September 29,2013; 5:34PM,EDT
Tropical Depression 11 has formed in the central Atlantic on Sunday morning, but poses no threat to land.
Further strengthening is expected and this system will likely turn into a weak tropical storm.
If it does, it will be the 10th named storm of the Atlantic season and will acquire the name Jerry.
The current position and movement of the system will keep it well away from land.
It is moving to the northeast and is expected to gradually turn to the east late on Sunday before shifting back to the west early this week.
Steering currents for the storm are weak and will allow it to stick around in the same area for a few days. From that point, there are two scenarios that could play out.
One scenario has the storm getting swept out by a passing disturbance to the north towards the end of the week. The other scenario has the storm slowly drifting west, but eventually fizzling out due to unfavorable winds aloft.
In both cases, the storm will not be affecting any land. The only threat will be rough seas in the vicinity of the system.
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Potential Tropical Troubles in the Caribbean Early Next Week
AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center
Atlantic Storm to Brush New England, Aim at Canada
The rest of the central and eastern Atlantic will remain quiet through at least the early part of next week.
AccuWeather.com meteorologists are keeping an eye on a disturbance in the Caribbean, however.
An area of thunderstorms has ignited across the southwestern Caribbean Sea and environmental conditions are favorable for further development over the next few days.
Two scenarios are possible with this disturbance early in the coming week. One includes the system tracking northward across Cuba and through the Bahamas, while the other has it moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
Each scenario has the potential for land impacts. This disturbance will be monitored closely over the coming days.
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