By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
May 21,2015; 7:47PM,EDT
Memorial Day marks the unofficial start to summer, but the summer warmth set to dominate the Northeast next week will not be here to stay.
The last week of May will feel like summer across the Northeast.
After warmth surges into the mid-Atlantic for Memorial Day, warm and humid air from the South and Ohio Valley will flood the entire Northeast by the middle of next week.
Many locations in the Northeast will experience consecutive days with highs near or above 80 F next week. Philadelphia and Baltimore will be among the communities along the mid-Atlantic's I-95 corridor that could record the first 90-degree day of the year.
The humid air will create even higher AccuWeather RealFeel® temperatures.
Those looking to escape the warmth may want to plan a trip to the southwest-facing beaches of the Northeast. Winds flowing off the cooler ocean may limit the amount of warming.
Daily showers and thunderstorms will dot the Northeast amid the steamy air with the afternoon and evening hours being the most active. While creating disruptions for outdoor plans, the rainfall will be beneficial.
The United States Drought Monitor reported on May 21 that nearly 23 percent of the Northeast is in the midst of a moderate drought. The greatest concentration of this status is centered on southern and central New England and southeastern New York.
While summer warmth will dominate next week, AccuWeather Expert Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok stated that it will not last long.
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"The warmth will back off [for the last weekend of May]," Pastelok said.
The cooler air due to arrive that weekend will pale in comparison to what will kick off this Memorial Day holiday weekend. Temperatures will return closer to normal for May 30-31 with less communities facing a frost/freeze concern.
"If it clears out during the last weekend of May, there could be another frost across the interior of New York to northern New England," added Pastelok. "However, that frost threat does not look to be as widespread as this Friday night [May 22]."
This Friday night should also be the last threat of a frost and freeze from Pennsylvania southward, according to Pastelok.
The Northeast will remain the battleground of cool shots and surging summer warmth into early June.
Due to the atmosphere naturally warming heading into summer, "The one thing to note is that each cooler air mass will not be as cool as the previous," Pastelok said.
As the cool shots wane, the source region of warmth for the Northeast this summer--the northern Plains--will also be heating up and setting the stage for the above-normal temperatures and drier conditions that Pastelok expects will dominate the Northeast this summer.
- William Smith · Top Commenter · Inventory at Rem BarI don't know, accuweather.com keeps saying that this summer is going to be much hotter than last summer was, with more temps in the 90's, but if you look at their long-range, 45-day forecast, at least for us here in the NYC area they have it staying in the 70's each day from like June 25 to the Fourth of July.I know there's still plenty of summer left after July 4, but doesn't give any indication that this summer will be hotter than last looking at that long-range forecast for this area, at least.
J Kevin Wade · Follow · Owensboro, KentuckyGuess who's NOT going to be surprised the winter of 2015-16 will turn out to become as vicious and hardiness-zone-crossing frigid as 2013-14 and 2014-15? THAT will be three consecutive ultra-hostile North American winters, imagine that. If 2014-15 was worse than 2013-14, then I expect 2015-16 to be even worse than 2014-15. I can definitely see the connection.
Cottone Mathere · Top CommenterThe pattern change seems to have arrived. Instead of a warm pattern, we are now in an average one, with 4-5 days of cool, followed by 4-5 days of warm. I have been pretty good overall this spring on these. And better than most. But this one hasn't solidified yet. So I don't want to get ahead of myself.
Marty Bell · Top Commenter · Madison central hs old bridge njIs it just me...or does Accuweather have a knack for putting a damper on just about everything? I mean, here we are at the end of May almost and where I am located (NE PA) it has been a really nasty past few days with temps struggling to get out of the 40's and brisk, cold winds. The thoughts of the weekend warming gradually and then more heat coming back into town is getting me through yet another cold shot. But here comes Accuweather, already posting headlines that the upcoming warmth of the holiday weekend and following few days will not last. Really? Seriously? It's just like winter, when you guys have to throw out bones of massive winter storms "on the horizon" except your horizon is two weeks away! It will be nice to see if Accuweather's summer forecast even plays out as they claim, as is claimed in this article, with a lot of heat especially for the Northeast. I'm hearing more and more about the dreaded El Nino coming on stronger than was originally anticipated which will really have an effect on summer weather projections made a month or two ago. Latest talk is that the summer will now be cooler than originally thought and...wait for it...wait for it...a MILD winter. Oh goodie, goodie...joy, joy! (NOT!) Summers should be hot and winters should be cold and snowy...end of story.- Cottone Mathere · Top CommenterMarty, you do have a point. The article is poorly written, which is not uncommon for them. They are saying that the glass is half empty. But in reality, it looks like about 5 days of above normal temp.'s. They could just as easily say: "Balmy warmth to dominate entire week in northeast." But In all fairness to them, this 5 days of warmth is a change from what we had been seeing, so they are trying to emphasize that hot weather is not here to stay. Also, there may not be high confidence in the forecast, which is why they sometimes downplay things. Perhaps there is the risk for a backdoor front.
- Cottone Mathere · Top CommenterThey really need to have professional writers working together with meteorologists to make articles. Making a forecast and CONVEYING that information are two different things. And people tend to be meteorologically inept. So many people misread and misunderstand forecasts. They hear "scattered afternoon showers," and think "I can't to anything outside because they said it's supposed to rain." Our schools need to drill reading comprehension into their students. I am a big advocate of the SAT style, where there are sections of brief essays, and you are told to answer questions on them. This type of thing should done in regular curriculum in high school and in college. The problem with college, is that the emphasis is on doing research and writing a thesis paper, and evaluating literature. And it is assumed that reading comprehension is established. But it isn't. And countless college graduates still have poor reading comprehension. I see it all the time.
Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State UniversityIf the 45-day showed even a couple of 90s, I'd feel more confident in having a hot summer.
Debbie Brunell · Top Commenter... this is more good news! warm weather will be short, almost end of may and still no major heat wave! looking more and more like summer will be at the worst mild.- Cottone Mathere · Top CommenterDebbie...there isn't supposed to be a major heat wave in may. But is has been above normal, warm, an muggy. Look at the big picture: 4-5 days below average, and then 4-5 days above average. So a fairly normal patter. Now, the above normal pattern will come back for a time, prob. around June 10-15. Then July most likely will average a little below normal.
Cory Morrison · Follow · Top Commenter · Filing/Inventory Clerk at Independent Distributors Inc.Just as long as the summer is warmer than 2014 in Southern Ontario, then I won't be complaining too much.- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State University
- Grant McGuire · Top Commenter · Western Connecticut State University
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