Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Why Tropical Waves Are Important During Hurricane Season

Jonathan Belles
Published: July 12,2016

As hurricane season ramps up, meteorologists begin to look farther east for tropical activity – all the way to Africa.
Tropical waves, often called African easterly waves, are the building blocks for much of the tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic and even Pacific basins. These are not waves in the ocean in the sense that you can play in them at the beach, but the ocean does play a large part in pumping moisture into these tropical waves that exist from near-surface level to 10,000 feet above the ocean.
According to the National Hurricane Center, 60 tropical waves track across the Atlantic Ocean each year. Roughly one in five of these tropical waves becomes an Atlantic Basin tropical cyclone, and a few of these waves become tropical storms or hurricanes in the eastern Pacific.
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Most hurricanes develop from these lines of showers that cross the Atlantic, and can often be traced as far back as eastern Africa.

What Is a Tropical Wave?

The formation of a tropical wave can be traced back to Africa.

































Tropical waves are batches of energy and general spin in the atmosphere that develop due to temperature contrasts in northern Africa.
Like cold fronts in the United States that gain energy from contrasts between Canadian arctic air and warm Gulf of Mexico air, tropical waves thrive on energy provided by the contrast between deep, hot air over the Sahara Desert and cooler, more humid air over forested areas of the Gulf of Guinea and central Africa.
That contrast between hot and cold increases during the summer months as the Sahara Desert heats up.
The frequency of tropical waves peaks in July when that contrast is the highest in western Africa. It's the time of year when about 10 tropical waves roll off the African continent per month.
(MORE: Pacific Tropical Parade Is Underway)
Tropical waves can take a few weeks to cross the Atlantic Ocean under the guidance from the Bermuda-Azores high.
These waves journey westward across the Atlantic and Caribbean, aided by the constant push of the Bermuda-Azores High. It usually takes one to two weeks for waves to successfully cross the Atlantic, but many waves do not survive that trek.
The waves may or may not contain thunderstorm activity. In the early part of the hurricane season, easterly waves are often dry because they collect dry air from the Sahara Desert.
That dry air often pools in the eastern Atlantic and stretches to the eastern Caribbean islands, often referred to as the "Saharan Air Layer." That dry air can sometimes reach the Southeastern U.S., providing drier conditions and more colorful sunsets.
(MORE: Saharan Dust From Africa Brings Hazy Skies to Texas Gulf Coast)
From July through September, tropical waves are more likely to contain thunderstorms and thus are more likely to become tropical cyclones.
Diagram showing tropical wave movement to the west. Africa is near the center of the diagram. Time progresses from top to bottom over a two-day period.
Tropical waves are tracked on satellite imagery through Africa and across the Atlantic using specialized "Hovmöller Diagrams" (seen above) that make it easy to follow them from east to west.
(INTERACTIVE: Latest Africa Satellite Loop)
Tropical waves with active thunderstorms often look like an inverted "V," especially as they develop further. A small rain band may exist on the western side of a tropical wave, with a much stronger and broader band on the eastern side.
Tropical waves are watched by the NHC and can be investigated using specialized tropical models and satellite floaters. Development probability and the chance of tropical cyclone formation are diagnosed by the NHC every six hours during hurricane season.
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Without a satellite loop, you may not know a tropical wave is approaching. Ahead of a mature tropical wave approaching the Caribbean islands, for instance, the weather is generally fine; falling surface barometric pressure would be your only clue, as air generally sinks ahead of a tropical wave.
The structure of a tropical wave.


































Once the wave axis passes – in other words, surface pressure bottoms out – winds shift out of the southeast and showers and thundershowers pick up.
In the early stages of a tropical wave over the eastern Atlantic, some clouds and showers can overlap over the wave axis. Generally speaking, however, the rain is on the eastern side of the tropical wave.
Tropical waves can bring flooding rains and gusty winds to the Caribbean islands and Central America. Tropical waves often move at 10 to 20 mph, but can move faster.
These waves need to survive dry air, fast upper-level winds and the elevated terrain of the Caribbean islands before they can impact the United States. Only tropical waves in near-ideal conditions can become hurricanes.
MORE: Hurricanes, as Seen from Space

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