By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
July 12,2016; 4:00AM,EDT
Temperatures more typical of the middle of July will return to the northeastern United States by midweek.
As an area of high pressure swings offshore, the door will open for temperature and humidity levels to trend upward.
On Tuesday, many communities in the eastern Great Lakes will record highs in the lower 90s F.
At midweek, widespread highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s are expected throughout the Northeast.
The greatest departures from normal and most numerous 90-degree readings will likely occur from the eastern Great Lakes to New England on Wednesday.
"Despite the upcoming heat, very few places will challenge record highs, since many record temperatures are in the upper 90s to low 100s this time of the year," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.
On Wednesday, Rochester, New York, could endure its highest temperature since July 2012, if the temperature reaches 97, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Bill Deger.
Later this week, the heat will intensify along the I-95 corridor of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England. However, the warmth will be gradually trimmed across the interior.
Humidity and other conditions will cause AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures to be even higher.
RealFeel temperatures during the second half of this week will climb to or past the century mark across parts of the mid-Atlantic and potentially southern New England and New York State.
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Northeastern US interactive radar
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Residents should take the necessary precautions to avoid sustaining a heat-related illness. Never leave a child or pet in the car, even if it is for a short time.
As the week progresses, a mosaic of spotty thunderstorms will develop. The storms will be most common during the afternoon and evening hours.
The majority of cooling thunderstorms, along with needed rainfall, will occur across the interior of the Northeast during the second half of the week.
While some locations can be hit with a storm nearly every day from midweek on, still a few locations may escape the week with little or no rainfall.
A cold front will arrive on Friday and could trim the steamy air for the weekend.
Prolonged heat relief will not be the theme for the remainder of July and even into August in the Northeast, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey.
In the Northeast, "The heat will likely be a bit of in and out through the summer with quick-moving systems bringing temperatures well above normal for a few days before a day or two of relief," he said. "Then temperatures will begin to rise again."
For areas that miss out on the cooling thunderstorms this week, Duffey also provided positive news.
"We feel that there is a good chance for rainfall to begin reaching more places as we head toward the end of the month," he said.
"We do not expect at this time for there to be enough rain to bring the entire Northeast out of its developing
Lisa Short ·
Miserable weather in Southeast Michigan. We live in the North for a reason. It should never get this hot here!
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
2012
was way hotter than this in SE Michigan (Although I definitely will not
deny that it has been warm so far this summer), so it is not like 90F
heat is unusual this far north. Maybe with the past few summers being on
the cool side, you may be surprised to have this kind of heat.
Matthew Kleid
Michigan has a continental climate. There is no ocean to moderate temperatures.
Mild climates like San Diego, on the other hand, are constantly cooled by the ocean - nature's air conditioner. Summer temperatures are in the 70s there, sunny and dry.
Mild climates like San Diego, on the other hand, are constantly cooled by the ocean - nature's air conditioner. Summer temperatures are in the 70s there, sunny and dry.
Aaron Ginther ·
It
hasn't really been a hot summer in central VA. We've had our trademark
high humidity, which is typical.. but temperatures have been right
around average. In fact, we had a very wet May and June. DRIER weather
would actually be nice. The story of this summer so far is not the
heat... it's the humidity that has made it felt like a tropical steam
bath, and that's usually how it goes in the summertime. In fact, on a
few days last week there were dew points almost as high as 80 in the
Richmond metro. One thing I don't like about our summers here in
Virginia is the humidity stays semi-permanent. Farther north in New
England, it gets humid.. yes, but they get frequent breaks in the
humidity levels. I like summer, and I love sunny and warm to hot days,
but the suffocating humidity makes it hard to enjoy.
2
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
It has been a slightly warm summer here overall, but the bigger story has been the lack of rain.
Aaron Ginther ·
Cory Morrison
but it still sort of irritates me that we haven't been able to hit 90F
officially so far for the month of July, because last week we had too
much clouds (we had 88s, 89s) and thunderstorms as a result of the
humidity. We've had 4 days in the month of June, but still waiting to
hit that mark in July. Despite that, heat indices have been approaching
100 pretty much everyday.
Simon Richard Bernstein ·
How
has the Baltimore, Washington area fared so far this Summer temperature
and precipitation wise? I feel it's been pretty close to normal. Warmer
than last year but not the torrid endless Summer heat and humidity of
Summers 2010, 2011 and 2012.
Alex Sosnowski ·
You
are correct. DCA = +0.8 F, Precip 95% of ave. BWI = +0.4 F, Precip 116%
of ave, since June 1. Summers of 2010, 2011 and 2012 had temps of +2 to
+4 F, comp to ave.
Aaron Ginther ·
The same as here in central VA. It's been a humid summer, not really a hot summer.
Simon Richard Bernstein ·
Aaron
Ginther Agree with you. Usual humidity. One constant; in Baltimore Art
Scape is coming this weekend. Usually it's one of the hottest muggiest
weekends in our area.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Similar here. Cooler than 2010-11-12, but warmer than 2013-14-15.
Cathe LeBlanc Satterthwaite ·
Due
to the number of surgeries I've had for a chronic pain neurological
disease, I am able to tell what the weather will be like for the next
day fromthe rise and fall in the barometric pressure. My husband asks
me what it's going to be like the next day and doesn't bother with the
news. I am more accurate than the news....
Richard Schmiedel ·
Accuweater
predicted the same thing last week and it never happened. we had one 90
degree day but on the other hand saturday was 19 degrees below normal
and not a word about that
Brian Moore ·
I
am loving the heat this summer after the last 2 summers and the delayed
spring this year it is very welcomed ! Everything is brown and wilted
in the city but no biggie but I hope the farmers get the rain they need.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
So far this summer has been a great payback for 2014.
Natalie Brunner McCormick ·
Works at Self Employed (Business)
It's funny how most weather reports never mention the state of Delaware. WHY?
Michael Manden ·
Probably
because Delaware has a smaller population, so there are less people to
read the forecasts by senior meteorologist so and so.
Also, I would imagine that, due to its position and topographical situation, any major events are moderated.
Now, say, if a hurricane, to use accuweather-speak, were to "take aim" at Rehoboth Beach, or if an "Arctic blast" would make the citizens of Dover "endure" record-breaking lows (breaking the records since 2010, that is), Delaware would indeed make the weather news.
Also, I would imagine that, due to its position and topographical situation, any major events are moderated.
Now, say, if a hurricane, to use accuweather-speak, were to "take aim" at Rehoboth Beach, or if an "Arctic blast" would make the citizens of Dover "endure" record-breaking lows (breaking the records since 2010, that is), Delaware would indeed make the weather news.
Phil Harrison ·
Patrick Powers A suburb of Philly.
Aaron Ginther ·
The
only part of Deleware that is a suburb of Philly is the extreme
northern section, around Wilmington. Culture wise, central and southern
Deleware shares characteristics with the Delmarva peninsula, including
the eastern shore of Maryland and the eastern shore of Virginia.
Natalie Brunner McCormick ·
Works at Self Employed (Business)
Aaron Ginther Thanks Aaron for the info.. That would be Delaware City that is near Wilmington..
April Hayes
I
am pleased w the weather reports here. Since I am struggling with stage
4 COPD, it lets me know what days and the time of day is best for me to
go out. So thank you.
Murray Poole ·
We need some rain in southern Ontario, but make it a warm rain and keep this glorious heat.
Monte Canfield ·
I
think the simple answer, which I have never seen any weather site do,
would be to have someone on the staff who acts as an honest ombudsman
for the viewers go back after the fact and check just how accurate these
long range forecasts actually are. Then, report that to the viewers as a
regular feature on the site. Around here in east central Ohio
forcasters are lucky to get it right for two or three days in a row. As
a motorcyclist I would likely never ride if even the short range
forecasts were right. Example, we were supposed to have afternoon
thundershowers every day but two this last week. We got none.
Personally, I would prefer that Accuweather's efforts be directed to
trying to get the next three or four days right instead of the gloomy
forecasts for a month or a season. Example: Last winter we were supposed
to get a major amount of snow: We got a total of 10" in three storms.
Our normal is 3 to 4 times that. Go figure.
Richard Schmiedel ·
This
past week are 3 day heat wave forcast by accuweather was 90, 89, and
82. Great job accuweather but that was not a heat wave. Why no big talk
about today when it was 17 degrees below normal.
William Smith ·
Works at South Park
Yeah,they've
been really off with these temps. lately,but it's not all just
accuweather. Even some of the local weathermen on TV were calling for
temps well into the 90's each of the past 4 days and while it did get
past 90 here in the NYC area on Wednesday and Thursday,it was supposed
to get to 95 yesterday but it only got to 83 or 84 and today it was
supposed to be 80 degrees but it held in the 60's all day today
instead.They really blew this forecast,particularly yesterday's and
today's.
Phil Harrison ·
We
aren't suffering from the lack of rain at the moment. We've been lucky
where I live. We seem to have caught most of the thunderstorms
rumbling by us. I was shocked how brown everything was just 20 miles
down the road.
William Smith ·
Works at South Park
That's
true here,too. Yesterday and today we were supposed to get
thunderstorms and rain and it was just cloudy,granted that last night at
around 10PM,we got some hefty thunderboomers. I did notice that even
the past couple of months,we were supposed to get all of this rain and
yet it only seemed like we did because most days were just cloudy,but we
got no rain so though we didn't see the sun much in April,May and June
we're still in the drought because of no rain,just clouds and gloomy.
Cindy Mull Noll ·
You can't forcast tomorrow let alone the whole month of July! You are amusing however.
Michael Manden ·
In
the list of articles the title for this one says that no relief is in
sight--yet this site regularly makes predictions for months ahead.
Something like this always comes along to confirm criticisms of this
site. Its staffers love heat waves, because such weather makes people
anxious, which in turn causes them to read forecasts more. Note how
there was no special report on the unusual cooldown in the NE (here in
the Albany, NY area, the temperature's now at 67. ) Note the kind of
hyberbolic, psychologically-manipulative language they use at this site.
That video in the article about the heatwave in the NE starts out with
the announcer talking about the heat with a joyful tone. Then, the video
goes on to make it seem as if such hot weather--in July, in a subtropic
area--is an unpredented threat. In the last couple of days, I submitted
some questions asking why the staffers here do the kind of things that
you, others, and myself have criticized. Tellingly, I got no response.
Richard Schmiedel ·
Michael Manden Your article couldn`t be more right. After today we are almost 4 degrees below normal for July.
Joseph Graziose
Michael
Manden Great comments , Michael, this back door cool front was totally
off their radar screen and was never mentioned in the headlines here
once it happened, nor did they explain the dynamics behind it happening
once it did.. also,.it seems to me if it doesn't rain for more than 3
days in the NE, the proclamation is "drought"...
James B. Herrick ·
Michael
Manden and others: if you don't like the concept of these long range
forecasts, please don't read them. And please don't discourage them
either. Some of us find them useful because we take into account their
limitations. I don't think a psychological analysis of the
meteorologists and their motivations is helpful, either, and I don't
understand why you think those are more accurate than a long-term
forecast.
I'm still trying to understand the reference to the NE being "subtropical".
I'm still trying to understand the reference to the NE being "subtropical".
Joseph Graziose
James
B. Herrick as far as the NE being sub-tropical, that line used to run
from Norfolk southward to about Vero Beach in the climatological
textbooks of my youth---now they call even the coastal areas of Long
Island and nearby environs under that appellation in most climatological
analyses---probably from the same think tanks that gives us long range
forecasting....
Michael Manden ·
James
B. Herrick And I'm still trying to understand your whole commentary.
Taking into account the limitations of something is one thing; it's another matter when that something is constantly inaccurate.
It can even be dangerous to rely on the forecasts here.
Now, as for discouraging forecasts: maybe you use the word "discourage" because you know that when people get to thinking about the forecasts here, and how they're consistently inaccurate, they'll indeed not visit this site anymore.
And, as for my psychoanalysis, the results of the staffers' motivations are proof for what I say--and, I'm not the only one who's cited these bits of proof....See More
Taking into account the limitations of something is one thing; it's another matter when that something is constantly inaccurate.
It can even be dangerous to rely on the forecasts here.
Now, as for discouraging forecasts: maybe you use the word "discourage" because you know that when people get to thinking about the forecasts here, and how they're consistently inaccurate, they'll indeed not visit this site anymore.
And, as for my psychoanalysis, the results of the staffers' motivations are proof for what I say--and, I'm not the only one who's cited these bits of proof....See More
Michael Manden ·
Richard Schmiedel See how accuweather really wants a heat wave.
It'd be great if they would be prosaic and scientific in their articles.
"A cold front will arrive on Friday and should trim the steamy air for next weekend, but the more comfortable air may not hang on long."
Note the use of the word "trim," which implies just a little bit of change.
And note the use of the word "may" (which implies possiblity), and the use of the word "should" (which implies possiblity.)...See More
It'd be great if they would be prosaic and scientific in their articles.
"A cold front will arrive on Friday and should trim the steamy air for next weekend, but the more comfortable air may not hang on long."
Note the use of the word "trim," which implies just a little bit of change.
And note the use of the word "may" (which implies possiblity), and the use of the word "should" (which implies possiblity.)...See More
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Richard
Schmiedel actually, Connecticut and the NYC area have been right around
normal so far this month. My guess is that the highs have been
suffering more than the lows where you are.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
Joseph
Graziose many of us do not consider less than 3 consecutive days of
rain to be a drought. Some GL and Northeast locations have actually gone
days/weeks without serious rainfall, and the lawns are looking
brown/yellow. The drought monitor shows much of this region being in the
abnormally dry category at least as well.
Cory Morrison ·
Works at Fortinos
James
B. Herrick I agree with what you are saying. I am not trying to stick
up for Accuwx or anything, but if some of you do not like the concept of
long-range forecasting, and complain about how inaccurate they are,
then this is not the place to be. I doubt meteorologists are trying to
scare people about the heat either (I have been a regular Accuwx viewer
for years, and I know that whenever there is cooler air, they always
forecast/report it, even in the summer). They predict heat because they
see signs of it happening with tools that they use. They have been
accurate about the warmth so far in my area farther north in the Great
Lakes, even though the heat has been tempered farther south and east. So
their forecast is not 100% accurate? So what? Meteorology is an inexact
science, and if weather forecasting did not exist, that would be
dangerous in severe weather. Also, people would have a very hard time
planning things.
The majority of the Northeast is experiencing at least abnormally dry conditions, according to the United States Drought Monitor.
Severe drought conditions have developed in parts of Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire.
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