Thursday, November 19, 2015

Tropical Storm Rick Has Developed Off Mexican Coast Becoming One of Latest Eastern Pacific Storms of Record

Jon Erdman
Published: November 19,2015

Tropical Storm Rick has developed in the eastern Pacific Ocean, well off the Mexican coast. While it is no threat to land, this is now a rare late November named storm in this basin. Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E first formed on Wednesday.
Here are the latest statistics, forecast path and satellite imagery on this newly-formed system.
  • Location: About 365 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
  • Movement: Rick has turned west-northwest and should continue on that path for the next few days, remaining far removed from the Mexican coast and, thus, no threat to land.
  • Intensity: Should strengthen through Friday, taking advantage of anomalously warm water, despite some wind shear and dry air, before weakening due to increasing wind shear, becoming a remnant low by late this weekend or early next week.
  • Rarity: According to NOAA's best track database, only four eastern Pacific tropical cyclones since 1949 have become tropical storms after November 18: Kenneth (Nov. 20, 2011), Sharon (Nov. 26, 1971), an unnamed tropical storm (Nov. 27, 1951) and Winnie (Dec. 4, 1983). Rick's development has occured roughly a month after the most intense hurricane on record in the Western Hemisphere, Hurricane Patricia, formed off the Mexican coast in late October.
(MORE: Hurricane Central | Most Unusual Things in Tropics in 2015)

Status, Forecast Maps


Latest Position, Intensity, Movement


Forecast Path, Intensity

MORE: Hurricane Patricia Oct. 2015 (PHOTOS)

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