Terrell Johnson
Published: July 27,2015
Deep in the forests within
Canada's Northwest Territories, there's a small lake perched on a cliff
that's about to collapse. The earth that's holding it up will soon give
way, scientists say, because it's made up mostly of permafrost that is
slowly but surely melting thanks to climate change.
“It’s got a
ways to travel,” said Steve Kokelj, a permafrost scientist with the
Northwest Territories Geological Survey (NTGS), in an interview with the
Canada-based Globe and Mail newspaper. “This lake happens to be perched
about 600 feet above the Mackenzie Valley.”
The wall of
permafrost below the lake is expected to collapse sometime this summer
or fall, Kokelj says. While no homes or people live in the immediate
area – the lake lies in the northern N.W.T., just over 12 miles from
Fort McPherson – campers and hikers are being cautioned to avoid it.
"Once
the water starts to erode the permafrost in the head of this slump,
[the water] will go very very quickly," he told the CBC. There also is
no warning system in place around the lake, so it's likely that no one
will know for certain when the lake its set to collapse until it
happens.
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The
changes occuring here are emblematic of the impact of climate change
across the region, NGTS scientists say, and are changing the landscape
in ways not seen since the end of the last ice age some 20,000 years
ago.
That's because the permafrost in this region includes a large
amount of ice in what are known as headwalls, the name given to the
vertical portion of a permafrost thaw slump. These start to erode when
they're exposed to wind and rain, causing their ice to melt, which in
turn causes the soil and rock on top to collapse.
"That exposes more ice, which also melts and extends the collapse, and the cycle keeps repeating," the Globe and Mail explains.
Because
this permafrost thaw slump is located just below the lake, it is
chewing away the land underneath it. Warming temperatures in recent
years have led to more and more rainfall in permafrost regions like this
one across Canada, chewing away more and more land.
The amount of
land that has eroded away thanks to slumps – and the debris that has
been unleashed when they collapse -– have doubled since the 1980s,
Kokelj told the newspaper. "In the last 30 years the slumps are much
bigger than they were in the past," he added.
Cameras have been
installed around the lake and the valley below to record what happens
when the permafrost slump below it finally collapses. "We’re just hoping
the cameras don’t get obliterated by the release of water," he said.
Read more at the Northwest Territories Geological Survey.
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