Sunday, September 11, 2016

Brewing Atlantic system may strengthen into Tropical Depression 10

By Renee Duff, AccuWeather.com Meteorologist
September 11,2016; 8:53PM,EDT
 
 
A system in the Atlantic could become the next tropical depression or storm of the season early this week.
The area of low pressure and its associated showers and thunderstorms, located approximately 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, has become better organized over the past several days.
"Future development of this system looks favorable during the next few days," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

The system will be moving into an environment with very little dry air. However, the system may have to contend with strong winds in the upper levels of the atmosphere, which could inhibit strengthening for a time.
"This system could become a tropical depression and perhaps a tropical storm early this week," Kottlowski added.
The next tropical depression to form will be labeled 10, while the next tropical storm to form will acquire the name Ian.
Kottlowski expects this developing tropical system to continue on a northwest track along the periphery of a large high pressure area southwest of the Azores.
"On this projected path the system will remain in the central North Atlantic far removed from land," Kottlowski said.
Any impacts are expected to remain well offshore of any land mass. The Leeward Islands may only experience an increase in surf over the next few days.
Shipping and cruise interests should continue to monitor the progress of the storm and review routes accordingly.
This is a satellite loop of the Atlantic Basin. (NOAA/Satellite)
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, two other areas of disturbed whether are currently being monitored.
One area of thunderstorms is currently located near the southeastern Bahamas and is expected to continue on a west-northwest path over the next few days.
The system's movement across an unfavorable environment is expected to inhibit the system from developing, Kottlowski said.
The second area being watched is a tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands. This system will be monitored for development toward the end of this week, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Ed Vallee.
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Meanwhile in the East Pacific, Tropical Depression 16-E formed several hundred miles south-southwest of Baja California on Saturday and quickly strengthened to Tropical Storm Orlene early Sunday morning. At this time, the storm is not expected to be a threat to land.
While the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is now in the rearview mirror (Sept. 10), climatology still favors additional tropical waves emerging from West Africa and potentially developing in the eastern tropical Atlantic, AccuWeather Meteorologist Jordan Root said.
Folks in the Caribbean and the United States should not let their guard down as the Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until Nov. 30.

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