By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
November 13,2015; 9:44PM,EST
Warmth more typical of late September and early October will return to the Eastern United States during the third week of November 2015.
According to AccuWeather Chief Long Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok, "Following the warmth from the first part of November, there is the potential for more record highs to be broken in the eastern half of the nation next week."
Temperatures during the first 10 days of November averaged 5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit above normal in much of the Central and Eastern states. During Nov. 5-7 alone, there were nearly 600 record highs tied or broken east of the Rockies.
Brisk, Cold on Saturday
How warm the weather gets will depend on the amount of sunshine versus fog, low clouds and rain in some cases.
Where the sun is out for several hours, temperatures could reach 70 or higher in portions of the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, mid-Atlantic and New England on one or more days. Temperatures could reach 80 over parts of the South and approach 90 in parts of central and South Florida.
"Record highs could be challenged in parts of the Eastern states from Monday to Wednesday," Pastelok said. "Another round of record warmth is possible along the Interstate-95 corridor during next Friday and Saturday."
The warmth from earlier in November featured a dry flow of air from the Southwest much of the time.
During much of the third week of November, the flow of air will be from the South and Southeast on occasion, which tends to add moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean.
Along with the potential for warm days will be mild nights. Conditions during both daytime and nighttime will result in temperatures that are likely to average 10 to 20 degrees above normal in the Northeast and 5 to 10 degrees above normal in the Southeast.
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Even where and when temperatures fall short of record high levels, AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures can be 5 to 10 degrees higher than the actual temperature.
There is the potential for this month to rank among the warmest Novembers on record in parts in the Eastern U.S. This can occur even though temperatures may take a substantial dip prior to Thanksgiving.
While many areas in the East will be warm with some sunshine, portions of the Central states may experience an extended bout of rainy and stormy conditions.
"A slow-moving fire hose of rain and thunderstorms could take aim at portions of Texas and the lower Mississippi and Tennessee valleys," Pastelok said, when referring to the third week of November.
"The pattern could bring significant flooding to some areas that were hit hard earlier in the autumn," Pastelok warned.
Michael Carenza Jr. ·
I think I will be mowing the lawn untill New Years.....LOL
Grant McGuire ·
You'd
think that after recent years of extreme cold, people would embrace the
warmth, but Northeast is a strange place with stranger people
Rocco Salvemini ·
Shorts weather is coming back
Wayne Langhuber ·
6
of the 11 months this year have seen temps that are anything but
normal. January was 3.5 below February was 12 below. March was 6 below.
Then May was 7 above. September was 5.5 above and November is now
running 7 above and if this next warmup materializes could put the ytd
temps to normal after the coldest Jan-March on record. Amazing.
April,June and August were about 1 1/2 above normal and July and October
about 1/2 above normal. The good thing is that while the summer was as a
whole 1.1 degrees above normal it did not contain extreme heat. However
when you add May and September into the equation we have had between
115-120 days of 80 or higher. That might be close to a record. Except
for the Jan-March period 2015 has been quite different than 2014.
April-Oct 2014 probably came in between 1/2 and 1 above as a whole. This
year the period from April-Oct 2015 is running close to 3 degrees above
normal.
John McComas ·
So
far this year Baltimore has set 9 cold temperature records and 4 warm
temperature records. We could use a couple more warm records, however it
will need to get quite warm do do that as the record highs next week
range from 75 to 79.
Cory Morrison ·
Also, 2014 had way more cold records than warm records in the East, so we could definitely use some warm records.
Philip J Granite ·
It would be refreshing to have seasonable temperatures for a change.
Brandon Bott ·
Right? I like 70-degree weather, don't get me wrong, but November is not the right time for that.
Cory Morrison ·
I kept thinking the same thing last year when it was extremely cold for mid-November.
Aaron Ginther ·
I
agree completely. I like winter in winter, spring in spring, summer in
summer and fall in fall. Not the jumbled up mess when we have a spring
in winter, winter in spring, fall in summer, and summer in fall.
Cory Morrison ·
The cold stormy weather shall stay out west.
Joshua Wade ·
November 2015 is much different from last year, thank goodness. smile emoticon
Kurt Stephenson
But
have you heard? Nov. -- March is expected to be even worse than the
past two winters, with hardiness zone crossing severe cold, due to the
ridiculously resilient ridge...
Joshua Wade ·
Any
proof for that? I thought the two previous winters (particularly
January 1-11, 2014 and February 15-28, 2015) were already
hardiness-zone-crossing extreme cold because of the ridge.
I am not a fan of 70 degree weather in November. It is unusual. It will be the worst november weather i've ever seen.
Cory Morrison ·
Having temps below 20F in mid-November last year was the worst November weather I have ever seen.
Ani Sweetser ·
Works at Self-Employed
Wow
was it like that last year? I only remember 50s in December before the
frozen wasteland that was Feb-March. I am thankful for this warm
autumn.
Ani Sweetser yes December was mild last year in the East, but November, especially mid-month, was very cold.
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