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Saturday, October 1, 2016

Much-needed rain targets drought-stricken New England, New York into Monday

By Renee Duff, AccuWeather.com Meteorologist

October 2,2016; 12:48AM,EDT

Showers will occasionally dampen drought-stricken portions of New England and New York State into Monday.
The rainfall into Monday will not be soaking enough to end the drought across the region.
Regardless, any rain will help to temporarily ease dry lawns and increase water levels in low streams and reservoirs.
The heaviest rain has now ended across the Great Lakes and mid-Atlantic, including in Detroit, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Washington, D.C., and Philadelphia. However, drizzle, locally drenching showers and low cloud ceilings will affect these areas into Sunday night.

The storm that has caused the widespread clouds and rain across the region to end this past week will slowly move out of the Northeast early this week.
"The rain into Monday will be more scattered in nature from the Great Lakes to the Northeast," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Kristina Pydynowski said.
The bouts of rain will be light enough to limit concerns for flash flooding.
"Showers on Sunday will be most numerous around the central and eastern Great Lakes," Pydynowski said. "There will likely be more showers around New England on Monday than on Sunday, but the weekend will still end on a cloudy and dreary note."
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Rainfall amounts are expected to stay under a half of an inch for most across the Great Lakes and Northeast, though a few locations under more persistent downpours can have locally higher amounts.
"Any rainfall will be beneficial in western New York and parts of New England that are suffering from a severe to extreme drought," Pydynowski said.
The low cloud ceilings can cause delays at local airports, while localized downpours may cause slow travel on the road. Slick conditions may develop where wet leaves are covering roads.
Fans headed to outdoor sporting events will want to be sure to bring a poncho, rain jacket and/or umbrella.

Highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s will be common across much of New England and eastern New York on Sunday.
"Highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s are expected around the eastern Great Lakes," Pydynowski said. "With some breaks of sunshine, there can be isolated thunderstorms and waterspouts on the lakes."
The mid-Atlantic will not be as cool as Saturday to end the weekend with temperatures returning to the 70s in many communities.
As northern New England and the Great Lakes dry out on Tuesday, clouds and drizzle will continue to dampen the rest of the Northeast coast.
While most of the Northeast will finally get a break from the stubborn clouds and showers at midweek, all eyes from Florida to Maine will need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Matthew, which could approach the Atlantic Seaboard later this week.

6 ways to prepare now for hurricanes

By Alexa Lewis, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer

October 2,2016; 12:11AM,EDT

The worst thing that people who live along coastlines can do is not to prepare for tropical storms and hurricanes.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the two key factors contributing to weather safety during hurricanes are preparing in advance for the risks and to act on those preparations when alerted by emergency officials.
The director of the National Hurricane Center Rick Knabb and AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski outlined certain precautionary steps that people in areas impacted by hurricanes and tropical storms should take.
1. Evacuation planning
The main reason people have to evacuate during hurricanes is from a storm surge, which is an abnormal rise of water generated by a storm's winds that can reach heights well over 20 feet and can span hundreds of miles of coastlines, according to the National Hurricane Center.
"Evacuation planning is number one on the list," Knabb said.
Knabb urged that people find out today if they live in a hurricane evacuation area, which is an area in which residents must leave their homes in the event of a hurricane.
Local governments provide the public with information about evacuation areas and the evacuation plans, and Knabb recommended that people review this information in advance.
"Some people will actually test the evacuation route in good weather," Kottlowski said. "Waiting until the day of the hurricane isn't a smart idea since everyone will be in a heightened state of anxiety."
While people who live in storm surge areas fall within areas that are urged to evacuate during a hurricane, people who live outside of these zones should still look into safety precautions during a hurricane.

Hurricane Joaquin churns in the Atlantic. (Satellite Image/NOAA)
Those who live in mobile homes and high rises may also have to evacuate even if they do not live in an evacuation area, Knabb said.
"It's not just a beach front problem," he added.
Pet owners should also have a evacuation plan for their pets. Many shelters offer places to keep pets.
2. Buy supplies
The most important thing that both Knabb and Kottlowski stressed was buying supplies well in advance and keeping those supplies on hand should evacuation be required.
"If you wait until the hurricane is on your doorsteps, you are going to be waiting in long lines and they could even be out of the stuff you need," Knabb said.
Those living in evacuation areas should keep a hurricane kit handy that is stored in a way that is easy to grab and bring to an evacuation shelter.

A satellite image of Hurricane Sandy on Oct. 28, 2012 (Image/Earth Observatory/NASA)
While evacuation shelters do provide supplies, Kottlowski said, "Shelters can get overrun and may not have enough supplies."
These kits should include water, food, blankets and clothing.

Ready, a campaign that provides emergency preparedness guidance for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, includes a number of other items in their hurricane kit:
1. First aid kit
2. Battery-powered or hand-crank radio
3. Flashlight and batteries
4. Whistle to signal for help
5. Local maps

Kottlowski said he recommends that residents have their kits bagged up in a suitcase or plastic tub.
3. Check insurance coverage
Property owners and renters should be sure to insure their homes against flooding, something that Knabb said many people do not realize is not a part of standard home and renters insurance.
Tenants and home owners can contact their renters or home insurance provider to buy flood insurance, and they should do so even if they do not live right along the coastline.
"People might think that if they don't live on the coast, then they won't have a flooding problem," Knabb said. "But if it can rain, it can flood."

Tourists rest inside a room in the service area of a resort after the designated area for shelter was destroyed by winds from Hurricane Odile in Los Cabos, Mexico, Monday, Sept. 15, 2014. (AP Photo/Victor R. Caivano)
Car owners should also contact auto insurance companies and move their cars into an off-site location or secured building.
"You won't be able to take every vehicle you own to the shelter, but if you leave the vehicle outside, it could be seriously damaged," Kottlowski said.
4. Make copies of important documents
Those living in or near hurricane areas should make copies of proof of ownership documents of any property not limited to their homes, cars and boats.
These documents can be stored in the hurricane kit or in any safe location that does not risk being damaged during the hurricane.
"If a hurricane levels your house, you have to prove that it is your house," Kottlowski said.
5. Protect your home
Residents and tenants should inspect their homes to confirm that there is no damage that a hurricane could increase.
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Any issues with the overall structure should be repaired, including loose shingles or damaged roofs.
"Any possible compromises to the roof or house will become an open avenue for strong and gusty winds," Kottlowski said.
Residences with yards should also make a list of anything laying on the ground outside that could get tossed into the air and become debris during high winds.
Kottlowski also said residents should purchase supplies, including plywood to cover windows and extra security to keep doors from blowing open, in advance, to secure their homes from damaging winds.
6. Back up your electronics
Aside from keeping extra batteries and chargers around during a hurricane, people are also encouraged to backup any electronic devices.
Knabb said data should be stored at an off-site location so that data can be recovered if something were to happen to the physical computer or device during a hurricane.
Businesses should take particular caution in backing up information and sending that information to a remote site.

Extended stretch of dry and comfortable weather to span first week of October for much of UK

October 1,2016; 11:01PM,EDT

A large chunk of the United Kingdom will catch a break from the recent unsettled weather during the first week of October.
Dry weather set to encompass the U.K. to end this weekend will be the theme for the upcoming week across Wales and England.
The storm track will shift northward, causing rain to be absent on most, if not all, days next week.
Sunny spells will be common through the week. Each afternoon will be comfortable with temperatures rising slightly above normal to 16-19 C (60-67 F).
The warmest conditions will unfold later this week in northern England.

The weather will give residents ample opportunity to enjoy outdoor activities. Conditions will be ideal to take a lunch break outside in London, Manchester and Cardiff.
Brollies and wellies will not be needed by those planning to attend the Great Bath Feast.
Rainy spells will instead be directed at Northern Ireland and Scotland.
The rain from Monday into Tuesday will be accompanied by gusty winds, making holding onto brollies in Belfast and Glasgow difficult. Localized downpours can lead to slower travel.
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It is possible for the odd and light shower to graze Wales, western and northern England on Tuesday. The shower chance will quickly end for the second half of the week.
Rain is more likely to spread eastward to Aberdeen and Edinburgh for a short time in the next week.
Rainy spells later in the week should target more of northern and western parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland, allowing eastern Scotland to experience in the dry and mild weather.

National Temperature and Rainfall Extremes for October 1,2016 from accuweather.com

As of 2:15AM,EDT/11:15PM,PDT

Daily U.S. Extremes

past 24 hours

	Extreme	Location
High	100°	Imperial, CA
Low	21°	Lakeview, OR
Precip	1.74"	Nantucket, MA

New York City metro-area forecast for October 1-December 9,2016 from accuweather.com

Here's the 70-day/10-week weather forecast for the New York City metro-area for the period of all of October, all of November and the first 9 days of December (October 1-December 9),2016 from accuweather.com

Tonight,October 1-2: More of the same dreary story;remaining cloudy,rainy,raw,dank and dreary with considerable cloudiness and scattered evening drizzle followed by areas of late-night fog developing and a low temperature dropping to 55-60 degrees,overnight.As of 3:30AM,EDT,October 2,it's cloudy and in the middle 50's,with 92% humidity,in White Plains,NY and it's 61 degrees and cloudy,with 87% humidity,in New York City.

Tomorrow,October 2: Remaining dreary,raw and cool with low clouds and fog and a high temperature in the lower and middle 60's.

Tomorrow night,October 2-3: Remaining cloudy,dreary and mild with areas of late-night fog and a low temperature dropping to 55-60 degrees,overnight.

Monday,October 3: Remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning much warmer than recent days,with areas of morning fog followed by scattered rain showers continuing and a high temperature in the lower and middle 70's.Remaining mostly cloudy,rainy,and mild with a scattered rain shower still possible and a low temperature dropping,for the third straight night,down to 55-60 degrees,overnight.

Tuesday,October 4: Not as warm,but remaining mostly cloudy and rainy for the eighth straight day,with spotty drizzle and a high temperature of 65-70 degrees.Remaining mostly cloudy,but turning a bit cooler than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to the lower and middle 50's, overnight.

Wednesday,October 5: Remaining cloudy through the morning before clouds FINALLY break for some sunshine and a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's.Finally turning partly cloudy,but remaining rather mild for very early October and early autumn,with a low temperature dropping to the middle 50's,overnight.

Thursday,October 6: Turning warmer,with a mix of sunshine and some clouds and a high temperature of 70-75 degrees.Remaining partly cloudy and rather mild for early October and early autumn,with a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 50's,overnight.

Friday,October 7: Turning cloudy and rainy,once again,with a chance for a little more rain and a high temperature in the lower and middle 70's.Remaining mostly cloudy,rainy,unseasonably warm and muggy for early autumn and early October,with a chance for a passing evening rain shower and a low temperature dropping to the upper 50's to lower 60's,overnight.

Saturday,October 8: Not as warm,with a mix of clouds and breaks of sun and a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's.Becoming clear and not as warm with a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 50's,overnight.

Sunday,October 9: Finally turning sunny for the first time all month,with plenty of sunshine and a high temperature of around 70 degrees.Finally turning mainly clear and much cooler/colder than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to 45-50 degrees,overnight.

Monday,October 10: Columbus Day 2016 will be turning mostly cloudy and cooler than recent days,with a high temperature of 65-70 degrees.Turning rainy,but remaining seasonably chilly for early autumn and early October,with periods of rain and a low temperature dropping to 45-50 degrees,once again,the blustery,biting southwesterly winds,which could gust up to 20-mph,at times, making it feel even colder,like it's only 35-40 degrees,at times,overnight.

Tuesday,October 11: Becoming sunny FOR A CHANGE,but remaining rather warm for early October and early autumn,with a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's.Remaining seasonably chilly with patchy clouds and a low temperature dropping,for the third straight night,down to 45-50 degrees,overnight.

Wednesday,October 12: Turning mostly cloudy and rainy,once again,but also turning cooler than recent days,with a chance for a little rain and a high temperature in the middle 60's.Turning cloudy,rainy,raw,dank,dreary,and rather cold for early-to-mid October,with considerable cloudiness and a chance for a couple of evening rain showers possible and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,overnight.

Thursday,October 13: Remaining mostly cloudy,rainy,raw,and seasonably cool to mild for early autumn and early-to-mid October,with a bit of morning rain and drizzle and a high temperature of 60-65 degrees.Becoming partly cloudy and milder/warmer than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to around 50 degrees,overnight.

Friday,October 14: Remaining mostly cloudy and warmer than recent days,with a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's.Becoming clear and unseasonably mild for mid-October and early autumn,with a low temperature of 50-55 degrees,overnight.

Saturday,October 15: Turning much cooler/colder than recent days,with times of clouds and sun and a high temperature only in the middle and upper 50's.Turning cloudy and markedly colder than recent nights,with a low temperature plunging down to the lower and middle 30's,overnight.

Sunday,October 16: Turning sunny and not as cool with a high temperature in the upper 50's to lower 60's.Remaining clear,but not as cold with a low temperature dropping to the lower and middle 40's, overnight.

Monday,October 17: Remaining mostly sunny,but turning much warmer than recent days,as it turns unseasonably warm,once again,with a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's.Remaining mainly clear and mild for mid-October with a low temperature dropping to the upper 40's to lower 50's,overnight.

Tuesday,October 18: Remaining unseasonably warm for mid-to-late October,with gorgeous,ample sunshine and a high temperature in the upper 60's to lower 70's,once again.Remaining mainly clear and unseasonably mild for mid-to-late October,with a low temperature dropping to the upper 40's to lower 50's,once again,overnight.

Wednesday,October 19: Not as warm,with plenty of clouds and occasional rain possible and a high temperature of 65-70 degrees.Remaining cloudy,rainy,and rather mild for mid-to-late October,with a chance for rain and a low temperature dropping to around 50 degrees,overnight.

Thursday,October 20: Turning mostly sunny,but remaining rather warm for late October and early-to-mid autumn,with a high temperature of around 70 degrees.Becoming clear,but remaining rather mild for late October,with a low temperature dropping to 45-50 degrees,overnight.

Friday,October 21: Remaining gorgeous,but turning cooler than recent days,with abundant sunshine and a high temperature in the lower and middle 60's.Remaining clear and a bit mild for late October, with a low temperature dropping to 45-50 degrees,once again,overnight.

Saturday,October 22: Turning rather cloudy,but remaining seasonably cool to mild for early-to-mid autumn,with a high temperature of 60-65 degrees.Becoming clear to partly cloudy.but remaining rather mild for late October,with a low temperature dropping,for the third straight night,down to 45-50 degrees,overnight.

Sunday,October 23: Turning partly sunny and milder/warmer than recent days,with a high temperature of 65-70 degrees.Remaining mostly cloudy and mild with a low temperature dropping,for the fourth straight night,down to 45-50 degrees,overnight.

Monday,October 24: Remaining partly sunny and unseasonably mild to warm for very late October and early-to-mid autumn,with a high temperature of 65-70 degrees,once again.Not as mild,with increasing cloudiness and a low temperature dropping to the middle 40's,overnight.

Tuesday,October 25: Turning cloudy,rainy,and a bit cooler than recent days,with occasional rain and a high temperature in the middle 60's.Remaining cloudy,rainy,raw and cool with a chance for rain showers and a low temperature dropping to the middle 40's,once again,overnight.

Wednesday,October 26: Remaining pleasantly mild to warm for very late October,with a mix of sun and clouds and a high temperature in the lower and middle 60's.Becoming mainly clear,but remaining a bit mild for early-to-mid autumn with a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 40's, overnight.

Thursday,October 27: Remaining partly sunny and mild with a high temperature in the lower and middle 60's,once again.Remaining rather mild for the end of October,with increasing cloudiness and a low temperature dropping to the middle 40's,overnight.

Friday,October 28: Remaining mild for the end of October,but turning cloudy,with a high temperature, for the third straight day,in the lower and middle 60's.Remaining cloudy,rainy,and mild with a little evening rain followed by spotty late-night rain showers possible and a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 40's,overnight.

Saturday,October 29: Remaining cloudy,rainy,and mild with more rain possible and a high temperature of 60-65 degrees.Remaining cloudy and rainy through the evening with a chance for evening rain tapering off followed by some late-night clearing and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,overnight.

Sunday,October 30: Turning cooler than recent days,with intervals of clouds and sunshine and a high temperature of just 55-60 degrees.Remaining seasonably chilly to cold for mid-autumn,with patchy clouds and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,once again,overnight.

Monday,October 31: Halloween 2016 will be remaining seasonably mild for mid-autumn with intervals of clouds and sunshine and a high temperature in the upper 50's to lower 60's.Becoming mainly cloudy and seasonably chilly to cold for mid-autumn,with a low temperature dropping to around 40 degrees,the blustery,biting, northeasterly winds,which could gust up to 25-mph,at times, making it feel even colder,like it's in the middle and upper 20's,at times,overnight.

Tuesday,November 1: November of 2016 begins turning cloudy and rainy,once again,but remaining seasonably mild for mid-autumn,with considerable cloudiness and occasional rain and a high temperature of around 60 degrees.Remaining cloudy,rainy,raw,and seasonably cold with more occasional rain and a low temperature dropping to around 40 degrees,once again,the blustery,biting, northeasterly winds,which could gust up to 25-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only around 30 degrees,at times,overnight.

Wednesday,November 2: Remaining cloudy and raw through the morning with low clouds and fog followed by some sun,but turning colder,with a high temperature of just 50-55 degrees.Remaining rather cloudy and seasonably chilly to cold for the beginning of November,with a low temperature dropping to the upper 30's to lower 40's,overnight.

Thursday,November 3: Remaining seasonably cool for mid-autumn,with times of clouds and sun and a high temperature in the middle 50's.Remaining partly cloudy and seasonably chilly to cold with a low temperature dropping to the upper 30's to lower 40's,once again,overnight.

Friday,November 4: Not as cool,with partly sunny skies and a high temperature of around 60 degrees.Becoming mainly clear,but remaining chilly,with a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,overnight.

Saturday,November 5: Remaining mostly cloudy and mild with a chance for a rain shower and a high temperature in the upper 50's to lower 60's.Remaining cloudy and rainy,with occasional rain and a low temperature dropping to the upper 30's to lower 40's,overnight.

Sunday,November 6: Remaining rather mild for early November and mid-autumn,with morning low clouds and fog followed by some sunshine and a high temperature of around 60 degrees.Becoming partly cloudy,but remaining seasonably chilly to cold for mid-autumn,with a low temperature dropping to around 40 degrees,overnight.

Monday,November 7: Remaining mostly cloudy and mild with a high temperature of around 60 degrees,once again.Becoming partly cloudy,but remaining seasonably chilly for mid-autumn,with a low temperature dropping to the upper 30's to lower 40's,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds, which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only in the upper 20's to lower 30's,at times,overnight.

Tuesday,November 8: Election Day 2016 will be remaining mostly cloudy,but turning warmer,with a high temperature in the lower and middle 60's.Becoming mainly clear and colder than recent nights, with a low temperature dropping to the middle 30's,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds,which could gust up to 25-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only in the lower and middle 20's above zero,at times,overnight.

Wednesday,November 9: Turning colder,despite ample sunshine,with a high temperature only in the lower and middle 50's.Remaining clear,but not as cold,with a low temperature dropping to the upper 30's to lower 40's,overnight.

Thursday,November 10: Remaining seasonably cool to mild for mid-autumn with ample sunshine and a high temperature in the lower and middle 50's,once again.Remaining mainly clear,but turning colder than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to the middle 30's,overnight.

Friday,November 11: Veteran's Day 2016 will be turning mainly cloudy and rainy,with a chance for a little rain and a high temperature of 55-60 degrees.Remaining cloudy,rainy,raw,and cold with considerable cloudiness and a chance for a cold rain shower and a low temperature dropping to 30-35 degrees,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust past 35-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only 15-20 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Saturday,November 12: Turning colder than recent days,with a mix of sunshine and some clouds and a high temperature only in the upper 40's to lower 50's.Not as cold as recent nights,with patchy clouds and a low temperature dropping to around 40 degrees,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only in the upper 20's to lower 30's above zero,at times,overnight.

Sunday,November 13: Becoming mostly sunny and seasonably cool for early-to-mid November and mid-to-late autumn,with a high temperature of 50-55 degrees.Turning mostly cloudy,rainy,and much warmer than recent nights,with occasional rain possible and a low temperature holding in the middle and upper 40's,the blustery,biting,southwesterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only 30-35 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Monday,November 14: Turning warmer than recent days,with times of clouds and sun and a high temperature of around 60 degrees.Not as mild with increasing cloudiness and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,overnight.

Tuesday,November 15: Turning mostly cloudy,but remaining unseasonably mild for mid-November and late autumn with a high temperature in the upper 50's to lower 60's.Becoming partly cloudy and mild with a low temperature dropping to the middle 40's,overnight.

Wednesday,November 16: Turning cloudy and rainy,but remaining rather mild for mid-November and late autumn,with periods of rain and a high temperature of 55-60 degrees.Remaining cloudy, rainy,and unseasonably mild for late autumn,with periods of rain and a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 40's,overnight.

Thursday,November 17: Remaining cloudy,rainy,and unseasonably mild for mid-to-late November and late autumn,with periods of rain and a near record high temperature of 60-65 degrees.Remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning markedly colder than recent nights,as it turns very cold and windy with a chance for a little cold rain which could mix with or change to snow in normally colder spots with a low temperature plunging down to the upper 20's to lower 30's,the blustery,biting,southwesterly winds,which could gust up to 40-mph,at times,making it feel bitterly cold to frigid,like it's only in the upper single digits to lower teens above zero,at times,overnight.

Friday,November 18: Remaining cloudy,rainy,and unseasonably mild for mid-to-late November and late autumn,with a chance for a rain shower and a high temperature soaring to the upper 50's to lower 60's.Becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably very cold for mid-to-late November,with a chance for a rain or snow shower and a low temperature plunging down to the middle and upper 20's,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only in the upper single digits to lower teens above zero,at times,once again,overnight.

Saturday,November 19: Turning colder than recent days,with a blend of sun and clouds and a high temperature of around 50 degrees.Remaining partly cloudy and quite cold for mid-to-late November and late autumn,with a near record low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 20's,once again,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel bitterly cold to frigid,like it's only around 10 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Sunday,November 20: Turning even colder,as it turns unseasonably chilly for late November with partial sunshine and a high temperature of just 40-45 degrees,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds, which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only in the lower and middle 30's,at times.Becoming mainly clear and not as cold as recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to the upper 20's to lower 30's,overnight.

Monday,November 21: Becoming mainly cloudy,but remaining rather chilly to cold for late November and late autumn,with a high temperature only in the middle 40's.Remaining cloudy,but turning rainy,even wintry,with an evening wintry mix of rain and snow followed by some late-night rain possible and a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 30's,overnight.

Tuesday,November 22: Remaining rather cloudy,but turning milder than recent days,as it turns seasonably cool for very late November and late autumn,with a high temperature of 45-50 degrees.Turning warmer than recent nights,with areas of low clouds and fog developing and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,overnight.

Wednesday,November 23: Remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning even warmer,with periods of rain and a high temperature in the middle 50's.Remaining cloudy,rainy,raw,dank,dreary,and unseasonably mild for late autumn and very late November,with a chance for a little rain and a low temperature dropping to 40-45 degrees,once again,the blustery,biting,southeasterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only in the upper 20's to lower 30's,at times, overnight.

Thursday,November 24: Thanksgiving Day 2016 will be remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning unseasonably mild for very late November with a chance for a little rain and a high temperature of around 60 degrees.Remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning colder than recent nights,with a chance for a little rain and a low temperature plunging down to the middle and upper 30's,the blustery,biting, southwesterly winds,which could gust up to 25-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only 25-30 degrees,at times,overnight.

Friday,November 25: Black Friday 2016 will be turning mostly cloudy,but remaining unseasonably mild for very late November,with a high temperature of 55-60 degrees.Turning partly cloudy and colder than recent nights,with a low temperature plunging down to the upper 20's to lower 30's,the blustery,biting,northwesterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only 15-20 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Saturday,November 26: Turning mostly sunny and much colder than recent days,with a high temperature of 45-50 degrees.Becoming mainly clear and warmer than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to around 40 degrees,overnight.

Sunday,November 27: Remaining seasonably chilly for the end of November and very late autumn, with increasing cloudiness and a high temperature in the upper 40's to lower 50's.Turning cloudy and rainy in the evening and wintry late with a chance for a little evening rain followed by a chance for some late-night freezing rain/ice and sleet possible and a low temperature dropping to the upper 20's to lower 30's,overnight.

Monday,November 28: Remaining mostly cloudy and seasonably cool for very late autumn,with a high temperature of 50-55 degrees.Becoming partly cloudy,but remaining very cold with a low temperature dropping to 25-30 degrees,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust up to 35-mph,at times,making it feel bitterly cold to frigid,like it's only in the upper single digits to lower teens above zero,at times,overnight.

Tuesday,November 29: Becoming mostly sunny and colder than recent days,with a high temperature of just 40-45 degrees,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust up to 35-mph,at times making it feel even colder,like it's only in the upper 20's to lower 30's,at times.Becoming partly cloudy,but remaining very cold for the end of November,with a low temperature dropping to 25-30 degrees,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust past 30-mph,at times,making it feel bitterly cold to frigid,like it's only in the upper single digits to lower teens above zero,at times, overnight.

Wednesday,November 30: November of 2016 ends remaining mostly sunny and chilly to cold with a high temperature of just 40-45 degrees,once again,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could still gust up to 30-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only in the upper 20's to lower 30's,at times,once again.Remaining mainly clear and seasonably very cold with a low temperature dropping to the upper 20's to lower 30's,overnight.

Thursday,December 1: December of 2016 begins remaining chilly to cold with a mix of sun and some clouds and a high temperature only in the lower and middle 40's.Becoming partly cloudy and colder with a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 20's,overnight.

Friday,December 2: Becoming mostly sunny,but remaining a bit cold for the beginning of December with a high temperature of just 40-45 degrees.Remaining clear to partly cloudy and very cold,with a low temperature dropping to the middle and upper 20's,once again,overnight.

Saturday,December 3: Remaining mostly sunny and chilly to cold with a high temperature of just 40-45 degrees,once again.Not as cold as recent nights,with mainly clear skies and a low temperature dropping to the lower and middle 30's,the blustery,biting,northeasterly winds,which could gust past 20-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only 20-25 degrees,at times,overnight.

Sunday,December 4: Remaining seasonably chilly to cold for very early December and the end of autumn,with increasing cloudiness and a high temperature in the lower and middle 40's.Becoming cloudy,very cold and wintry,with a chance for an evening rain or snow shower followed by a late-night wintry mix of freezing rain/ice and sleet possible and a low temperature dropping to around 30 degrees,the blustery,biting,northeasterly winds,which could gust past 35-mph,at times,making it feel markedly colder,making it feel brutally cold to frigid,like it's only in the middle single digits above zero,at times,overnight.

Monday,December 5: Remaining cloudy and wintry to start then turning rainy,with a chance for some morning freezing rain/ice and sleet followed by rain and a high temperature in the lower and middle 40's,once again,the blustery,biting,and at times gusty,northeasterly winds,which could gust up to 40-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only 25-30 degrees,at times.Remaining mostly cloudy and wintry,but not as cold,with a chance for a couple of snow flurries and a low temperature dropping to 30-35 degrees,overnight.

Tuesday,December 6: Remaining mostly cloudy and seasonably chilly to cold for early December and the end of autumn,with a high temperature of 40-45 degrees.Turning cloudy and rainy,but not as cold as recent nights,with a chance for a little cold rain and a low temperature holding in the middle 30's,the blustery,biting,northeasterly winds,which could gust up to 25-mph,at times,making it feel even colder,like it's only around 20 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Wednesday,December 7: Remaining cloudy and rainy,but turning warmer than recent days,with periods of rain and a high temperature in the upper 40's to lower 50's.Turning cloudy and wintry with evening rain mixing with then turning to freezing rain/ice late as the low temperature plunges down to 25-30 degrees,overnight.

Thursday,December 8: Remaining cloudy,rainy,and unseasonably mild for early December and the end of autumn,with a chance for some scattered rain and sleet possible and a high temperature of 50-55 degrees.Becoming partly cloudy and windy with a low temperature dropping to 30-35 degrees,the blustery,biting,and at times gusty,westerly winds,which could gust up to 45-mph,at times, making it feel much colder,like it's only 15-20 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Friday,December 9: Turning mostly sunny and colder than recent days,with a high temperature in the middle 40's,the blustery,biting,westerly winds,which could gust up to 35-mph,at times,making it feel much colder,like it's only in the lower and middle 30's,at times.Becoming partly cloudy and very cold,as it turns much colder than recent nights,with a low temperature dropping to the lower and middle 20's,the blustery,biting,stinging, northwesterly winds,which could gust up to 30-mph,at times, making it feel much colder,like it's only 5-10 degrees above zero,at times,overnight.

Major Hurricane Matthew Grows Even Stronger; Jamaica, Hispañola, Cuba, Bahamas Threat

September 30,2016
Matthew is now a major hurricane, as it strengthened to a Category 3 on Friday morning and it continues to strengthen
The storm poses a danger to Jamaica, parts of Hispañola, eastern Cuba, and the Bahamas early next week. Its potential U.S. impact later next week still remains unclear.
Hurricane Matthew became the fifth hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season early Thursday afternoon.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)
Matthew was located 85 miles northeast of Punta Gallinas, Colombia, as of early Friday afternoon.

Current Storm Status

A Hurricane Hunters reconnaissance mission Friday morning measured flight-level winds a few thousand feet above the sea of nearly 120 mph north of the eye, prompting the upgrade to Category 3 status. The central pressure continues to drop as Matthew intensifies.
A tropical storm watch continues for he northern coast of Colombia. Winds of 40 mph or greater are likely in northern Colombia on Friday afternoon and evening.

Current Watches/Warnings

Impacts to land should be on a temporary waning trend by late Friday as Matthew moves away from Colombia. Here are the current winds:

Current Wind Speed and Gusts

The 'Caribbean Right Turn'

Matthew is currently experiencing some wind shear provided by southwest winds several thousand feet above the surface, but it continues to become stronger anyway.

Current Satellite, Wind Shear

Strengthening is forecast into Saturday and there is at least a chance that it could become a Category 4 hurricane.
First up, given the southern track, outer bands of rain and winds to tropical storm force are possible in portions of coastal Colombia to the Venezuela border through early Saturday.
Beyond that, uncertainty is still considerable on the critical details of this system.
(MORE: Just Because It's Fall Doesn't Mean We Shouldn't Pay Attention to the Tropics)
Over the next couple of days, Matthew should continue to move west or just south of due west as it rides the southern periphery of the Bermuda high.
Sometime on Saturday or early Sunday, Matthew should make its long-anticipated northwest or northward turn in the Caribbean Sea, as the system reaches the southwestern edge of the Bermuda high.
The critical details regarding when exactly that turn is made, how sharp it is, and Matthew's intensity at that time will dictate the impacts for Jamaica, Hispañola, and eastern or central Cuba.
Unfortunately, there is still some important forecast uncertainty regarding those important details, which is common for a tropical cyclone forecast several days out. Phases of rapid intensification like the one experienced by Matthew on Thursday and Friday only hamper efforts to gain a better handle on the forecast.
(MORE: Facts/Myths About the Hurricane Cones of Uncertainty)
For now, impacts could begin in Jamaica and Hispañola (particularly Haiti) as soon as Sunday night, and in eastern Cuba as soon as Monday.
In addition, there is uncertainty regarding Matthew's intensity as it nears those locations. Matthew may be stronger than the current forecast.

Projected Path and Intensity

Beyond that, Matthew is likely to begin impacting parts of the central or southeastern Bahamas by Tuesday.
(FLASHBACK: Hurricane Joaquin 2015)

U.S. Threat?

Beyond that, it is still too soon to determine which parts of the U.S. may be in danger next week.
Ensemble forecast guidance includes scenarios where Matthew moves north, then northeast remaining well off the East Coast, but also includes tracks into the Gulf of Mexico next week.
(MORE: Why Long-Range Model Forecasts For the Tropics Can't Often Be Trusted)
The track will depend, in part, on the steering currents in the atmosphere.

If high pressure aloft is stronger near or over the Eastern U.S., that may steer Matthew closer to some part of the U.S.
Conversely, if a southward dip in the jet stream is in play over some part of the Eastern U.S., that could help deflect Matthew to the east.

For now, ensemble forecast guidance has leddened the threat of a Gulf of Mexico track, but it is still too far out to rule out an East Coast threat later next week.
There is also considerable uncertainty on how fast Matthew moves.
Even if Matthew stays sufficiently off the East Coast, a threat of dangerous swells, coastal flooding, and beach erosion is likely to be in play along parts of the Eastern Seaboard.
Colorado State University tropical scientist, Dr. Phil Klotzbach noted 60 percent of landfalling U.S. hurricanes from September 27 and beyond since 1900 have occurred in Florida. However, while lower probability, there have been landfalls this late in the season as far west as the Texas Gulf Coast.

Typical October named storm origin locations and tracks.

For now, all interests in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, Bahamas and U.S. East Coast should continue to monitor the progress of Matthew. Check back with us frequently at weather.com for any important forecast updates.

Storm Reports

George F.L. Charles Airport on St. Lucia picked up 9.21 inches of rain Wednesday. On the south side of the island, Hewanorra Int'l Airport picked up 13.19 inches of rain in just 12 hours from 8 p.m. Wednesday through 8 a.m. Thursday, according to the Antigua Met Service.

A wind gust to 89 mph was reported in St. Pierre, Martinique, Wednesday evening. Some stations are elevated at 50 to 100 feet. Sustained winds of 39 mph were reported on the island of Barbados.

Now is a good time to make sure you're prepared before the storm. Are you #HurricaneStrong?
MORE: Atlantic Category 5 Hurricanes

Could Hurricane Matthew Be a Joaquin Déjà Vu in The Bahamas?

Jon Erdman
Published: October 1,2016
Hurricane Matthew is expected to pose a danger to the Bahamas almost exactly one year after Hurricane Joaquin ransacked the central and southeastern Bahamas.
(MORE: Matthew Forecast | Hurricane Central)
The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center has the center of Matthew moving through the Bahamas next week.

Matthew Projected Path

One possible scenario has Matthew taking about 24 to 36 hours to move through the Bahamas. A more ominous scenario, however, involves Matthew moving much slower, possibly taking three days to finally clear the islands.
(FORECAST: Nassau | Freeport)
This scenario brings to mind Hurricane Joaquin's prolonged pounding one year ago.

Joaquin's Devastation

First developing about halfway between Bermuda and the Bahamas, Joaquin narrowly missed Category 5 status as it lashed the central Bahamas for several days before finally pulling away.

Path history of Hurricane Joaquin near The Bahamas in 2015.

The duration of these winds led to severe storm surges of 12 to 15 feet on Acklins, Crooked Island and Rum Cay, according to the National Hurricane Center's report of Joaquin, citing the Bahamas Department of Meteorology.
(PHOTOS: 8 Stunning Satellite Images of Joaquin)
An estimated 5 to 10 inches of rain added to the surge flooding.
On Long Island, 4 to 6 feet of water covered two-thirds of the island four days after Joaquin left. Seventy percent of Crooked Island was flooded with at least five feet of water.
A critical shortage of clean drinking water set in, as wells were contaminated by leaking septic tanks. A total blackout occurred on three islands. Structural damage was also widespread.
(MORE: Hurricane Joaquin's Aftermath)
Ninety percent of homes in Lovely Bay, Chester and Snug Corner on Acklins were damaged or destroyed, and all homes on the east side of both Crooked Island and Long Cay had severe roof damage.
An airport building on San Salvador was destroyed, and the airport on Rum Cay was flooded. The main bridge on Acklins was also destroyed.
Residents were evacuated to Nassau and basic supplies were delivered by planes and boats to the hardest-hit areas. Joaquin also contributed to the sinking of the cargo ship, El Faro, claiming 33 lives.
Due to the devastation, Joaquin was retired as a hurricane name.
(MORE: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Recap)
Colorado State University tropical meteorologist Dr. Phil Klotzbach said Joaquin was the first Category 4 hurricane to track through the Bahamas in October since 1866.
Joaquin's minimum central pressure of 931 millibars was also the lowest observed in an Atlantic Basin hurricane since September 2010, when Hurricane Igor bottomed out at 924 millibars.
Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been an incurable weather geek since a tornado narrowly missed his childhood home in Wisconsin at age 7.

13 Killed By China Landslides Triggered By Typhoon Megi

Ada Carr
Published: October 1,2016

After hitting Taiwan with deadly winds and flooding, Typhoon Megi moved west into China, where heavy rainfall triggered a pair of mudslides that have left at least 13 people dead and 20 more missing.
Saturday officials in Sucun village confirmed eight deaths from a landslide with 19 people still missing. A second landslide in Wencheng county killed five and left one person missing.
The storm was also responsible for several collapsed structures in the Chinese town of Quanzhou, where one person was killed, the China News Service said.
(MORE: Check the Forecast for Chaba)

Chinese rescuers search at the site of the landslide in Sucun village, Beijie town, Suichang county, Lishui city, east China's Zhejiang province, Sept. 29, 2016.
(Imaginechina via AP Images)

More than 120,000 fishermen were evacuated in Fujian province alone, CCTV said. One person was killed by the storm in China.
Seven deaths were confirmed in Taiwan after officials told Focus Taiwan that three bodies were recovered in the aftermath of a landslide in Kaohsiung. The victims were an 86-year-old man, his 82-year-old wife and their 50-year-old son, the report added.
Of the other four deaths, three were from falls and one was blamed on a truck crash, Taiwan Central Emergency Operations Center spokesman Lee Wei-sen told the AP.
More than 600 people were injured – many of which were caused by flying debris – during the storm, the AP reported. Among those hurt were eight Japanese tourists who were inside a bus that overturned, the report added. One of those tourists remains in critical condition, according to the Straits Times.
Three state utility workers were injured when their truck tumbled into a valley while they were trying to restore power in a mountainous area.
(MORE: Ulika Intensifies in the Eastern Pacific)
In the wake of the typhoon, almost 4 million Taiwanese homes and businesses lost power, Focus Taiwan also said.

View image on Twitter

The Straits Times ✔ @STcom

Typhoon #Megi kills 1 in China after Taiwan destructionhttp://bit.ly/2dBfZ74

12:54 AM - 28 Sep 2016

At Taipei's Taoyuan International Airport, tropical-force sustained winds were observed for upwards of 14 consecutive hours during the storm, with the peak wind gust clocked at 99 mph, according to weather.com meteorologist Jon Erdman.
Winds knocked down a 635-ton crane at a harbor in the eastern area of Hualien, crushing a nearby building. No injuries were reported from the incident.
The island's eastern coast was still recovering from damage caused by Super Typhoon Meranti earlier this month, followed by Typhoon Malakas.

Extremely Dangerous Matthew Beginning to Turn Toward Jamaica, Haiti; Hurricane Warnings Issued

October 1,2016
Hurricane Matthew has begun a turn to the north as a strong and extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane.
The storm poses a very dangerous threat to Jamaica, parts of Hispañola, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas early next week. Its potential U.S. impact later next week still remains unclear. Impacts are possible in Florida during the middle of next week.
Major Hurricane Matthew strengthened to a rare Category 5 late Friday evening. Matthew is the first Category 5 hurricane since Hurricane Felix in 2007.
Hurricane Matthew became the fifth hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season early Thursday afternoon.
According to Colorado State University tropical scientist Dr. Phil Klotzbach, Matthew became the lowest latitude Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic on record (beating the old record set by Ivan in 2004).
(MORE: At Least 1 Dead in Colombia As Deadly Matthew Heads Towards Jamaica, Cuba)
Matthew was located around 360 miles south of Port-au-Prince, Haiti as of early Saturday Evening.

Current Storm Status

A Hurricane Hunters reconnaissance mission Saturday afternoon measured winds of 155 mph in Matthew's eyewall at a height of 7,000 feet, and winds of 150 mph at the surface.
This indicates a short term strengthening trend is occurring, and could continue.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)
A hurricane warning has been issued for Jamaica and coastal areas of Haiti. Winds of 75 mph or greater are likely with torential rainfall occuring on Monday, and tropical storm force winds may begin late Sunday. Preparations in these areas need to be completed as soon as possible.
A hurricane watch has been issued for Haiti's northern coast and for the eastern half of Cuba. Winds of 75 mph or greater are possible in these areas by Monday night or Tuesday morning, and preparations may become difficult by early Monday.

Current Watches/Warnings

Impacts to land have faded as Matthew has moved away away from Colombia, but will begin to escalate again on Sunday.
Here are the current winds:

Current Wind Speed and Gusts

Trips through the Caribbean are strongly ill-advised.