Friday, July 17, 2015

Southern Heat to Bulge Into Ohio Valley, Northeast US This Weekend

By , AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
July 17,2015; 11:04PM,EDT
 
While dangerous heat will hold in the South, a dose of hot and humid conditions will reach the Ohio Valley and Northeast this weekend and into next week.
A large and strong area of high pressure anchored over the South Central states will bulge enough to send near-90-degree Fahrenheit air northward.
In many cases, temperatures will surge to 5-10 degrees above average during what is typically the hottest part of the summer.

The combination of heat, high humidity, sunshine and light winds could pose problems for those partaking in extended strenuous physical activity and those with respiratory problems.
Excessive Heat, Humidity to Swelter South This Weekend
While moist ground and thunderstorm activity may prevent the actual temperature from actually reaching 90 F in some locations, AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures will reach triple digits for several hours during the late morning and afternoon hours from Cincinnati to Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Baltimore, New York City, Washington, D.C., and Albany, New York.
According to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Dombek, "Actual temperatures in parts of the mid-Atlantic states could still challenge their highest mark so far this year, which was during the middle of June in most locations."
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Much of New England will stop short of 90. However, highs will reach or exceed 80 in many areas with RealFeel Temperatures well into the 80s and middle 90s.
The warmth will allow some people to hit the beach or hang out at the pool.
The only deterrent to non-strenuous outdoor activity will be the threat for thunderstorms.
The bulk of the storms will occur north of Tennessee and North Carolina as well as over Florida, with a few exceptions.

In much of the Southeast states, actual temperatures will not be quite as extreme as that of the second half of June. However, the combination of actual temperatures reaching well into the 90s, high humidity, little wind and strong mid-July sunshine will push RealFeel Temperatures to well over 100. In terms of RealFeel Temperatures, this swelter could be worse than that of late June.
Cities in the Southeast set to broil into next week include Atlanta; Nashville; Birmingham, Alabama; Charlotte, North Carolina; Columbia; South Carolina; and Richmond, Virginia.

AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures From Thursday, July 16, 2015

City
Peak RealFeel Temperature (F)
Olive Branch, Mississippi
120
Batesville, Arkansas
120
Beaufort, South Carolina
118
Statesboro, Georgia
118
Memphis, Tennessee
117
Houston, Texas
111
New Orleans, Louisiana
110
Talladega, Alabama
114
Tulsa, Oklahoma
104
The sweltering heat will continue to build in the South Central states as well with no relief in sight. The once moist ground that prevented extreme temperatures during June and early July is drying out. More of the sun's energy will heat the ground and air, instead of evaporating the moisture. Actual high temperatures will be close to 100 with RealFeel Temperatures topping 110 in many areas through next week.
Over the next several days the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex is likely to reach 100 for the first time this year and could do so on multiple dates. There have only been a handful of years where the temperature has not hit 100 in Dallas since the late 1800s.
It is very easy to be overcome by the heat this time of the year. If you must work outdoors, be sure to take frequent breaks and increase your intake of water and electrolyte balancing fluids.
 
Cottone Mathere
Oh, and also, many were freaking out about the forecast for a wet july with a parade of thunderstorm across the ohio valley and mid atlantic...and thy Reverend didst warn yes of a great hysteria that wast developing, not entirely dissimilar to that which we didst experience in Salem many a year ago....anyways, my point is proven that if a forecaster has disappointed you in their forecast for a warm and dry summer, when they then call for a wet period, the disappointment then works in your favor. The chill of late March ended early, as did the chill of late April, as did the May warmth, as now it seems the july rain will as well.
Cottone Mathere
LOL...everyone was freaking out about it being the coldest summer in the history of the world...and now it is getting hot...could it be ANOTHER mid July pattern change, JUST LIKE last year? Could it be that the weather patterns actually have an ebb and flow to them, and that I am not full of hot air? (no pun intended -- well, actually, it was intended...)...anyways, maybe not an actual pattern change, but no ice age. At least not til 2030 -- ha ha ha.
Like · Reply · 1 hr
Joseph Nazar ·
Verily thou speakest well. I be sorely vexed by some forecasters when they soothsay, as it doth seem sorely ludicrous when the prognostications be made weeks ahead.
Like · Reply · 41 mins
Kevin Kilby
Even road kill will sizzle!!!!
Like · Reply · 1 hr
Ann Madhu ·
heatand humidity causes more deaths, than any cold winterday
Like · Reply · 2 · 9 hrs
Anders Updale ·
So don't exercise when it's humid outside period!
Like · Reply · 2 hrs
Cottone Mathere
Ann, only because of the dumb decisions people make. Hot weather isn't really more dangerous.
Like · Reply · 1 hr
David Colantuono ·
Works at Unemployed
Cottone Mathere Tell that to the 700+ people who died during the infamous Chicago heat wave in 1995.

http://www.isws.illinois.edu/.../General/1995Chicago.htm
Like · Reply · 40 mins
Phil Derasmo ·
What makes this upcoming cold season hard to figure is there is still a near record warm "bubble" in the EPAC which is a cold signal for the east. How this reacts with this strong El Niño should be interesting
Cory Morrison ·
I think this could result in a pattern similar to the last 2 winters, but that the brunt of the below normal temps would be farther south than the last 2 winters, meaning that the cold won't be quite as severe for the Midwest/GL/Northeast compared to the last 2 winters.
Like · Reply · 7 hrs
Cottone Mathere
The interesting thing is, the PDO was supposedly positive in the '80's and '90's, but the east had warmer winters. And warmer el nino winters, even when the el nino's weren't that strong.
Like · Reply · 1 hr
Wayne Langhuber ·
My long range forecaster at EPAWA is saying the rest of July will be above normal in the east. So far this month we are about 1.5 degrees below normal. I think that the rest of the month will offset that so we end up normal. We have had alot of warm/humid days but some cloudy days that have held off the heat. The pattern is changing. Today will be the last comfortable day in Eastern Pa for perhaps the rest of the month. Sat-Mon look like a three day heat wave with dewpoint temps near 70-72. Heat Index high 90's to near 100. Next Tues-Thurs we cool off a bit to the upper 80's and moderate humid...See More
Cory Morrison ·
1997-98 was an east-based El Nino. Right now, this El Nino looks to be east-based, but I read somewhere that regions 1+2 may have cooler anomalies into the fall and winter but region 3.4 may have warming waters. This would suggest a central-based El Nino similar to 2009-10 but hopefully not as brutal as the last 2 winters.
Like · Reply · 15 hrs
Wayne Langhuber ·
Cory Morrison 2009-10 probably see worse weather where I live than where you live. We were in the "Sweet Spot" for heavy snowstorms. We only had four but they totaled 55 inches. Philly got 78 inches from those 4 snowstorms. As far as cold Dec was slightly below, Jan normal and Feb below. However February was not extreme. I suspect snow cover held down the temps. Most days saw lows around 20 and highs mid 30's. And because there was no sleet/ice issues clearning the roads was pretty easy. They just piled the snow on the Lancaster county farmland and waited till March when it melted. That very ...See More
Like · Reply · 1 · 14 hrs
Cory Morrison ·
In those 20 years from 1988-89 to 2007-08: 1993-94, 1995-96, 2002-03, and 2003-04 were those 4 colder than average winters where you are?
Like · Reply · 14 hrs
Logan Galley ·
TOO HOT AND HUMID HERE IN NEBRASKA!
William Smith ·
It's about time! This summer was looking like one of the coldest on record around here. Though it might've hit 90 a couple of times in NYC,up here in the suburbs the closest we got is a couple of days that it hit 88 degrees either in White Plains or Yonkers and today it was 75 degrees IN MID-JULY. Usually at this time of year for it to be 75 for a high it has to be raining and/or thunderstorming and cloudy most of the day yet we had wall-to-wall sunshine today and it still only got to 75 or 76 degrees. Proves that the Jet-stream is hanging too far to the south this year to be normal,allowing unseasonably cool, Canadian air to come in. To use a popular term that's been bambied about lately, we shouldn't be having Polar Vortexs in the middle of the summer. That's just crazy. Add in the frigid,brutally cold winter of 2014-15 and 2015 is looking to be one of the coldest years on record for this area if the second half of this summer doesn't end up being a real sizzler around here.
Cory Morrison ·
Good points, though you still have September, October, November, and December to be above normal to prevent 2015 from being the coldest year on record in your location (Not that I actually think this will happen, I am just stating the possibilities).
Like · Reply · 15 hrs
Neven Prvinic ·
William, you said exactly what i wanted to say about this summer and 2015. We are suffering an exact same fate here in Cleveland OH. We pride ourselves with warm to hot and warm to hot summers, but not as opressive as southern areas, but this year i have to apologize for our weather and for living here to people from out of town that are visiting.
Like · Reply · 1 · 12 hrs
Grant McGuire ·
I have to laugh at Accuweather's amazement: "Much of New England will stop short of 90. However, highs will reach or exceed 80 in many areas with RealFeel Temperatures well into the 80s and middle 90s." Really? 80s in mid-July? So astonishing!
Like · Reply · 1 · 10 hrs
Phil Derasmo ·
Ah but u choose to ignore that meteorological summer is only about half over there's plenty of time to reach the 90s even through September
Cory Morrison ·
I read "Coolest Summer Ever" on the ad and it scared me at first, then I realized "Oh, it's just for Disney World. Nothing to do with the weather".
Grant McGuire ·
A few NYC weather facts:

(1) We haven't seen 90 in 23 days (and it's mid-July).
(2) We haven't had a heatwave in 2 years.
(3) We're on track for the fewest number of 90-degree days in recorded history.
Paul Berger ·
Agreed, Grant.
Like · Reply · 1 · 13 hrs
Anders Updale ·
Paul Berger But why does it also have to get humid with the 90 plus degree temps in NYC?
Like · Reply · 2 hrs
 
 

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