By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
September 2,2016; 10:13PM,EDT
While new tropical development in the wake of Hermine is unlikely during the next several days, additional pulses of tropical activity are in store during September and October.
First, Hermine will buffet the mid-Atlantic coast with beach erosion, coastal flooding and gusty winds for days.
Behind Hermine, the train of disturbances in the tropical Atlantic will continue. During September and into October, dozens of disturbances move westward from Africa and toward the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic.
When these disturbances move into a region where atmospheric conditions are favorable for development, a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane can be born.
It appears that dry air, dust and disruptive winds have become re-established over the tropical Atlantic in the short-term, according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.
These conditions will result in a lull of new tropical activity in the Atlantic for a time.
"We see no new tropical development through this weekend and into the middle of next week," Kottlowski said.
One tropical disturbance, dubbed 92L, that emerged from Africa during late August was strong at first, but has since weakened. This disturbance will drift westward across the Caribbean with spotty showers and thunderstorms early next week.
"There is a slight chance 92L may slowly develop as it crosses the Caribbean," Kottlowski said.
It is possible that as 92L enters the Gulf of Mexico, conditions could become more favorable for organization and strengthening late next week.
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Another strong disturbance will push off the Africa coast and into the western Atlantic from Africa Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.
"Until that new disturbance emerges, it will be difficult to assess the environmental conditions surrounding the system, especially the amount of dry air and dust," Kottlowski said.
On average, the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is Sept. 10. Hurricane season continues into November.
Cycles of tropical and non-tropical activity are not uncommon during the hurricane season, including near the height of the season.
With more pulses of tropical activity in the Atlantic an almost certainty, there is the risk of an additional landfall or two in the United States by a tropical storm and/or hurricane.
In lieu of another tropical storm or hurricane threatening land, there is a significant chance of additional episodes where multiple systems can spin up in the Atlantic at the same time.
Derrick Cornell Cephas ·
Tropical storm Hermine is nothing more than a whole gale storm once it
reaches north of Delaware, theirs its considered sub-tropical in nature.
reaches north of Delaware, theirs its considered sub-tropical in nature.
Joseph N Frezza ·
Luckily here in SE Mass it won't be too bad, but I am looking out for my friends in this thing's patch. Be safe, everyone!!
Lisa Ipri Dantinne
So u r saying that things at the jersey shore will b ok this weekend?
Jeff Franklin
No, they will not be good on the Jersey Shore this weekend (especially not good on Sunday and Monday). http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Jessica Lundy should be ok for Myrtle Beach the week of September 12th for the week
3
Can't wait!!! 😊💗
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