Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Fall Heat Wave Will Smash Records Into the First Days of November

Chris Dolce
Published: November 1,2016

November will kickoff with summer-like heat, shattering hundreds of daily records, and also threatening all-time November records in parts of the heat-weary South and Plains states.
Dozens of daily record highs were broken Monday, making it the hottest Halloween on record in those cities.
Among those, at least four cities set their hottest temperatures so late in the season, including Atlanta (86 degrees), Huntsville, Alabama (88 degrees), Muscle Shoals, Alabaman (88 degrees), and Tallahassee, Florida (90 degrees).
A number of other cities reached 90 degrees on Halloween, including Colby, Kansas, Dodge City, Kansas, Garden City, Kansas, Hattiesburg, Mississippi, Meridian, Mississippi, Montgomery, Alabama, Albany, Georgia, and Macon, Georgia.
Meridian, Mississippi, has arguably been an epicenter city for this heat wave, reaching 91 degrees on back-to-back days October 30 and 31.
Meridian, MS, arguably the October epicenter. 9 daily record highs. 4 straight to end the month. Nov. rec. (87˚) in jeopardy.

Other Halloween daily records tied or set included Colorado Springs (80 degrees), Nashville, Tennessee (85 degrees), New Orleans (89 degrees), Jacksonville, Florida (86 degrees), Savannah, Georgia (87 degrees), and Amarillo, Texas (87 degrees).

Current Temperatures
Some southern cities could set a new daily record high each day for the next few days.
This continues what has been a much warmer-than-average month for the vast majority of Americans east of the Rockies, including a mid-October warm spell that shattered records.
Below are details on the forecast temperatures through Thursday, along with perspective on how warm this October was.

Tuesday's Forecast


Forecast Highs Compared to Average Tuesday
  • Highs 10 to 25 degrees above average will surge back into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Appalachians, while continuing to encompass much of the Plains and South.
  • 70s are possible as far north as southern Wisconsin, Lower Michigan and western New York.
  • 80s will once again rule the Ohio Valley and South.
  • A few 90s are possible in the Deep South.
  • Record highs will again likely be numerous from the Southeast to the Ohio Valley and in parts of the Plains, threatening some all-time November record highs in some areas.
  • Potential all-time November record highs (record to beat is shown): Amarillo, Texas (87 degrees); Cincinnati, Ohio (81 degrees); Louisville, Kentucky (84 degrees); Nashville, Tennessee (85 degrees)
(MORE: La Nina May Limit Drought Relief in the South This Winter)

Wednesday's Forecast


Forecast Highs Compared to Average Wednesday
  • Highs 10-25 degrees above average will spread into parts of the Northeast, while also continuing in much of the Midwest and South. 
  • 70s are expected in the southern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic states.
  • 80s will dominate the Southeast and southern Plains, though it won't be quite as warm as previous days.
  • Numerous daily record highs will again be within reach in the Southeast and Ohio Valley.

Thursday's Forecast


Forecast Highs Compared to Average Thursday
  • Highs 10-20 degrees above average will continue in much of the South and East, and a new surge of such warm air will intensify in the northern Plains.
  • 70s willl surge as far north as southern New England, though part of the interior Northeast and northern New England will be cooler.
  • 80s will once again dominate the Southeast and Deep South, though cooler temperatures will plunge into parts of the southern Plains.
  • Daily record highs will be within reach in parts of the Southeast and mid-Atlantic states.

Heat Wave Recap

Thursday, October 27, Phoenix smashed their record latest-in-season 100-degree high by four days.
Sorry everyone, we've hit 100 (so far).

Other record highs were tied or set Thursday in Denver (83 degrees), Salt Lake City (78 degrees) and Tucson, Arizona (97 degrees).
Friday, October 28, record highs were shattered in Garden City, Kansas (91 degrees - old record was 83), and Dodge City, Kansas (92 degrees - old record was 85) and new records were set in Amarillo, Texas (87 degrees), Pueblo, Colorado (87 degrees) and Meridian, Mississippi (89 degrees).
Friday was the fifth daily record high this month in Meridian, and was their hottest temperature so late in the season. Previously, the latest they reached 89 degrees was October 26, 2010. This is their average high on September 8.
Daily record high temperatures were toppled in many cities on Saturday. Among them were Huntsville, Alabama (88 degrees), and Amarillo, Texas (91 degrees), which both saw their warmest temperature so late in the calendar year.
Daily record highs were also set Saturday in Asheville, North Carolina (81 degrees), Blacksburg, Virginia (79 degrees), Nashville, Tennessee (86 degrees), Tupelo, Mississippi (89 degrees), St. Louis, Missouri (86 degrees), and Phoenix, Arizona (96 degrees).
Numerous daily record highs were broken Sunday. Atlanta's record high of 86 degrees was the latest 86-degree day on record there, surpassing the previous date of Oct. 28, 1940.
Meridian, Mississippi, hit 90 degrees Sunday, the latest such reading on record, there, beating the previous record by a full week (Oct. 23, 1941), not to mention adding to a new yearly record of 90-degree-plus days, there.
View image on Twitter
Including today, the temperature has reached 90°F on 128 days so far this year at Meridian - also easily a record.

Other daily records were tied or set Sunday in Birmingham, Alabama (87 degrees), Knoxville, Tennessee (83 degrees), New Orleans (87 degrees), Austin, Texas (88 degrees), Washington D.C.'s Dulles Airport (84 degrees), Harrisburg, Pennsylvania (81 degrees), and Atlantic City, New Jersey (80 degrees).

How Warm It's Been

Many locations in the central and eastern United States experienced a very warm October.
Temperatures compared to average Oct. 1-24, 2016. Areas shaded orange and brown have seen temperatures the farthest above average overall.
(Oregon State University Prism Climate Group)
Here are a few of the cities that were seeing a top-five warmest October through Saturday, according to the Southeast Regional Climate Center.
Record warmest October-to-date through Saturday:
  • Dallas
  • El Paso, Texas
  • Huntsville, Alabama
  • Lubbock, Texas
  • Midland, Texas
  • New Orleans
  • Tucson, Arizona
Second warmest October-to-date through Saturday:
  • Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • Colorado Springs
  • Houston (Hobby Airport) 
According to NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, among reporting stations with at least a 30-year period of record, there were roughly 11 daily record highs tied or broken for every record low in October.
Daily and Monthly U.S. Warm, Cold Records Tied or Broken in October 2016
Through Oct. 29 (Source: NOAA/NCEI)
 Daily RecordsMonthly Records
Warm5,487150
Cold5006

MORE: America's 50 Hottest Winter Cities

No comments:

Post a Comment