Sunday, December 20, 2015

Millions of US Christmas travelers may face storm-related delays

By , AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
December 20,2015; 9:21PM,EST
 
 
Rain, snow, fog and thunderstorms could impact travel for millions across the United States in the days leading up to Christmas.
Rounds of rain, snow and cold will affect the West, while episodes of rain, fog and thunderstorms will accompany record warmth in the East.
Are you dreaming of a white Christmas?

According to the American Automobile Association (AAA), one in three Americans will take a trip during the holiday season with the number of travelers expected to top 100 million for the first time on record.
JUMP TO: Rain, snow to move southward in West | Pre-Christmas snow could blanket part of North Central states | Rain, fog and thunderstorms to accompany eastern warmth

Rain, snow to move southward in West
People traveling by vehicle in the mountains of the West will want to consider packing tire chains and a snow shovels with them. Windshield wipers will get a workout along the Pacific coast.
Daily storms will roll in from the Pacific Ocean through Christmas Eve and will largely affect the Interstate-5 corridor of the Northwest, as well as the adjoining major highways including interstates 80, 84 and 90, as well as routes 20 and 299.
The first storm will hit Monday into Tuesday with heavy rain, gusty winds and the risk of flooding from western Washington to northern California. The storm can have major travel implications from Seattle to Portland, Oregon, and Eureka, California. Rain will also press southward to San Francisco and Sacramento, California, with spotty showers dotting the Los Angeles Basin.
RELATED:
US interactive radar
White Christmas forecast: El Nino to dash hopes of snowy holiday for two-thirds of US
Warmest Christmas Eve on record to unfold across eastern US

The storm will also unload 1-2 feet of snow on the Cascades and the northern and central Sierra, which could result in whiteouts and the potential for stalled travel over the passes.
Snow and low-elevation rain will also spread inland during the early week storm to eastern Washington, Oregon, Idaho, northern Nevada, Utah and the western parts of Montana, Wyoming and Colorado.
Additional bouts of rain, interior snow and gusty winds will follow as the train of storms continue into the Northwest and Rockies on Tuesday and Wednesday.
The caboose of this recent storm train into the West will arrive on Christmas Eve and will have eyes farther south. Colder air will also plunge south with the storm and could bring low snow levels throughout the West Coast states. Not only may travel be difficult over Donner Pass, but roads over Tejon and Cajon passes could become covered with snow.
Rain will likely return to San Francisco and Sacramento. Snow could fall on Salt Lake City and Denver into the night of Christmas.
Pre-Christmas snow could blanket part of North Central states
Snowfall east of the Rockies will be almost non-existent in the days leading up to Christmas.
However, part of one of the storms from the West may pack enough of a punch and have enough cold air available to produce snow in a small area.
Portions of North Dakota, northern Minnesota, northwestern Wisconsin and part of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan have the potential to receive a few inches of snow on Tuesday into Wednesday. The steadiest snow will likely develop north of Interstate 94.
Rain, fog and thunderstorms to accompany eastern warmth
People in the East will be able to pack light in terms of outerwear due to the unusual warmth. An umbrella and waterproof shoes may go a long way, as well as a good set of windshield wipers for those traveling by vehicle.
From the Mississippi Valley to the Atlantic coast, the vast majority of holiday travelers will not have to contend with snow or ice. However, delays and difficulties associated with rain and fog are likely, along with the potential for downpours in some locations.

Two storm systems will sweep northeastward from the South Central states bringing plenty of moisture amid the warmth.
The rain will be most widespread on Wednesday into Wednesday night, impacting long stretches of many highway corridors including interstates 10, 20, 40, 55, 80, 81, 90 and 95.
The rain can impact Chicago, Detroit, Atlanta, Cincinnati, New Orleans, Nashville, Washington, D.C., Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, New York City, Boston and Charlotte, North Carolina, at midweek.
There is the potential for rain totals to reach or exceed 2 inches in some communities. Downpours will be most numerous in the South, heightening the concern for flash flooding. The possibility for some severe thunderstorms is being monitored in the lower Mississippi Valley and the lower Great Lakes.
Motorists should turn on headlights when driving during rainy and/or foggy conditions, even in the daytime, to increase visibility to other drivers.

 
William Smith ·
Also for people complaining that there's no snow: Here in the NYC area the record for the least amount of snow for a single season is 3.5 inches,so even the warmest,driest winters we get at least some snow,even if it's only 6 or 7 inches,so after getting 50+ inches of snow the last couple of winters it would be a nice change if we only get 6 or 7 inches of snow all of 2015-16,but it's too early to predict which will happen. The 2015-16 winter season hasn't officially started yet (it starts tomorrow,December 21,I believe),so let's everyone calm down and not panic because it's going to be 60-something with no snow on the ground by December 25. This winter will come,it's just going to take some extra time longer than usual to finally arrive,but as they say: Be careful what you wish for;you might just get it.
William Smith ·
There's always going to be some that complain no matter what. Some will complain that it's too cold,some that it's too hot,etc..................Things always tend to balance themselves out. You go through stretches where it's cold and snowy for 2 or 3 straight winters and then,wouldn't you know it,you get mild,dry, (relatively) snowless winters for 2 or 3 straight winters,but there's no pleasing everyone. You can please some of the people some of the time and some of the people none of the time but you can't please all the people all of the time.
Greg Chalker ·

it's called evolution people deal with it!!!!!!
Gabriel Lawyers
In montreal it's very warm.. no snow for christmas with a daily temperature around 60 degrees F or 17C frown emoticon!!!
Derrick Cornell Cephas ·

Its not even cold in Canada there is no artic air no where?
Kurt Stephenson
There is arctic air, the problem, it is in the arctic. But El nino only exists in our heads.
Like · Reply · 1 · 10 hrs
Sean Collins ·

what part of canada are you talking about?? northern ontario is -10C to -20C, go to Yellowknife, Northwest Territories (current temp -22C) and your looking at -30C to -38C come christmas.. or even look at Iqaluit, Nunavut (current temp -34C) and they have been -25C or colder.. Just because you are experiencing warm weather doesn't mean the rest of the world is
Like · Reply · 1 · 7 hrs
Margie Glover ·

ITS BEGINNING TO LOOK A LOT LIKE CHRISTMAS OUT HERE IN THE INLAND NORTHWEST. HERE IN NORTHEAST WASH. STATE WE HAVE ANYWHERE FROM 4 INCHES TO A FOOT OF SNOW ON THE GROUND AND IT APPEARS AS THOUGH ANOTHER FOOT OF SNOW MAY END UP FALLING BEFORE DAYBREAK ON CHTISTMAS DAY. ITS BEEN MILD THOUGH-NO BELOW ZERO TEMPS SO FAR AND NONE EXPECTED WAY INTO JANUARY. MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL
Like · Reply · 2 · 17 hrs
Kurt Stephenson
AND ITS AMAZING BECAUSE WITH A TYPICAL EL NINO THERE WAS CONCERN ABOUT A LACK OF PRECIP AND SNOW IN THE NORTHWEST MAKING THE DROUGHT WORSE BUT IN REALITY THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A TYPICAL EL NINO THEY ARE ALL DIFFERENT
Like · Reply · 1 · 10 hrs
Wayne Langhuber ·

I am getting a little peeved about people complaining about this warmth especially if you live in the east and middle atlantic. And MY standard for what is warm and cold is what is relative to normal. Remember last Feb/March 2015. Feb 2015 was TWELVE degrees below normal. March 2015 was SIX degrees below normal. The period of time from Feb 13-March 6 was SEVENTEEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. January 2014 was SEVEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL and Feb/March was SIX DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. Those were HISTORIC extemes (Especially Feb 2015). Do you really want to go back to THAT? If you do then move north to the Arctic circle. I am enjoying this payback for the last 2 winters.
Wayne Langhuber ·

To add. January looks to trend closer to normal and Feb will likely be below normal with above average snowfall. This winter will NOT be a repeat of 97-98 or 11-12. We will see a sustain cold spell but its coming late. Until then enjoy the warmth. Personally I won't mind a return to season levels but the weather of Feb 2015 was more typical of Burlingtn Vermont than Lancaster Pa.
Like · Reply · 2 · Dec 19, 2015 4:05pm
Wayne Langhuber ·

Weather patterns in the east are NOT consistent. What was cold is now warm and what is now warm will eventually turn cold. Hudson Bay sees sustain cold every winter. Try living up there.
Like · Reply · Dec 19, 2015 4:07pm
Tom Cass ·

Wayne Langhuber What makes you a weather expert? Regardless nobody knows what the rest of the winter will be like so good luck trying.
Like · Reply · Dec 19, 2015 7:53pm
Cory Morrison ·

Tom Cass anyone can make long range predictions if they want.
Like · Reply · Dec 19, 2015 7:59pm
Cory Morrison ·

Wayne I will second that comment, only I live in the GTA, so my departures may have been slightly different from yours.
Like · Reply · 1 · Dec 19, 2015 8:55pm · Edited
Simon Richard Bernstein ·

2 Silver linings: 1. Utility bill expense getting a nice break. And, no itchy dry skin, chapped lips. Whether it's warm or cold, just be safe and happy.
Like · Reply · 1 · 19 hrs
Simon Richard Bernstein ·

Wayne Langhuber do you remember the winter of 2001/2002? At least in the Baltimore, Washington area it too was very warm. I'm not sure if that was an El Nino year. I do remember the following Winter of 2002/2003 we had at least one blizzard event and I remember falling in that snow and having a little trouble getting up. (lol)
Like · Reply · 19 hrs
Wayne Langhuber ·

Tom Cass I don't claim to be an expert. I am just repeating what the long range forecasters are saying for Jan & Feb. Also what I am stating about that period last winter are facts from NOAA. We had a historic cold snap earlier in the year. Now we are seeing the reverse. Common sense dictates we will see cold/snow at some point in winter.
Like · Reply · 15 hrs
Wayne Langhuber ·

Simon Richard Bernstein Yes I remember 01-02. It was a easy winter. And the following 2 winters (02-03 and 03-04) were harsh both in terms of cold and snow. I know 02-03 was El Nino but 03-04 was neutral. Other factors besides El Nino/La Nina affect weather in the Middle Atlantic.
Like · Reply · 1 · 15 hrs
Wayne Langhuber ·

Cory Morrison Since your area's averages are about 10 degrees lower than mine (Quess) even if you weren't as far below normal as we were in Feb (Minus 12) it must have been frigid up there. The period of 13-14 and 14-15 were the two coldest first three months in my area since records were kept. Difference is that April-Dec 2015 was much warmer than April-Dec 2014. In the months since March 2015 there have been two "Normal" (Oct & July were about 1/2 degree above) or above normal (May, Sept, Nov and Dec much about he other months slightly above). Dec will make it nine months of at or above normal. (I know your area was "below normal" in June so I am guessing that is the only month that differs from my area).
Like · Reply · 15 hrs
Cory Morrison ·

Feb 2015 was roughly 15F below normal where I am.
Like · Reply · 13 hrs
Joe Buchanan
Wayne Langhuber I can deal with that. In fact, I'm hoping for that. Get into early Jan with temps anywhere from +40 -> +60 degrees and who cares if we have a cold late Jan/Feb. I consider Spring to be here by March here in central IL. Heck, I've even seen a tornado hit here before the middle of March rolled around. So yea, 6 weeks (in total) of Winter instead of 6 weeks MORE of Winter like that silly groundhog always seems to forecast? I'll take it!

Back in the good old days when I lived in the motherland (Canada) one would've laughed at the notion of 6 weeks of Winter. I've seen snow fall near the end of May some years up in Southern Ontario, although I do know things have changed there too (warmer Winter season), as compared to when I lived there years ago.
Like · Reply · 12 hrs · Edited
Wayne Langhuber ·

Cory Morrison Cory only one word to describe Feb 2015. Awful. That would mean your temps in the daytime were probably 10-15 and nights 5-10 below? Wow! (I am assuming that there is about a 10-12 degree difference from where you live and Se Pa in Feb).
Like · Reply · 1 · 11 hrs
Simon Richard Bernstein ·

Can hardly wait. The warm temps have been nice but along with it has actually been stifiling humidity! (Baltimore/Washington Area) For example BWI airport has a thing for cranking up the heat. Add that to surly Christmas travelers that pack way too much and you have sooo much fun! And many of the hipsters have a distinct BO factor. Also an El Nino question. Why is some El Nino years it's cold and snow in Baltimore area such as Winter 2009/2010? Remember Snomegedden? Whereas this year like 97/98 are almost tropical.
Kurt Stephenson
Some of it is the strength and position of the el nino, as well as other factors, such as the arctic oscillation and north atlantic oscillation. These last two factors were different in 09/10, which led to more cold and snow.
Like · Reply · 2 · Dec 18, 2015 10:54pm
Cory Morrison ·

I was going to explain it, but Kurt Stephenson explained it very well.
Like · Reply · 1 · Dec 19, 2015 8:01pm
Kurt Stephenson
There is also the issue of Atlantic ocean water temp.'s, gulf temp's, overall pacific temp's, as well as what appears to be a phenomenon of a second subtropical jet forming. And the location of the heat equator might be a factor as well.
Like · Reply · 10 hrs
Cindy Bledsoe Tilly ·

What does Kansas City Missouri have in store for next week?
Joe Buchanan
I think you're going to be in the 50s from Tues - Sat there. Mild. Pleasant. Looks like the rain system(s) will be east of you.
Like · Reply · 1 · 12 hrs
Cindy Bledsoe Tilly ·

Joe Buchanan thank you Joe.
Like · Reply · 1 · 10 hrs
Michael Pannoni
Unfortunately, this warmup will be very monsoonal in nature as Christmas week is trending wetter, so while highs may not be as high, we'll instead have higher lows (and dewpoints). Santa better have a lightning rod this year, and let's hope that there isn't too much rain/wind that causes a damper/damage to all the lights/decorations. Its just the El Nino moisture making that left turn and up the coast.
Vicki McClare ·

For all of you complaining about no snow, I'd like to remind you of last year. There was way too much snow and it began in late September all the way through April. I plan on enjoying every bit of this mild weather we've been having. If you like cold snowy weather move to Alaska. Christmas is about Christ's birth, not how much snow we have on the ground. Chill out
Christine Double ·

You may like a mild winter, but, this warm weather hurts alot of people financially in terms of vacationers not showing up to ski, snowshoe or use their snowmobiles. This mild weather also is not good for the trees, plants and animals native to the colder, snowy regions of the country. So, while you enjoy yourself, others are hurting.
Like · Reply · 2 · Dec 18, 2015 6:39pm
Vicki McClare ·

Christine Double ,didn't know anyone would take this so personal. I don't like snow or cold weather and had the displeasure of being born in new york.So,I'm sorry you got so upset but I still love this weather.
Like · Reply · 1 · Dec 19, 2015 10:34am
Deanne L. McKimmey ·

Christine Double AMEN on that comment! That's is what I keep telling everyone!
Like · Reply · 1 · Dec 19, 2015 8:20pm
Cory Morrison ·

Vicki McClare AMEN on that comment.
Like · Reply · 1 · Dec 19, 2015 8:59pm
Kurt Stephenson
Christine Double You can't compare apples to oranges. What about all the poor people who are saving on their heating bills? And less accidents from people driving in the snow. It's just hard to evaluate exaclty how an unusual weather pattern affects things, and of course, effects on trees affects ppl. You don't want apple blossoms to bloom and then freeze.
Like · Reply · 2 · 10 hrs
Jon J. Stearns ·

This is what it looks like here after Winter Storm "Echo".

https://scontent-sjc2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/.../12374800...
 

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