Sunday, July 10, 2016

Northeastern US: 90-degree heat, humidity to make a comeback this week

By , Senior Meteorologist
July 10,2016; 10:49PM,EDT
 
 
While the northeastern United States will catch a break from heat and humidity to start the new week, another surge of heat looms.
As an area of high pressure swings offshore, the door will open for temperatures and humidity levels to once again soar on Tuesday into Wednesday across the Northeast.
On Tuesday, many communities in the eastern Great Lakes will record highs in the lower 90s F. At midweek, widespread highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s are expected throughout the Northeast.
The greatest departures from normal and most numerous 90-degree readings will likely occur from the eastern Great Lakes to New England on Wednesday, as opposed to the mid-Atlantic.

A few places will challenge record highs at midweek. This includes in Rochester, New York, which could endure its highest temperature since the summer of 2012 with a high of 97, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Bill Deger.
Later this week, the heat will intensify along the I-95 corridor of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England but gradually get trimmed across the interior.
This week could bring another heat wave (three days with highs of at least 90) to Rochester; Hartford, Connecticut; Philadelphia and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Trenton, New Jersey; Baltimore; and Washington, D.C. New York City and Boston will come close to enduring the first heat wave of the summer.
Occasional clouds and thunderstorms would be the main deterrent for some of these cities to narrowly miss reaching the heat wave threshold.
Regardless of whether a heat wave unfolds or not, humidity will cause AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures to be even higher.
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RealFeels during the second half of this week will dangerously climb to or past the century mark across the mid-Atlantic (east of the Appalachians) and potentially into a part of southern New England and New York State.
Residents will once again have to take the necessary precautions to avoid sustaining a heat-related illness. Be sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks (preferably in air-conditioned buildings) and avoid strenuous activities during the midday and afternoon hours (the hottest times of the day).
Never leave a child or pet in the car, even if it is for a short time.
The majority of daily cooling thunderstorms, along with needed rainfall, will occur across the interior of the Northeast during the second half of the week. A spotty thunderstorm will occasionally dot the I-95 corridor.
A cold front will arrive on Friday and should trim the steamy air for next weekend, but the more comfortable air may not hang on long.

Prolonged heat relief will not be the theme for the remainder of July and even into August in the Northeast, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey.
"The heat will likely be a bit of in and out through the summer with quick-moving systems bringing temperatures well above normal for a few days before a day or two of relief," he said. "Then temperatures will begin to rise again."
For areas that miss out on the cooling thunderstorms this week, Duffey also provided positive news.
"We feel that there is a good chance for rainfall to begin reaching more places as we head toward the end of the month," he said.
"We do not expect at this time for there to be enough rain to bring the entire Northeast out of its developing drought, but it may be enough to prevent conditions from deteriorating further."
The majority of the Northeast, north of the Pennsylvania Turnpike, were experiencing at least abnormally dry conditions when the United States Drought Monitor released its report last Thursday.
Severe drought conditions had developed in parts of Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire.



Richard Schmiedel ·
Accuweater predicted the same thing last week and it never happened. we had one 90 degree day but on the other hand saturday was 19 degrees below normal and not a word about that
Brian Moore ·
I am loving the heat this summer after the last 2 summers and the delayed spring this year it is very welcomed ! Everything is brown and wilted in the city but no biggie but I hope the farmers get the rain they need.
Like · Reply · 1 hr
Natalie Brunner McCormick ·
It's funny how most weather reports never mention the state of Delaware. WHY?
Michael Manden ·
Probably because Delaware has a smaller population, so there are less people to read the forecasts by senior meteorologist so and so.

Also, I would imagine that, due to its position and topographical situation, any major events are moderated.

Now, say, if a hurricane, to use accuweather-speak, were to "take aim" at Rehoboth Beach, or if an "Arctic blast" would make the citizens of Dover "endure" record-breaking lows (breaking the records since 2010, that is), Delaware would indeed make the weather news.
Like · Reply · 3 hrs
Patrick Powers
What's Delaware?
Like · Reply · 2 hrs
April Hayes
I am pleased w the weather reports here. Since I am struggling with stage 4 COPD, it lets me know what days and the time of day is best for me to go out. So thank you.
Murray Poole ·
We need some rain in southern Ontario, but make it a warm rain and keep this glorious heat.
Like · Reply · 2 · 17 hrs
Monte Canfield ·
I think the simple answer, which I have never seen any weather site do, would be to have someone on the staff who acts as an honest ombudsman for the viewers go back after the fact and check just how accurate these long range forecasts actually are. Then, report that to the viewers as a regular feature on the site. Around here in east central Ohio forcasters are lucky to get it right for two or three days in a row. As a motorcyclist I would likely never ride if even the short range forecasts were right. Example, we were supposed to have afternoon thundershowers every day but two this last week. We got none. Personally, I would prefer that Accuweather's efforts be directed to trying to get the next three or four days right instead of the gloomy forecasts for a month or a season. Example: Last winter we were supposed to get a major amount of snow: We got a total of 10" in three storms. Our normal is 3 to 4 times that. Go figure.
Like · Reply · 4 · 23 hrs
Richard Schmiedel ·
This past week are 3 day heat wave forcast by accuweather was 90, 89, and 82. Great job accuweather but that was not a heat wave. Why no big talk about today when it was 17 degrees below normal.
William Smith ·
Works at South Park
Yeah,they've been really off with these temps. lately,but it's not all just accuweather. Even some of the local weathermen on TV were calling for temps well into the 90's each of the past 4 days and while it did get past 90 here in the NYC area on Wednesday and Thursday,it was supposed to get to 95 yesterday but it only got to 83 or 84 and today it was supposed to be 80 degrees but it held in the 60's all day today instead.They really blew this forecast,particularly yesterday's and today's.
Like · Reply · Jul 9, 2016 11:37pm
Phil Harrison ·
We aren't suffering from the lack of rain at the moment. We've been lucky where I live. We seem to have caught most of the thunderstorms rumbling by us. I was shocked how brown everything was just 20 miles down the road.
William Smith ·
Works at South Park
That's true here,too. Yesterday and today we were supposed to get thunderstorms and rain and it was just cloudy,granted that last night at around 10PM,we got some hefty thunderboomers. I did notice that even the past couple of months,we were supposed to get all of this rain and yet it only seemed like we did because most days were just cloudy,but we got no rain so though we didn't see the sun much in April,May and June we're still in the drought because of no rain,just clouds and gloomy.
Like · Reply · Just now
Cindy Mull Noll ·
You can't forcast tomorrow let alone the whole month of July! You are amusing however.
Michael Manden ·
In the list of articles the title for this one says that no relief is in sight--yet this site regularly makes predictions for months ahead. Something like this always comes along to confirm criticisms of this site. Its staffers love heat waves, because such weather makes people anxious, which in turn causes them to read forecasts more. Note how there was no special report on the unusual cooldown in the NE (here in the Albany, NY area, the temperature's now at 67. ) Note the kind of hyberbolic, psychologically-manipulative language they use at this site. That video in the article about the heatwave in the NE starts out with the announcer talking about the heat with a joyful tone. Then, the video goes on to make it seem as if such hot weather--in July, in a subtropic area--is an unpredented threat. In the last couple of days, I submitted some questions asking why the staffers here do the kind of things that you, others, and myself have criticized. Tellingly, I got no response.
Like · Reply · 6 · Jul 9, 2016 3:08pm
Ron Small
Michael Manden I agree 100%. Sadly it seems the only good response is to stop reading the site. Actually the only thing I find accurate here is the radar.
Like · Reply · 4 · Jul 9, 2016 4:02pm · Edited
Richard Schmiedel ·
Michael Manden Your article couldn`t be more right. After today we are almost 4 degrees below normal for July.
Like · Reply · 1 · Jul 9, 2016 9:48pm
Joseph Graziose
Michael Manden Great comments , Michael, this back door cool front was totally off their radar screen and was never mentioned in the headlines here once it happened, nor did they explain the dynamics behind it happening once it did.. also,.it seems to me if it doesn't rain for more than 3 days in the NE, the proclamation is "drought"...
Like · Reply · 1 · 23 hrs
James B. Herrick ·
Michael Manden and others: if you don't like the concept of these long range forecasts, please don't read them. And please don't discourage them either. Some of us find them useful because we take into account their limitations. I don't think a psychological analysis of the meteorologists and their motivations is helpful, either, and I don't understand why you think those are more accurate than a long-term forecast.

I'm still trying to understand the reference to the NE being "subtropical".
Like · Reply · 14 hrs
Joseph Graziose
James B. Herrick as far as the NE being sub-tropical, that line used to run from Norfolk southward to about Vero Beach in the climatological textbooks of my youth---now they call even the coastal areas of Long Island and nearby environs under that appellation in most climatological analyses---probably from the same think tanks that gives us long range forecasting....
Like · Reply · 1 · 11 hrs
Michael Manden ·
James B. Herrick And I'm still trying to understand your whole commentary.

Taking into account the limitations of something is one thing; it's another matter when that something is constantly inaccurate.

It can even be dangerous to rely on the forecasts here.

Now, as for discouraging forecasts: maybe you use the word "discourage" because you know that when people get to thinking about the forecasts here, and how they're consistently inaccurate, they'll indeed not visit this site anymore.

And, as for my psychoanalysis, the results of the staffers' motivations are proof for what I say--and, I'm not the only one who's cited these bits of proof.


PS When I used the word "subtropic," it was because there were palm trees in the background of that video--so accuweather was talking about a heat wave in the normally hot and humid South.

"'Nuff said."
Like · Reply · 11 hrs
Michael Manden ·
Richard Schmiedel See how accuweather really wants a heat wave.

It'd be great if they would be prosaic and scientific in their articles.

"A cold front will arrive on Friday and should trim the steamy air for next weekend, but the more comfortable air may not hang on long."

Note the use of the word "trim," which implies just a little bit of change.

And note the use of the word "may" (which implies possiblity), and the use of the word "should" (which implies possiblity.)


They're trying to induce worry, but they're not consistent in their writing.

"Prolonged heat relief will not be the theme for the remainder of July and even into August in the Northeast, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey."

The word "relief" implies a difficult situation, and note that there's to be no prolonged relief for a while.

This deliberate setting up of a negative scenario is cruel to those with serious health problems who worry about the heat.
Like · Reply · 1 hr



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