By Jordan Root, Meteorologist
September 9,2016; 9:13PM,EDT
Despite the typical seasonal peak in tropical activity occurring across the Atlantic on Sept. 10, the basin remains quiet with no organized features at this time.
However, a couple of tropical systems may develop as the pattern changes early next week.
"We are currently monitoring a few tropical waves in the Atlantic Basin," AccuWeather Meteorologist Ed Vallee said.
One area being closely watched is a cluster of showers and thunderstorms that is currently moving through the Florida Straits. There have been some signs of strengthening in the past 12 to 24 hours.
"Visible satellite imagery shows a well defined low-level swirl northwest of the thunderstorms," AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.
Hostile conditions ahead of it will prevent this system from strengthening too much in the near term.
Regardless of any further strengthening, it will still be capable of bringing gusty showers and thunderstorms to the Florida Keys and Cuba through the weekend.
"This feature will move west over the next couple of days and then fall apart northwest of Cuba," Kottlowski said.
Another area being watched is a cluster of thunderstorms about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands. This feature is developing a low pressure center and will be worth tracking as it gradually moves west-northwest over the coming days.
While conditions are not very favorable across the tropical Atlantic for rapid development at this time, improvement is expected to occur next week and may allow for better organization.
"Future development of this system looks favorable during the next few days and it could become a tropical depression or storm early next week," AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.
At this point, the most likely path is for this feature to track northeast of the Leeward Islands next week.
"This feature should be no threat to land for several days, if at all," Kottlowski said.
If this feature were to develop into something stronger, the main impacts would likely remain offshore with only an increase in surf experienced along the Leeward Islands.
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An area of high pressure over the central Atlantic, which is the main steering force for tropical features, will likely pull it northward next week and eventually away from land. However, any small change can alter this path.
The current track would take it well east of Bermuda towards the middle of next week.
"Those with interests in the eastern Caribbean should continue to monitor this feature over the next few days," Vallee said.
A couple of other weak tropical features across the Atlantic are being watched but pose no threat for further development at this time. Strong wind shear is currently impacting the Gulf of Mexico which should keep activity at a minimum.
This Saturday, Sept. 10, marks the peak of hurricane season in the Atlantic basin. On average, late August and September is the most active time across the tropical Atlantic and the past couple of weeks have been active.
"The Atlantic is quiet for the first time since Aug. 15 when Tropical Depression 6 developed," Kottlowski said.
Tropical Depression 6 would eventually develop into Tropical Storm Fiona at a later time.
Hermine, which dissipated on Tuesday, was the last named Atlantic tropical system. Hermine made landfall across the Florida Panhandle as a hurricane on Sept. 2, before tracking along the Southeast coast and then stalling southeast of Long Island.
Despite a lull in organized activity now, climatology favors additional pulses of energy emerging from Africa and into the eastern tropical Atlantic over the coming weeks.
Thus, the threat for additional tropical storms and hurricanes, some of which may make landfall in the Caribbean or the United States, will persist. The next tropical storm to form will acquire the name Ian.
The Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until Nov. 30.
Michael Renwich ·
And
suddenly there came from heaven a sound like a mighty rushing wind, and
it filled the entire house where they were sitting. Acts 2-2
Linda Brown ·
Has there ever been a hurricane Linda and if so is it true if they do great damage
There names are never used again.? Thank you!
There names are never used again.? Thank you!
Mae Borasio
Pure
and simply , all weather forecasters are a bunch of guessers ! They
like to talk smack , and hype! No hard core facts whatsoever , all they
do is look at a bunch of brainless computers , so that tell me all the
education in the world is purely useless , and that say it all!
1
Yahia Ouansa ·
Works at PC gaming
why tropical storms always develop in that area O.o
Matt Johnson ·
Nice picture of the north side of Chicago as "Miami" LOL
AccuWeather.com
Thanks, Matt Johnson, we will pass this along to our video team for review.
Matt Johnson ·
AccuWeather.com Great! Understandable this could happen. We do have nice beaches and clear blue water too.
Yoendry Hernandez de la Paz ·
tendria alguna afectacion hacia cuba?
Yoendry Hernandez de la Paz ·
tendría alguna afectacion a cuba
Tony Shaffer ·
... then veer out to sea and be a fish storm...
Brian Falzon ·
Here we go again
Chris Pfau ·
Well at least they give folks a heads up way ahead of time. So don't say they were warned in advance
Joanne Galante-Williams ·
No storms on September 25th. I'm flying out of Philadelphia in am
Mary H Wessner
Sorry,
but the fact that we have 8-10 different models suggests we have a long
way to go re: short-term forecasting. Keep working on it.
Julio R Caceres Jr. ·
I bet the hurricane will coming to hit NJ anytime soon
Derrick Cornell Cephas ·
Accuweather sounds disappointed there are no tropical development
Gloria Rangott ·
Works at Happily Retired
More like a sigh of relief...is what I interpret
Chuck Stine ·
Tropical
systems are hard enough to pin down hour to hour 5 weeks ahead of time
is almost like asking if i'll hit powerball saturday night
unfortunely.... hopefully you enjoy your trip though
Angela Marie ·
No the 13th of this month
Chuck Stine ·
Ahhhh I will say look at the last storm, how many times did that track chance in the course of 6 days????
I am very concerned I am going to be in Orlando from the 13th to the 22nd. Are we going to hit
Ruth Venuti Clevenger ·
Orlando??? Highly unlikely.
Ruth
Venuti Clevenger Sorry for the confusion i guess i should have said get
hit with rain the whole time. I know it rains in the afternoon for a
bit I just was hoping it wouldnt be all rain everyday
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