By Brett Rathbun, AccuWeather.com Meteorologist
July 14,2016; 8:42PM,EDT
Dangerous summertime thunderstorms will impact portions of the interior Northeast and central Plains into Thursday night.
A cold front stretching from the Great Lakes to the central Plains, along with warm, humid air in place, will assist in the development of two separate areas of strong to severe thunderstorms.
The more robust thunderstorm activity will be focused across portions of Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas.
"A thunderstorm complex is expected to propagate eastward into eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas during the evening and overnight hours," AccuWeather Meteorologist Ryan Adamson said.
Those in the risk area include Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Oklahoma; and Fayetteville, Arkansas.
These thunderstorms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and flooding rainfall. Some of the strongest storms could also produce large hail.
The threat for flash flooding will be the greatest across any communities hit hard by thunderstorms already this week.
Elsewhere, a line of showers and thunderstorms will move across the interior Northeast into Thursday evening.
"A few of the storms from northern New Jersey, northward to northeastern New York state and western New England can bring strong wind gusts and hail," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.
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"Of these stronger storms, one or two tornadoes could be spawned," Sosnowski added.
Those traveling along portions of interstates 87, 88, 89, 90, 91 and 93 will want to be alert for rapidly changing weather conditions.
Those traveling on areas highways will want to reduce speed in downpours to lower the risk of hydroplaning. Roads could be slick in some spots due to a build of oil associated with a lack of rain of late.
Flights could be delayed for a time, especially at regional airports including Syracuse, Albany and Watertown, New York, and Burlington, Vermont.
Winds will be strong enough to knock down trees and power lines, resulting in sporadic power outages.
The strongest storms will remain to the west of the Interstate 95 corridor from New York City to Boston and Bangor, Maine.
While some of these storms could produce some wind damage, the rain will be beneficial for the building drought across the region.
By Friday, heavy, gusty thunderstorms will be focused across parts of the Deep South as drier air builds across much of the Northeast. A few spotty showers, however, will be possible across parts of the interior.
Meanwhile, another round of severe thunderstorms is likely to develop across parts of the northern and central Plains on Friday.
Following this weekend, a change in the weather pattern will bring occasional thunderstorm activity to the East while extreme heat and dry weather builds across the Central states.
John Bottari ·
It
is totally impossible 2 predict with 100% accuracy what the weather is
going to do. Meteorologist really have quite a daunting task trying to
predict the weather. Will it reach 95 degrees today or will the the hot
sun destabilize the air to early causing clouds to form putting a cap
on the temperatures and the high might be 85. That's why when reading a
forcast you will always see the percent chance of accuracy . It's then
up to us whether or not we want to cancel our plans for outdoor
activities or not, to go on a long trip or stay at home. So please don't
blame the weatherman if the weather doesn't turn out exactly as
predicted. blame it on mother nature she's really the one that calls the
shots.
2
David Colantuono ·
Works at Unemployed
But,
watching those trees swaying outside, I'm guessing the winds had to be
gusting over 40 mph...perhaps as high as 50 mph at some point during the
storm. That's strong, but not nearly as damaging as the expected wind
gusts were predicted. According to the warning, wind gusts over 60 to
70 mph were possible with that storm. So, I'll take 40 to 50 mph wind
gusts versus 60 to 70 mph wind gusts any day of the year.
David Colantuono ·
Works at Unemployed
At
about 3:00 PM ET, Thursday, July 14, 2016...Warren County, New
Jersey...just two counties North and West of me...was under a *Tornado
Warning* for several minutes. The rotation within the thunderstorm
weakened, but it's intensity did not. The *Tornado Warning* was
replaced by a *Severe Thunderstorm Warrning* after the previous warning
was allowed to expire.
When the storm got here where I live in Somerset County...shortly before 4:00 PM...winds increased dramatically and the sky turned so dark that it looked like night time for a little while. Then, the rain poured down. Thunder and lightning were relatively minimal with only a few rumbles of thunder, here and there. But, what the storm lacked in thunder and lightning, it made up for it in downpours and strong winds. Fortunately, there was no damage reported around here that I'm aware of, anyway. I think we dodged a bullet as the worst of the storm was a bit farther to the North of us.
When the storm got here where I live in Somerset County...shortly before 4:00 PM...winds increased dramatically and the sky turned so dark that it looked like night time for a little while. Then, the rain poured down. Thunder and lightning were relatively minimal with only a few rumbles of thunder, here and there. But, what the storm lacked in thunder and lightning, it made up for it in downpours and strong winds. Fortunately, there was no damage reported around here that I'm aware of, anyway. I think we dodged a bullet as the worst of the storm was a bit farther to the North of us.
yesterday
the forecast on accuweather, for my area, was a high of 92- this
morning it was forecast to reach 93- now ( 3:23PM) the forecast says it
will reach 97...this may come as a shock to you supposed
meteorologists..but people want to know..accurately..what it is "going"
to do...not what it "was" or is doing "now"...this is typical of
accuweather..typical...typical...typical!
Dale Simmons ·
There
are several computer generated weather models, yet none can predict the
weather accurately 100% of the time. They are only forcasts, not
actual weather to be. In my years as a pilot, I know full well after
hundreds of weather briefings, never predicted full accuracy, but then
again, the clouds are the sign-posts in the sky. Too many variables to
predict the weather 100% of the time. My advice is to use the forecasts
as a guideline, but your eyes as perhaps better predicting what will
happen. For example last night I was watching Accuweather Radar to see
if I had to put the windows up in the van before I went to bed. The
forecast said nothing about rain, but a strong line of thunderstorms was
on the radar just approaching Buffalo, NY. It looked like we were to
be blasted within 2 hours by the actual movement of the line of precip.
I stayed up 2 more hours reading my voting posts on Facebook, and it
petered out before it got to us here northeast of Watertown, NY. :-)
Mark P Murtha
Dale
Simmons if i wanted to predict the weather, i would start my own
weather station..as it is, they put themselves forth as experts in their
field...when they are not even close
Dale Simmons
Very well said. I stayed up tonight in Albion, ME watching a strong line of storms that broke up just miles to our west. If anyone really wants to know what the weather is going to do then need keep close watch on the current trends
Very well said. I stayed up tonight in Albion, ME watching a strong line of storms that broke up just miles to our west. If anyone really wants to know what the weather is going to do then need keep close watch on the current trends
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