Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, Soon to Become Kevin, May Inject Moisture Into the Desert Southwest

September 1,2015
Highlights

• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E is spinning well south-southwest of Los Cabos, on the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 
• This system was struggling to better organize Tuesday night, but is forecast to strengthen into Tropical Storm Kevin sometime Wednesday.
• This system is no land threat through Friday, but a dissipating system is forecast to approach the southern Baja this weekend.
• Remnant moisture from this system may eventually get drawn northeast into the Desert Southwest.

(MORE: Expert Analysis | Hurricane Central)

Current Status

Tropical Depression Fourteen-E is currently tracking to the north-northwest and a turn more toward the north is expected later this week. By late-week, a recurve to the northeast is anticipated as a mid-level ridge of high pressure that is located to the north of this system is expected to shift eastward in the coming days.
Fourteen-E is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm sometime Wednesday, and would get the name "Kevin" when doing so.
Beyond that, this system is not in an ideal environment for strengthening due to southwesterly wind shear in the area and is currently not expected to reach hurricane status, as vertical wind shear will only increase thanks to a sharp southward dip in the jet stream into the Western U.S.
(MORE: U.S. Pattern Change)

Projected path

Therefore, the future "Kevin" will likely weaken quickly later this week well before it would ever threaten the Baja California peninsula.
However, the wind flow aloft, namely the aforementioned southward jet stream dip coupled with high pressure aloft over the Rio Grande Valley of Texas will steer at least some mid-level remnant moisture into the Desert Southwest later this week.
(FORECAST: Phoenix | Tucson)
Stay tuned to The Weather Channel and check back with weather.com for updates on this system.
MORE: Hurricane Satellite Imagery (PHOTOS)