Tuesday, November 24, 2015

India: Brief Reprieve From Flooding Rain; Another Storm Looming

By Eric Leister, Meteorologist
November 24,2015; 10:33PM,EST
 
 
Rainfall has been relentless across southern India this month resulting in multiple events of flooding from Chennai to Kochi.
Through Nov. 23, Chennai has reported more than 965 mm (38.00 inches) of rain, roughly 300 percent of the normal rainfall expected for the entire month of November.
There has only been three days so far this month with no rainfall reported in the city.
A push of dry air from the northeast will finally bring a break from the persistent wet weather with little to no rainfall in the forecast for southern India through Friday.

The most likely area to see a few showers will be across southern Tamil Nadu and Kerala; however; no heavy rainfall is expected.
The dry weather will hold over much of southern India through Friday with a mixture of clouds and sunshine each day.
The dry weather will not last, however, as yet another surge of tropical moisture will arrive from the Bay of Bengal as early as Saturday.
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This moisture will renew downpours across Sri Lanka and the east coast of India from Tamil Nadu into southern Andhra Pradesh on Saturday.
Downpours will spread across all of southern India on Sunday and Monday, though the heaviest rainfall will likely remain near the coast from Chidambaram northward to Machilipatnam.
The potential exists for development of a tropical cyclone to the east of Chennai in the Bay of Bengal early next week.
At this time, it appears the heaviest rainfall will shift northward during the middle of next week; however, anyone living along or near the east coast of India would closely monitor this situation.
 

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