Sunday, September 15, 2013

Both Ingrid, Manuel Threaten to Severely Flood Mexico


By , Senior Meteorologist
September 15,2013; 7:56PM,EDT
 
 
 
Mexico faces severe flooding from not only the Atlantic's Hurricane Ingrid, but also Tropical Storm Manuel from the eastern Pacific.
Manuel is currently riding along the southwestern Mexican coast as a strong tropical storm, while Ingrid will maintain its hurricane strength before moving into northeastern Mexico on Monday.
Both pose severe dangers to lives and property by unleashing torrential rain that is sure to trigger devastating flash flooding and mudslides. Damaging winds will also accompany each storm onshore.
While northeastern Mexico bears the brunt of Ingrid, South Texas will experience benefits and adverse impacts from the storm.

A disaster is potentially in the making across northeastern Mexico where Ingrid threatens to drop 8 to 16 inches of rain through Tuesday night across the states of southern and central Tamaulipas, southern Nuevo Leon and southeastern San Luis Potosi.
Localized amounts of 20 to 30 inches could inundate the higher elevations of the Sierra Madre Oriental.
Some of these same areas have already endured flooding in recent weeks from Tropical Storm Fernand and Tropical Depression 8, according to AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.
RELATED:
AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center
Latest Statistics on Ingrid
Latest Statistics on Manuel

Ingrid is expected to make landfall just north of Tampico on Monday. Destructive wind gusts to 100 mph will howl in the vicinity of where Ingrid comes onshore.
A coastal water inundation of around 6 feet, to locally as high as 10 feet, will severely flood the central coast of Tamaulipas, immediately to the north of where Ingrid comes onshore. Coastal flooding is a concern northward to the central Texas coast.
The heaviest rain and strong winds associated with Ingrid will remain offshore through early Sunday evening. Conditions will deteriorate across northeastern Mexico Sunday night through Monday as Ingrid approaches, then makes landfall.
As Ingrid churns towards the coast, seas will remain rough for small craft and swimmers across the western Gulf of Mexico.

On the other side of Mexico, Manuel will rapidly weaken later Sunday after making landfall. But, that will not stop the system from unleashing widespread totals of 5 to 10 inches of rain across the states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and southern Jalisco through Monday. This includes the city of Manzanillo.
Some coastal and mountains areas east of Manuel's landfall site--which is just west of Lazaro Cardenas--will see rain totals approach or exceed a foot.
Acapulco has already picked up nearly 12 inches of rain in the past 48 hours, ending at 8 a.m. Sunday EDT.
The interaction with land will force Manuel to weaken to a tropical rainstorm over southwestern Mexico by Monday.
However, heavy rain will spread back to the east along Mexico's southern coast Tuesday and Wednesday as tropical moisture from the Pacific is drawn toward the center of Ingrid.

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