Thursday, July 3, 2014

Tropical Storm 08W Strengthening, Japan Likely Target

By Eric Leister, Meteorologist
July 3,2014; 8:24PM,EDT
 
 
Tropical Storm 08W formed just south of Guam as a tropical depression early on Thursday and strengthened into a tropical storm this afternoon. The storm will become better organized during the next 24 to 48 hours.
During this time, transition into a typhoon is expected. The name Neoguri will be given to the storm as it continues to intensify and track northwest over the open western Pacific.
In the short term, the tropical storm will bring rain and gusty winds to Guam as it continues to strengthen. Flash flooding and wind gusts over 50 mph will be possible at times into Friday.
Before the end of the weekend, the storm will have become a typhoon and will be moving away from Guam.
Satellite image showing Tropical Storm 08W just south of Guam on Thursday, courtesy of UW-CIMSS.
Rapid strengthening is possible over the weekend and into early next week as the cyclone progresses through an area of very warm ocean waters and low wind shear.
The cyclone is expected to begin to take a more northerly track early next week as it approaches the Ryukyu Islands and then turn toward the northeast and approach southern Japan by Tuesday.

There remains high confidence that this developing cyclone will become the second typhoon of the 2014 Western Pacific season.
During this time, the cyclone is expected to be at near peak strength, bringing flooding rain and damaging winds along its track.
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While the expected track is toward Japan, Taiwan should remain on alert as well. A cold front moving into eastern Asia early next week is expected to direct the cyclone northward and away from Taiwan; however, were this front to arrive slower, the storm could track farther west and approach Taiwan.
Circulation around the cyclone could also lead to a strengthening monsoon across the Philippines with flooding rainfall possible in west-central and northwest parts of the country, depending on the exact track of the storm.

On Social Media
Meow
meowtw
Tropical Storm Neoguri has formed southwest of Guam. It is expected to be a very strong typhoon and impact Okinawa. pic.twitter.com/veaGO3QdpH
Gabrielle Brophy
WorldVisionGab
Strong tropical storm appraoching southern tip of #Japan. #Cyclone ETA: Tues 8 July, up to 6million could be affected bit.ly/1mdAcMp
CyG_JP
CyG_JP
Tropical Storm 08W Strengthening, Japan Likely Target #NewsAd link CyG-NewsAgent.net/NewsAd.php?url…
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