Severe Storms Expected in the Southern Plains Through Early Sunday

Tom Moore

Published: September 17, 2016 A potent disturbance aloft, a surface cold front and ample moisture could be enough to produce severe thunderstorms overnight into Sunday morning in west and southwestern Texas.

Radar, Watches, and Warnings

Some locations could see damaging winds, large hail and locally heavy rain.
(MORE: An Update on La Niña for This Fall and Winter)
Into Sunday Morning

• Forecast: Strong to severe storms may continue toward dawn in southwestern and western Texas. 
• Threats: These thunderstorms may contain large hail and gusty winds. 

Thunderstorm Forecast into Sunday Morning

Setup For Severe Weather

Late Week Jet Stream Forecast

In the upper atmosphere, a southwesterly flow of moisture and energy moves around low pressure aloft and into the southern Plains. These elements will be responsible for triggering severe thunderstorms into Sunday morning.

A frontal boundary and Gulf moisture will team up to produce thunderstorms across the southern Plains Saturday

At the surface, a stalled front will extend from New Mexico through the southern Plains
The front will interact with ample moisture coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, resulting in thunderstorms.
(MORE: The 15 Most Frustrating Weather Patterns)
Some of these thunderstorms will turn severe with damaging winds and large hail.
MORE: Plains, Midwest Severe Weather and Flooding