Hurricane
Sandy.
Andrew Crossett
I remember when not every ridge brought record highs.
Aaron Ginther ·
This
is spectacular weather for late May. I can't believe my eyes. The sky
is clear, with hardly any clouds in the sky, and we just hit 80F for the
first time since May 2nd. There has not been a day like this the entire
month. Finally, more typical weather for this time of year. I just HOPE
June is nothing like May was this year. May 2016 landed a spot in the
top wettest Mays on record for my area.
Neven Prvinic ·
We
had perfect sun and 83 yesterday too, May hit upper 80's to even 90
before the weekend. Our May has been gray and little below normal
perhaps 2F as of now, but running very dry in my area. I think we did
better than you compared to average, and the areas further north of me
(like southern Ontario) did even better than we did compared to average.
I think GTA has been running couple of degrees higher than we were for
about 5 days now, which is very unusual, as our normals are about 5F
higher than theirs in late May. I think this is the first time since the
3rd week in january that GTA has been running few degrees above us for
more than a day.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Neven Prvinic
even though this is not about summer, I believe January 18th was one of
the coldest days of the winter in your area right? Correct me if I am
wrong though.
Neven Prvinic ·
Cory,
Yes, January 18th and February 13th both tied for the coldest high
temperature of the entire winter at 14F, however the morning of Feb 14
was the coldest low of the winter at +2F. January 18th did not have a
low that cold.
Neven Prvinic ·
That was at the official Hopkins station. Downtown, righ on the lake had the coldest low of the winter at "balmy" 11F on Feb 14
Neven Prvinic ·
With
the exception of 2014 and 2015, we drop below zero only about 1/2 of
the winters, and even then, just by a few degrees. That makes us growing
zone 6 about 10 miles withn the coast if Lake Erie. That actually
enables me to grow figs in front of my house in ground. Not something
one would expect this far nirth.
Aaron Ginther ·
Neven Prvinic I think you've done better than me this May.
To emphasize how behind I've been in May 2016.. through May 23rd, the average HIGH this month was only 68 degrees, the third coolest on record. Through May 23, only two other years had cooler afternoon highs for the month: 1982 and 2003. Not only that, but we had to wait 21 days this month just to hit 80 degrees again. The average amount of 80 degree days we have in the stretch between May 1-23 is around 8, but this year? only 1. Also impressive: we spent 9 consecutive days failing to hit the 70 degree mark, between May 15-23. On May 17th, we didn't make it out of the 50's. You have to go back 14 years to find the last time there was ever a day that cool, this late in the year. If we do fail to hit 90F this week, it could be until mid-June when we finally hit 90 for the first time in 2016. On average, 90F is seen by the middle part of May. Interestingly in 1983, that bar was never reached until mid-June.
To emphasize how behind I've been in May 2016.. through May 23rd, the average HIGH this month was only 68 degrees, the third coolest on record. Through May 23, only two other years had cooler afternoon highs for the month: 1982 and 2003. Not only that, but we had to wait 21 days this month just to hit 80 degrees again. The average amount of 80 degree days we have in the stretch between May 1-23 is around 8, but this year? only 1. Also impressive: we spent 9 consecutive days failing to hit the 70 degree mark, between May 15-23. On May 17th, we didn't make it out of the 50's. You have to go back 14 years to find the last time there was ever a day that cool, this late in the year. If we do fail to hit 90F this week, it could be until mid-June when we finally hit 90 for the first time in 2016. On average, 90F is seen by the middle part of May. Interestingly in 1983, that bar was never reached until mid-June.
Neven Prvinic ·
Aaron Ginther
are you sure it was 1982?? Maybe 1983 or 1984? In 1982 we had a very
warm May here, at least 5F above normal. And you are correct, we have
done better relative to normal this May, in fact I think our average
high this month so far pretty much matches yours, even though our
normals are probably about 5F lower than mine. My area is roughy half
way between your and Cory's normals.
Aaron Ginther ·
My
mistake, it was 1983.. not 1982. May 1982 was around +4 above normal.
So far, the actual temperature departure this May is right at -2F, but
it's the nighttime lows that have kept the average temperature this
month from going in the tank. As far as daytime highs, they're running 7
degrees below normal. Climatologically, May's average high and low is
75/51 here.
Neven Prvinic ·
Aaron Ginther
our normal average for May is 70F/51F, and as of today we are at
68F/48F. With pretty much over 80F and even possible 90F in the next 5
days. I see us ending the month at exactly normal here. Our warmest high
so far was yesterday at 86F and the coldest was 50F on 5/15. Our
warmest low was this morning at 69F and the coldest low was 37F on 5/16.
Neven Prvinic ·
Aaron Ginther
I just noticed that our normal low in may matches yours which on
surface seems wierd with you being some distance south of me. However,
this is most likely due to the lake effect we have here living on the
large body of water. Also not sure what your evelation is, and if you
are in the valley and cold air drains down, that can be a part of it
too. That would explain why our growing season tends to be much longer
here close to the lake than many areas several states south of me. That
same lake does keep our highs little cooler often than areas not far
south of me (mostly in spring only).
Aaron Ginther ·
Neven Prvinic
yes, I'm in the foothills of the Blue Ridge mountains just to my west.
So our days are quite warm in the summer months, with average highs in
the upper 80's in July. But due to the moderate elevation relief in the
western piedmont, there is usually a fair amount of spread between highs
and lows, so temperatures will fall at night all year, especially in
rural areas near the valleys. My average low in July is actually 65
degrees. But our official climate station is at the airport, located
just outside of the city. That would explain why temperatures at the
airport at night are usually a couple degrees cooler than the WSET
station located in mid-town just a few miles away, and even at my house.
There is a heat island effect in the cities in the Virginia foothills,
like Lynchburg, Charlottesville, and especially Roanoke.. the largest
city in this region.
Heather Moscaritolo ·
Pet Stylist at Petco
This heat can stay until December I love it!
Michael Carenza Jr. ·
My local forecasters have a big cooldown early next week for my area. I hope they are right.
Grant McGuire ·
It's called summer. If you don't like it, move. Quit complaining.
Michael Carenza Jr. ·
Grant
McGuire, You complain about the cold all the time. Should you move out?
And where am I complaining? Like I said to you before. GROW UP! This is
not your website. We all have our own opinions. What makes yours right
and others wrong?
Brent Richardson ·
Michael
Carenza Jr. He's just a cry baby. I dont know how he's still in this
forum. Too bad brutal winter is coming in just 3-4 more months. Going to
be EPIC 2016-2017 winter this year with super la nina. Northeast is
gonna get hit hard with brutal temp and snowstorms.
Michael Carenza Jr. ·
Brent
Richardson, You got that right. He cries about everything. He's like
the little kid who cries when he can't get his way. Then acts like Mr.
tough guy when he does.
Neven Prvinic ·
Grant McGuire remember not to feed the troll, it never works. I need to get better at that too.
Works at Fortinos
Actual temps (Excluding heat index) could be close to 90F in the GTA on Friday and Saturday.
Neven Prvinic ·
Looks
like it will be time for a Presque Isle, in Erie PA, beach trip this
upcoming long weekend. Who knows, I may be brave enough to "cool off"
briefly in the 55-60F lake Erie water.
Aaron Ginther ·
Upper
level ridging, combined with full May sunshine could very well unsure
temperatures climb higher than currently forecasted. Remember, the May
sun angle is equivalent to the July sun.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Aaron Ginther just as long as there are no lake breezes, temps could get warmer than forecasted.
Mark Wesland ·
Aaron
is right about the potential for temps to be higher on some days during
this upcoming warm spell. In fact, it is 88 right now at Midway
airport on Chicago's south side and the forecast today was to only sneak
above 80. So get ready guys because this warmup means business.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Neven Prvinic water might still be too cold for me.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Mark
Wesland that hasn't really been the case here as much. Around 84F up
here which is amazingly pleasant after these crappy last 2 months, but
that was forecasted.
Aaron Ginther ·
Neven Prvinic
that is wayyyy too cold for swimming. I swam at the northern shore of
Norfolk in the mouth of the Chesapeake in mid-June 2014 and when I
stepped in, it took my breath away. The water felt very cold to me and I
didn't last very long. And surface temperatures are typically in the
upper 60's to near 70F at that time off the Virginia coast. But I was at
the SC Grand Strand last year in June, and walked right in and the
water felt comfortable. Of course, down there water temperatures are
right around 80F then.
They say you can run the risk of hypothermia swimming in anything below 72 degrees, and your body will find it cold and go into shock. Personally, I'll step into 72-74F water and my breath will be taken away.
They say you can run the risk of hypothermia swimming in anything below 72 degrees, and your body will find it cold and go into shock. Personally, I'll step into 72-74F water and my breath will be taken away.
Neven Prvinic ·
Cory Morrison
with our lake getting close to 60F, the days of teh substantial lake
breeze are about over in my area. If there is any lake breeze from now
on, it will be more like being little less humid and comfortable near
the lake vs. inland.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Neven Prvinic
last summer there were still many substantial lake breeze days up here
(Particularly in June into early July), but again the lake was a lot
colder as 2015 had a much colder winter than this year.
Neven Prvinic ·
Cory,
i can see that you guys can get more pronounced lake breeze and pretty
much all summer as your lake is very deep and takes long time to warm
up, and it seldom gets very warm. On the other hand Erie is so shallow.
If you draw a line from Cleveland due north accross the lake, the
deepest part may be 60 ft deep. Is is deeper towards Buffalo, but still
the most shallow of all lakes by far. This allows the water to warm up
rapidly snd most summers to upper 70's to even 80, which is shocking for
a body of watef that big, this far north. I was on the beach today, and
felt the water which did not seem that cold. They reported upper 50's
of Cleveland, but that is measured about 20-30 ft deep. In the shallow
on the beach it can easily be much warmer.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Neven Prvinic
that could also be a reason why Lake Ontario does not produce
significant lake-effect snow as much as Erie and Huron do. The lake
temperatures just do not rise as steadily in Ontario in the spring and
summer months, and often remain cooler in the fall as well.
Cory Morrison I found out one section of the beach I go to is going topless this summer..Lord Today!!
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