Monday, February 2, 2015

Will Another Winter Storm Bring More Heavy Snow to the Northeast Later This Week

Linda Lam
Published: February 2,2015




 
An active pattern brought three named winter storms to the U.S. since the beginning of last week and another winter storm may be on the way later this week.
(MORE: Winter Storm Juno Storm Reports | Winter Storm Linus)
As Winter Storm Linus exits the Northeast, a weak clipper will track quickly east through midweek. This weak clipper will bring light snow from the Midwest to the Northeast through Tuesday night.
Then a more interesting storm system is expected to develop in the central Plains and Ohio Valley on Wednesday. There are computer forecast model differences on what happens after this point.
(FORECAST: Weekly Planner Maps)

Scenario 1: Euro Model

The European (ECMWF) model has been showing a stronger dip in the jet stream midweek which draws a low pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico northward as a clipper tracks over the northern tier. The Euro shows the possibility these two systems combine and strengthen to produce significant snow from the Great Lakes through the Northeast Thursday into Friday.
The setup for the key players and the potential snowfall is shown below for the European model.

Scenario 2: GFS Model

The American (GFS) model shows a different solution to the late week system. The GFS has a weaker dip in the jet stream and takes the low pressure system farther off the Mid-Atlantic coast. The clipper to the north and the low pressure system from the Gulf of Mexico do not form a stronger system until later and farther east. The result is much less snowfall across the Northeast on Thursday.
The setup for the key players and the potential snowfall is shown below for the GFS model.
As winter weather expert Tom Niziol explains, "The model solutions vary greatly at this point and there is still a lot of uncertainty to the exact track and strength of the system. For now we are monitoring this system for naming."
(MORE: Expert Analysis | Winter Storm Central)
Stay with The Weather Channel and weather.com as we continue to monitor this potential winter storm.
MORE: Winter Storm Linus

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