By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
June 17,2015; 11:04PM,EDT
Areas of heavy rain and thunderstorms will extend from parts of the Midwest to the Northeast, while more searing heat and blazing sunshine are forecast for the South on Father's Day.
Storms and Rain to Drench Midwest, Northeast
A combination of the remnants of Bill and an approaching front will squeeze moisture out of the atmosphere from the central Plains to the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians, mid-Atlantic and New England on Father's Day.
Rain falling on saturated ground can lead to localized incidents of flash, urban and stream flooding.
People in this swath may want to have alternative plans that include indoor activities as it may not be the best of days for a ballgame or a fishing trip.
Those traveling by way of area streets and highways should be on the lookout for flooding and not drive through roadways that are under water. Thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening, have the potential to cause airline delays.
Even when it will not be raining, high humidity and warmth will make it feel uncomfortable, unless your activities include a brief dip in the pool or visit to the beach.
An exception to the warmth will be the northern Plains to the upper Great Lakes, where a push of Canadian air will occur. There will be a pocket of showers and storms from part of North Dakota to northern Minnesota to around Lake Superior.
Another Day of Searing Heat for South
As has been the case this week, excessive heat with high humidity and blazing sunshine will bake the Southeastern states for the Father's Day weekend.
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Temperatures will challenge record highs for June 21 from southern Virginia to the Carolinas, Georgia, northern Florida and Alabama.
AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures will range from 100 to 110 F over much of this swath and will make it dangerous for vigorous outdoor activities. Consider heading to the beach or pool, rather than playing baseball, jogging or a bicycle ride.
Areas farther west from Tennessee to Mississippi and Louisiana, as well as South Florida will be still be hot, just not so extreme as areas farther to the northeast as spotty storms tame temperatures.
Southern Plains to Dry Out
In the wake of Bill and tropical moisture most areas from Texas to Oklahoma, Arkansas and the southern parts of Kansas and Missouri will dry out under intense June sunshine on Father's Day weekend.
However, a few storms will erupt over parts of southern and central Texas during Sunday afternoon.
As runoff from Bill works its way downstream into the larger rivers in the region, flooding of nearby parkland and some neighborhoods can occur. In some cases, the flooding that began during May will continue.
Sun to Shine on Much of West
A lack of storm systems will translate to mainly sunny and rain-free conditions for much of the West on Father's Day. Even most areas in the Rockies, which have seen nearly daily thunderstorm activity during June will be dry.
The weather will cooperate for most activities including hiking and golfing. Just remember to drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen as the sun is intense this time of the year.
Morning low clouds along the Pacific coast will yield to afternoon sunshine and should make for a good beach or boating day.
- William Smith · Top Commenter · Inventory at Rem BarThis proves once again that accuweather's forecasts, particularly in terms of what a particular season will be like are just bunk! Where are these "more 90's this year than last for the northeast", when I look at the 45-day weather forecast and see NO 90's for all of July and July is the month for 90+ heat here. Unless we get some heatwaves in August looks like accuweather blew another summer forecast at least for us here in the northeast.
- Barry ButlerIt was so hot today here on the gulf coast I saw a voltwagon with two humps!
- Wayne Langhuber · Top Commenter · Tax Specialist at Robert Basickes CPAI noticed the 8-14 day outlook. NY State is expecting below normal temps. Virginia is expecting above normal temps. MD, Pa, DE and NJ are in the normal category. I am guessing that means ring of fire convection is likely in my area. The Euro has the heaviest rain in Northern Pa so that means we will be on the hot side of the remnants of Bill. If it goes into NY State then Sunday could be very hot, humid with severe thunderstorms. Another cool front is expected to hit out area Monday but then may stall right over or just north of where I am at. The good side of this is 1). It keeps the high heat away 2). It provides much needed rain since we are still at a deficit for the year but the down side is 1). Very high humidity and 2). Severe risk. If this was last summer the cold front would probably just zip right through and we would have nice temps and low humidity Tuesday. But that Ridge in the Southeast looks to remain strong well into July. And if we continue to remain on the periphery we will alternate between periods of convection and high humidity. Summer came early this year and if that pattern sets up it may feel like the dog days by the end of the month. I think by July 1 the high in the SE noses its way north so while that will cut off the rain it may cause high heat as we get closer to the fourth depending on the soil moisture content.
- Wayne Langhuber · Top Commenter · Tax Specialist at Robert Basickes CPA
- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State UniversityWhen does Accuweather predict the current pattern will break down, allowing a warming trend for northern U.S.
- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State University
- Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Inventory Clerk at Independent Distributors Inc.Hopefully next year's Father's Day will make up for this.
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