Lightning kills 18 people in India as monsoon thunderstorms continue

By Kristina Pydynowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

July 31,2017, 12:08:01PM,EDT

 

The latest casualties amid the monsoon in India occurred on Sunday as 18 people were killed by separate lightning strikes.

The deadly lightning strikes occurred in eastern India in the state of Odisha. Most of the 18 victims were working in fields, according to First Post.
Odisha’s Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik announced compensation for the deceased.

The lightning deaths are the latest casualties since the monsoon has advanced across India.
The monsoon is being blamed for the deaths of nearly 700 people across India in recent weeks, according to The Guardian.
The death toll from devastating flooding in Gujarat state rose to 213 on Sunday. Bodies continue to be recovered as receding flood waters have allowed rescue workers to reach remote areas.

Indian villagers walk on a road damaged by flood waters near Thara in Banaskantha district, Gujarat, India, on Thursday, 27 July 2017. Large swaths of western India have been lashed by heavy monsoon rains and flooding over the last week. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)

Assam was hit hard with deadly flooding and landslides during the middle of July. Dozens were killed, and more than half of the Kaziranga National Park was flooded. This park is home to the world’s largest one-horned rhinoceros population.
While India relies on the monsoon for its water supply, the risks for areas of flash flooding and deadly lightning are the negatives that residents face.
This week, daily monsoon showers and thunderstorms will be most numerous from northern to eastern India and along the southwestern coast.

A push of drier air will further decrease shower activity in western India as this week progresses. A few spotty showers can still dampen Gujarat, but their intensity will lessen by later in the week.
"The turn to unusually dry weather in Gujarat and Rajasthan is expected to carry through at least the first half of next week," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls said. "Shower and thunderstorm activity may increase later in the week, but the return of widespread devastating flooding rain is not expected."
On the other side of the country, AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring the potential for a monsoon low to develop later this week and enhance downpours around Bangladesh.

 

Is 2017 the wettest year on record for NYC area? Persistent wet,stormy weather pattern could mean wettest year on record for the NYC area if pattern persists for rest of 2017

Thanks to persistent Jet Stream trough since mid-March 2017,the whole year of 2017 could end up being the wettest year on record for the New York City metro-area if this weather pattern not only continues through the rest of the 2017 Summer season,but into the fall/autumn and the 2017 holiday season (Labor Day through New Year's). Here's the daily rainfall tallies for the city of White Plains,NY for the whole year of 2017 so far,as of 12AM,EDT,August 1,2017 from accuweather.com







January 1:    None (0.00 inches)
January 2:    0.05 inches
January 3:    0.53 inches
January 4:    None
January 5:    None
January 6:    0.01 inches
January 7:    0.04 inches
January 8:    None
January 9:    None
January 10:  None
January 11:  0.42 inches
January 12:  0.11 inches
January 13:  None
January 14:  0.02 inches
January 15:  None
January 16:  None
January 17:  0.34 inches
January 18:  0.09 inches
January 19:  None
January 20:  0.04 inches
January 21:  None
January 22:  None
January 23:  0.61 inches
January 24:  0.76 inches
January 25:  None
January 26:  None
January 27:  None
January 28:  None
January 29:  None
January 30:  None
January 31:  0.16 inches
February 1:  None
February 2:  None
February 3:  None
February 4:  None
February 5:  None
February 6:  None
February 7:  0.19 inches
February 8:  0.03 inches
February 9:  0.60 inches
February 10: None
February 11: None
February 12: 0.51 inches
February 13: 0.01 inches
February 14: None
February 15: 0.08 inches
February 16: None
February 17: None
February 18: None
February 19: None
February 20: None
February 21: None
February 22: None
February 23: None
February 24: None
February 25: 0.53 inches
February 26: None
February 27: None
February 28: None
March 1:       0.35 inches
March 2:       0.01 inches
March 3:       None
March 4:       None
March 5:       None
March 6:       None
March 7:       0.04 inches
March 8:       0.04 inches
March 9:       None
March 10:     0.11 inches
March 11:     None
March 12:     None
March 13:     None
March 14:     0.98 inches
March 15:     None
March 16:     None
March 17:     None
March 18:     0.01 inches
March 19:     None
March 20:     None
March 21:     None
March 22:     None
March 23:     None
March 24:     0.01 inches
March 25:     0.03 inches
March 26:     0.07 inches
March 27:     0.42 inches
March 28:     0.67 inches
March 29:     None
March 30:     None
March 31:     1.01 inches
April 1:         0.02 inches
April 2:         None
April 3:         0.01 inches
April 4:         1.28 inches
April 5:         None
April 6:         0.99 inches
April 7:         0.01 inches
April 8:         None
April 9:         None
April 10:       None
April 11:       None
April 12:       0.06 inches
April 13:       None
April 14:       None
April 15:       None
April 16:       0.02 inches
April 17:       None
April 18:       None
April 19:       0.16 inches
April 20:       0.15 inches
April 21:       0.29 inches
April 22:       0.04 inches
April 23:       None
April 24:       None
April 25:       0.56 inches
April 26:       0.19 inches
April 27:       0.01 inches
April 28:       0.02 inches
April 29:       0.02 inches
April 30:       None
May 1:          None
May 2:          None
May 3:          None
May 4:          None
May 5:          2.21 inches
May 6:          0.13 inches
May 7:          0.03 inches
May 8:          None
May 9:          None
May 10:        None
May 11:        None
May 12:        None
May 13:        1.60 inches
May 14:        None
May 15:        None
May 16:        None
May 17:        None
May 18:        None
May 19:        0.10 inches
May 20:        None
May 21:        None
May 22:        0.48 inches
May 23:        None
May 24:        0.02 inches
May 25:        0.72 inches
May 26:        0.74 inches
May 27:        None
May 28:        None
May 29:        0.15 inches
May 30:        0.04 inches
May 31:        0.27 inches
June 1:          None
June 2:          None
June 3:          None
June 4:          0.20 inches
June 5:          0.01 inches
June 6:          0.10 inches
June 7:          None
June 8:          None
June 9:          None
June 10:        None
June 11:        None
June 12:        None
June 13:        None
June 14:        None
June 15:        None
June 16:        0.28 inches
June 17:        0.15 inches
June 18:        None
June 19:        0.50 inches
June 20:        None
June 21:        None
June 22:        None
June 23:        0.06 inches
June 24:        0.45 inches
June 25:        None
June 26:        None
June 27:        0.16 inches
June 28:        None
June 29:        None
June 30:        0.08 inches
July 1:           0.15 inches
July 2:           None
July 3:           None
July 4:           None
July 5:           None
July 6:           None
July 7:           1.13 inches
July 8:           0.03 inches
July 9:           None
July 10:         0.02 inches
July 11:         0.23 inches
July 12:         None
July 13:         0.63 inches
July 14:         0.85 inches
July 15:         None
July 16:         None
July 17:         None
July 18:         None
July 19:         None
July 20:         None
July 21:         None
July 22:         None
July 23:         0.02 inches
July 24:         0.46 inches
July 25:         None
July 26:         None
July 27:         None
July 28:         None
July 29:         0.15 inches
July 30:         None
July 31:         None






-Rainfall: 24.9 inches
-# of Days of Measurable Precipitation:        81 days
-# of Days of No Measurable Precipitation: 131 days
-Most Rainfall in one day so far this year: 2.21 inches on May 5

Persistent,stormy weather pattern gripping the NYC area for the fourth straight month

Since the Spring 2017 season began,practically,the Jet Stream has been practically stuck in a pattern that has let the Eastern two-thirds of the US to remain persistently wet,stormy,raw and cool across two seasons now as though it's been a particularly steamy summer so far,this has led temperatures to trend near or slightly below normal this summer (Note the lack of 90-degree temps so far this summer and the fact that the highest temp for 2017 so far occurred in mid-May,just over a month before the 2017 summer season even officially started,for example). Here's the High and Low Temperature and weather stats for the city of White Plains,NY for each day since April Fool's Day; April 1,2017,as of 12AM,EDT,August 1,2017 from weatherunderground.com







April 1:                    46/36          50/34               -4/+2
April 2:                    61/37          51/35             +10/+2
April 3:                    64/36          51/35             +13/+1
April 4:                    50/44          52/36               -2/+8
April 5:                    60/42          52/36               +8/+6
April 6:                    51/39          53/35                -2/+4
April 7:                    49/39          54/36                -5/+3
April 8:                    54/38          54/36                 0/+2
April 9:                    67/33          55/37              +12/-4
April 10:                  73/41          55/37              +18/+4
April 11:                  78/48          56/38              +22/+10
April 12:                  72/52          56/38              +16/+14
April 13:                  62/44          57/39                 +5/+5
April 14:                  63/41          57/39                 +6/+2
April 15:                  60/40          58/40                 +2/0
April 16:                  85/51          58/40              +27/+11
April 17:                  70/54          59/41              +11/+13
April 18:                  63/45          59/41                +4/+4
April 19:                  53/41          59/41                 -6/0
April 20:                  66/46          60/42                +6/+4
April 21:                  52/48          60/42                -8/+6
April 22:                  56/46          60/42                -4/+4
April 23:                  65/43          61/43                +4/0
April 24:                  62/40          61/43                +1/-3
April 25:                  56/50          61/43                -5/+7
April 26:                  63/53          62/44                +1/+9
April 27:                  67/57          62/44                +5/+13
April 28:                  83/57          62/44              +21/+13
April 29:                  84/62          63/45              +21/+17
April 30:                  64/48          63/45                 +1/+3
May 1:                     70/46          63/45                +7/+1
May 2:                     74/60          64/46              +10/+14
May 3:                     63/45          64/46                 -1/-1
May 4:                     61/39          64/46                 -3/-7
May 5:                     60/48          64/46                 -4/+2
May 6:                     64/52          65/47                 -1/+5
May 7:                     54/46          65/47                -11/-1
May 8:                     55/43          65/47                -10/-4
May 9:                     58/42          65/47                 - 7/-5
May 10:                   61/45          65/47                  -4/-2
May 11:                   60/42          65/47                  -5/-5
May 12:                   61/43          66/48                  -5/-5
May 13:                   54/44          66/48                -12/-4
May 14:                   64/50          66/48                 -2/+2
May 15:                   66/52          66/48                   0/+4
May 16:                   77/55          67/49               +10/+6
May 17:                   85/57          67/49               +18/+8
May 18:                   95/71          67/49               +28/+22       (Record High Set)
May 19:                   90/62          68/50               +22/+12
May 20:                   66/48          68/50                  -2/-2
May 21:                   67/47          68/50                  -1/-3
May 22:                   59/51          69/51                -10/0
May 23:                   70/54          69/51                 +1/+3
May 24:                   70/56          70/52                   0/+4
May 25:                   58/54          71/53               -13/+1
May 26:                   74/54          71/53                +3/+1
May 27:                   73/53          71/53                +2/0
May 28:                   70/56          72/54                -2/+2
May 29:                   57/53          72/54               -15/-1
May 30:                   60/54          72/54               -12/0
May 31:                   75/55          72/54               +3/+1
June 1:                    79/55          73/55               +6/0
June 2:                    74/50          73/55               +1/-5
June 3:                    72/50          73/55                -1/-5
June 4:                    70/54          74/56                -4/-2
June 5:                    64/56          74/56              -10/0
June 6:                    56/50          74/56              -18/-6
June 7:                    68/50          75/57                -7/-7
June 8:                    70/50          75/57                -5/-7
June 9:                    81/47          75/57               +6/-10          (Record Low Set)
June 10:                  85/57          76/58               +9/-1
June 11:                  92/66          76/58             +16/+8
June 12:                  93/69          76/58             +17/+11          (Record High Set)
June 13:                  94/70          77/59             +17/+11          (Record High Set)
June 14:                  85/59          77/59               +8/0
June 15:                  77/57          77/59                 0/-2
June 16:                  68/58          77/59                -9/-1
June 17:                  74/68          78/60                -4/+8
June 18:                  86/72          78/60               +8/+12
June 19:                  84/70          78/60               +6/+10
June 20:                  85/65          78/60               +7/+5
June 21:                  82/64           79/61              +3/+3
June 22:                  85/71           79/61              +6/+10
June 23:                  82/72           79/61              +3/+11
June 24:                  82/72           80/62              +2/+10
June 25:                  81/63           80/62              +1/+1
June 26:                  78/58           80/62                -2/-4
June 27:                  79/59           80/62                -1/-3
June 28:                  79/57           81/63                -2/-6
June 29:                  82/68           81/63               +1/+5
June 30:                  87/69           81/63               +6/+6
July 1:                     84/68           81/63                +3/+5    
July 2:                     88/70           81/63                +7/+7      
July 3:                     87/67           81/63                +6/+4
July 4:                     85/65           81/63                +4/+2
July 5:                     84/66           82/64                +2/+2  
July 6:                     78/64           82/64                 -4/0
July 7:                     80/66           82/64                 -2/+2
July 8:                     84/66           82/64                +2/+2
July 9:                     81/63           82/64                 -1/-1
July 10:                   84/62           82/64                +2/-2
July 11:                   83/71           82/64                +1/+7
July 12:                   88/72           82/64                +6/+8
July 13:                   90/70           83/65                +7/+5
July 14:                   66/62           83/65                -17/-3
July 15:                   82/64           83/65                 -1/-1
July 16:                   84/64           83/65                 +1/-1
July 17:                   82/66           83/65                 -1/+1
July 18:                   86/70           83/65                 +3/+5
July 19:                   92/72           83/65                 +9/+7
July 20:                   92/72           83/65                 +9/+7
July 21:                   91/75           82/64                 +9/+11
July 22:                   84/72           82/64                 +2/+8
July 23:                   78/68           82/64                  -4/+4
July 24:                   69/61           82/64                -13/-3
July 25:                   68/58           82/64                -14/-6
July 26:                   76/58           82/64                  -6/-6
July 27:                   76/60           82/64                  -6/-4
July 28:                   85/65           82/64                 +3/+1   
July 29:                   77/59           82/64                  -5/-5
July 30:                   80/56           82/64                  -2/-8
July 31:                   86/60           82/64                 +4/-4   
        




-Highest Temperature: 95 degrees on May 18
-Lowest Temperature:  33 degrees on April 9
-# of Highs above normal:   67 days
-# of Highs right at normal:  4 days
-# of Highs below normal:   50 days
-# of Highs at least 10 degrees above normal: 18 days
-# of Highs at least 10 degrees below normal: 12 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees above normal: 12 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees below normal:  3 days
-# of Highs at least 20 degrees above normal:  6 days
-# of Highs at least 20 degrees below normal:  0 days
-# of Highs at least 25 degrees above normal:  2 days
-# of Highs at least 25 degrees below normal:  0 days
-Rainfall: 16.05 inches
-# of Days of Measurable Precipitation:       49 days
-# of Days of No Measurable Precipitation:  72 days

Persistent, unrelenting weather pattern has the NYC area persistently soggy and cool (relative to normal)

Thanks to a stubborn Jet Stream trough that has been in place virtually all spring and now into the summer,looks like the Northeastern US and the New York City metro-area,in particular,is in for one steamy,soggy,stormy summer of 2017.Here's the High and Low Temperatures compared to normal for each day since May 1,2017,for the city of White Plains,NY, in suburban Westchester,NY,as of 12AM,EDT,August 1,2017 from accuweather.com







May 1:                70/46           63/45          +7/+1
May 2:                74/60           64/46        +10/+14
May 3:                63/45           64/46           -1/-1
May 4:                61/39           64/46           -3/-7
May 5:                60/48           64/46           -4/+2
May 6:                64/52           65/47           -1/+5
May 7:                54/46           65/47          -11/-1
May 8:                55/43           65/47          -10/-4
May 9:                58/42           65/47           - 7/-5
May 10:              61/45           65/47            -4/-2
May 11:              60/42           65/47            -5/-5
May 12:              61/43           66/48            -5/-5
May 13:              54/44           66/48          -12/-4
May 14:              64/50           66/48            -2/+2
May 15:              66/52           67/49            -1/+3
May 16:              80/58           67/49          +13/+9
May 17:              85/57           68/50          +17/+7
May 18:              94/72           68/50          +26/+22   (Record High Set)
May 19:              90/62           68/50          +22/+12
May 20:              65/49           69/51             -4/-2
May 21:              68/48           69/51             -1/-3
May 22:              59/51           70/52           -11/-1
May 23:              69/55           70/52            -1/+3
May 24:              70/56           70/52             0/+4
May 25:              58/54           71/53          -13/+1
May 26:              74/54           71/53           +3/+1
May 27:              73/53           71/53           +2/0
May 28:              70/56           72/54            -2/+2
May 29:              58/54           72/54          -14/0
May 30:              61/53           72/54          -11/-1
May 31:              75/55           72/54           +3/+1
June 1:                79/55           73/55           +6/0
June 2:                74/50           73/55           +1/-5
June 3:                72/50           73/55            -1/-5
June 4:                70/54           74/56            -4/-2
June 5:                64/56           74/56          -10/0
June 6:                56/50           74/56          -18/-6
June 7:                68/50           75/57            -7/-7
June 8:                72/50           75/57            -3/-7
June 9:                81/47           75/57           +6/-10       (Record Low Set)
June 10:              85/57           76/58           +9/-1
June 11:              92/66           76/58         +16/+8 
June 12:              93/69           76/58         +17/+11      (Record High Set)
June 13:              94/70           77/59         +17/+11      (Record High Set)  
June 14:              84/60           77/59           +7/+1
June 15:              77/57           77/59              0/-2
June 16:              68/58           77/59             -9/-1
June 17:              74/68           78/60             -4+8
June 18:              85/73           78/60            +7/+13
June 19:              84/70           78/60            +6/+10
June 20:              86/64           78/60            +8/+4
June 21:              82/64           79/61            +3/+3
June 22:              85/71           79/61            +6/+10
June 23:              82/72           79/61            +3/+11
June 24:              82/72           80/62            +2/+10
June 25:              81/63           80/62            +1/+1
June 26:              78/58           80/62             -2/-4
June 27:              79/59           80/62             -1/-3
June 28:              79/57           81/63             -2/-6
June 29:              82/68           81/63            +1/+5
June 30:              87/69           81/63            +6/+6
July 1:                 84/68           81/63             +3/+5
July 2:                 89/71           81/63             +8/+8
July 3:                 87/67           81/63             +6/+4
July 4:                 85/65           81/63             +4/+2
July 5:                 84/66           82/64             +2/+2
July 6:                 78/64           82/64              -4/0
July 7:                 79/67           82/64              -3/+3
July 8:                 84/66           82/64             +2/+2
July 9:                 82/62           82/64                0/-2
July 10:               84/62           82/64              +2/-2
July 11:               83/71           82/64              +1/+7
July 12:               88/72           82/64              +6/+8
July 13:               91/69           83/65              +8/+4
July 14:               66/62           83/65             -17/-3
July 15:               82/64           83/65               -1/-1
July 16:               84/64           83/65              +1/-1
July 17:               82/66           83/65              -1/+1
July 18:               86/70           83/65             +3/+5
July 19:               91/73           83/65             +8/+8
July 20:               92/72           83/65             +9/+7
July 21:               90/76           82/64             +8/+12
July 22:               84/72           82/64             +2/+8
July 23:               78/68           82/64              -4/+4
July 24:               70/60           82/64             -12/-4
July 25:               68/58           82/64             -14/-6
July 26:               78/62           82/64               -4/-2
July 27:               76/60           82/64               -6/-4
July 28:               85/65           82/64              +3/+1
July 29:               77/59           82/64               -5/-5
July 30:               80/56           82/64               -2/-8
July 31:               86/60           82/64              +4/-4






-Highest Temperature: 94 degrees on May 18 and June 13
-Lowest Temperature:  39 degrees on May 4
-# of High Temperatures above normal:    45 days      
-# of High Temperatures right at normal:   3 days
-# of High Temperatures below normal:    44 days
 -# of Highs at least 10 degrees above normal:   7 days
-# of Highs at least 10 degrees below normal:  12 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees above normal:    5 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees below normal:    2 days
-# of Highs at least 20 degrees above normal:    2 days
-# of Highs at least 20 degrees below normal:    0 days
-# of Highs at or above 100 degrees:   0 days
-# of Highs between 90-99 degrees:    9 days
-# of Highs between 80-89 degrees:  33 days
-# of Highs between 70-79 degrees:  24 days
-# of Highs between 60-69 degrees : 18 days
-# of Highs below 60 degrees: 8 days
-Rainfall: 12.15 inches
-# of Days of Measurable Precipitation:       32 days
-# of Days of No Measurable Precipitation:  60 days

Soggy,wet,cool Spring leads to soggy,wet,muggy (and relatively cool) Summer. Persistent weather pattern lingers across 2 seasons for Northeastern US and NYC metro-area

A persistent trough in the Jet Stream over the Eastern two-thirds of the US has lingered for going on 4 straight months resulting in above normal rainfall and precipitation amounts since mid-March 2017 and now that it's lingering into the 2017 summer season,the result has been above normal rainfall totals as well as stiflingly humid,muggy conditions in the New York City tristate area in particular. Here are the Temperature and Rainfall stats for the 2017 summer season so far for the city of White Plains,NY,in suburban Westchester County,as of 12AM,EDT,August 1,2017 from accuweather.com







June 21:              82/64           79/61            +3/+3
June 22:              85/71           79/61            +6/+10
June 23:              82/72           79/61            +3/+11
June 24:              82/72           80/62            +2/+10
June 25:              81/63           80/62            +1/+1
June 26:              78/58           80/62             -2/-4
June 27:              79/59           80/62             -1/-3
June 28:              79/57           81/63             -2/-6
June 29:              82/68           81/63            +1/+5
June 30:              87/69           81/63            +6/+6
July 1:                 84/68           81/63             +3/+5
July 2:                 89/71           81/63             +8/+8
July 3:                 87/67           81/63             +6/+4
July 4:                 85/65           81/63             +4/+2
July 5:                 84/66           82/64             +2/+2
July 6:                 78/64           82/64              -4/0
July 7:                 79/67           82/64              -3/+3
July 8:                 84/66           82/64             +2/+2
July 9:                 81/63           82/64              -1/-1
July 10:               84/62           82/64             +2/-2
July 11:               83/71           82/64             +1/+7
July 12:               88/72           82/64             +6/+8
July 13:               91/69           83/65             +8/+4
July 14:               66/62           83/65            -17/-3
July 15:               82/64           83/65              -1/-1
July 16:               84/64           83/65             +1/-1
July 17:               82/66           83/65              -1/+1
July 18:               86/70           83/65             +3/+5
July 19:               91/73           83/65             +8/+8
July 20:               92/72           83/65             +9/+7
July 21:               91/75           82/64             +9/+11
July 22:               84/72           82/64             +2/+8
July 23:               78/68           82/64             -4/+4
July 24:               69/61           82/64           -13/-3
July 25:               68/58           82/64           -14/-6
July 26:               76/58           82/64             -6/-6
July 27:               76/60           82/64             -6/-4
July 28:               85/65           82/64            +3/+1
July 29:               77/59           82/64             -5/-5
July 30:               80/56           82/64             -2/-8
July 31:               86/60           82/64            +4/-4





-Highest Temperature: 92 degrees on July 20
-Lowest Temperature:  57 degrees on June 28
-# of High Temperatures above normal:   25 days      
-# of High Temperatures right at normal:  0 days
-# of High Temperatures below normal:   16 days
-# of Highs at least 10 degrees above normal: 0 days
-# of Highs at least 10 degrees below normal: 3 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees above normal: 0 days
-# of Highs at least 15 degrees below normal: 1 day       (July 14)
-# of Highs at or above 100 degrees:   0 days
-# of Highs between 90-99 degrees:    4 days
-# of Highs between 80-89 degrees:  25 days
-# of Highs between 70-79 degrees:    9 days
-# of Highs below 70 degrees: 3 days            
-Rainfall: 4.05 inches
-# of Days of Measurable Precipitation:        13 days
-# of Days of No Measurable Precipitation:   28 days

Emily to stir surf along US East Coast, Bermuda this week

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

July 31,2017, 4:58:55PM,EDT

 

 Seas and rip currents are likely to increase along part of the United States Atlantic coast as Emily is projected to strengthen during the middle and later part of this week.

Seas will build offshore of the Atlantic coast of the U.S. and around Bermuda as the week progresses. How rough surf conditions get will depend on Emily's strength and proximity to the coast.
Bathers should be alert for strong and frequent rip currents, while small craft operations may want to exercise caution outside of protected intercoastal waters from Florida to North Carolina and in Bermuda.

Rip currents and offshore seas may also build as far to the north as New Jersey, New York and Massachusetts late in the week.
Even if Emily stays far away, a northeasterly flow of air around high pressure already nearby will raise seas and surf.
Emily will weaken over the Florida Peninsula Monday night. However, Emily is likely to strengthen in Atlantic waters between Florida, North Carolina and Bermuda this week.
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There are a few development factors to consider with Emily after the system leaves Florida.
"Warm waters of the Gulf Stream and a zone of moist air will be positives for development and strengthening of Emily," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.
Negatives for development include strong southwesterly winds aloft that will control the magnitude of strengthening and alter the structure of the storm.
"Weighing these conditions, we expect Emily to regain tropical storm status a few hundred miles to the southeast of the Georgia and Carolina coasts during the middle of this week," Pydynowski said.

There is a slight chance Emily becomes a hurricane.
Strong southwest winds aloft will keep Emily moving along and act as a deterrent for the storm to make a northward turn toward the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts late this week.
Only if these winds aloft become more southerly would Emily move back over the United States after leaving Florida. Emily would have to stall along the Atlantic coast for a couple of days to be swept northward.
Emily is likely to pass north of Bermuda late in the week.
Atlantic bears watching with the peak of hurricane season ahead
August is a time of transition in the tropical Atlantic.
There are a few clusters of thunderstorms moving westward off the coast of Africa that are being monitored. One or more of these features could slowly brew.
In the short term, dry air, dust from the Sahara Desert and strong westerly winds aloft will prevent rapid organization and strengthening as has been the case in recent weeks, according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.
"However, in the coming weeks, as these negative development factors diminish, then the Atlantic could get busy in a hurry as we move toward the heart of the hurricane season," Kottlowski said.

During August and early September, the chance of tropical storm and hurricane formation increases dramatically.
The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is during the middle of September as water temperatures are at their highest level, the atmosphere is very moist and winds aloft are light.

Emily to threaten Florida with flooding, rip currents into Tuesday

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

July 31,2017, 5:04:41PM,EDT

 

 Emily will unload torrential rainfall and raise the risk of flooding and rip currents in central and southern Florida into Tuesday.

The system formed over the Gulf of Mexico, just west of Tampa, Florida, during early Monday morning. Tropical Depression Six was upgraded to Tropical Storm Emily a few hours later.
Emily moved ashore near Anna Maria Island, Florida, at 10:45 a.m. EDT Monday. Anna Maria Island is near the southern entrance of Tampa Bay.
Emily has weakened since moving inland, being downgraded to a tropical depression late Monday afternoon.

Emily will cause locally gusty winds with and without thunderstorms and create rough surf along both the east and west coasts of central and southern Florida.
A small number of the thunderstorms can produce waterspouts and brief tornadoes.
Locally strong and frequent rip currents are likely, and seas may be too rough for small craft.
However, it is the rainfall that will be the most problematic.
"Rainfall of 2-4 inches will be common, but local amounts near 8 inches are possible," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.
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Motorists should be prepared to seek an alternate route as roads that drain poorly during heavy rainfall will likely become flooded.
Major Florida cities at risk for street and poor drainage area flooding include Fort Myers, Naples, Melbourne, Orlando, West Palm Beach, Fort Pierce, Fort Lauderdale and Miami.
Conditions have improved around the Tampa Bay area and will continue to slowly improve from northwest to southeast over west-central Florida into Monday night.
"Emily will emerge along the east coast of Florida sometime on Tuesday," Pydynowski said.
Emily is likely to regain strength and could become a hurricane over the Atlantic at midweek. Rip currents and rough surf will be an issue in some locations. Tropical development in the Atlantic ramps up quickly during August.

Monsoon rainfall to threaten flash flooding in southwestern US

By Faith Eherts, AccuWeather meteorologist

July 31,2017, 2:26:05PM,EDT

 

This year’s rainy season has already proven dangerous and fatal across the southwestern United States, and the influx of dangerous weather isn’t expected to let up this week.

While a strong dome of heat remains over the northwestern U.S., storms are expected to pummel areas just outside its main area of influence this week.
“Early this week, one trend will be increasing monsoon moisture across southern and southeastern California,” said AccuWeather Meteorologist Mike Doll.
“Starting Tuesday and going into Wednesday, thunderstorms will be more evident during the afternoon and early evening in the deserts and over the mountains,” he said.

Anyone in central Colorado, eastern Arizona, New Mexico and western Texas, will also need to continue to keep an eye out for flash flooding from any storms.
Residents and tourists alike will need to keep up-to-date on the weather and adjust outdoor plans and travel accordingly as the threat of flooding rainfall continues across the Desert Southwest.
Those planning on visiting Carlsbad Caverns National Park in New Mexico, the Guadalupe Mountains in Texas or Colorado’s Mesa Verde National Park or Rocky Mountain National Park may need to adjust or postpone their plans in order to stay safe.
Shelter should be sought at the first sign of threatening weather - flooding and lightning threats are both dangers that can come on suddenly.
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Normally dry creek beds can become flooded with no warning as storms located upstream produce torrents of water.
Anyone caught on the road in heavy storms should not attempt to continue through the drenching rainfall, as visibility drops suddenly and roads can quickly flood in any storm.
Even after a storm has ended, it will be important for motorists and pedestrians to avoid trying to traverse flooded roadways.

While the greatest threat for heavy thunderstorms will be mainly across central Colorado, eastern Arizona, New Mexico and northwestern Texas early this week, the storms in California present a different threat.
“There is a concern that some thunderstorms over the mountains of Southern California will contain very little rain. The risk of lightning-sparked wildfires will increase,” warned Doll.

 

How long will tranquil conditions last in the midwestern, northeastern US?

By Renee Duff, AccuWeather meteorologist

July 31,2017, 2:49:41PM,EDT

 Although dry conditions and low humidity will grace areas from the Midwest to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast early this week, an uptick in humidity and wet weather is not far behind.

A narrow zone of isolated showers and thunderstorms will form from northern Maine to Michigan Monday night. The balance of the Great Lakes region, Ohio Valley and Northeast can expect another rainfree night.
This zone of storms will sink slightly southward on Tuesday, but a majority of the region will be rain-free once again.

The lack of wet weather early this week will allow floodwaters to recede in areas of the mid-Atlantic that were inundated with heavy rain at the end of the week. Water levels on streams and rivers will start to decline.
“However, a system is forecast to push southward through the Midwest and Northeast during the middle and latter portion of the week, bringing the return of showers and locally drenching thunderstorms,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Kyle Elliott said.
The shift in the weather pattern could lead to one or more days of wet weather in Chicago; Indianapolis; Detroit; Cincinnati and Cleveland, Ohio; Erie and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Syracuse, New York, from Wednesday to Friday.

"Steadier rain will develop across the Upper Midwest later this week as fall-like air plummets down into the Midwest," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Kristina Pydynowski.
Wet weather may hold off until the end of the week or next weekend for those along the Northeast coast.
“Areas ravaged by destructive flash flooding on Friday and Saturday can expect the greatest chance of showers and thunderstorms to return late in the week and into next weekend,” Elliott said.
Along with the risk of flooding rainfall, thunderstorms that erupt may also bring the risk of damaging wind gusts to some communities.
The swift moving nature of this storm will limit the potential for widespread flooding unlike the recent summer rainstorm that inundated the mid-Atlantic. Still, flooding can occur on a localized basis where the ground remains saturated.
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The return of wet weather may once again put outdoor plans on hold and force delays or postponements at Major League baseball games.
There will be a higher risk of slower travel on major interstates and airline delays during this time period.
A modest rise in humidity will occur prior to the approaching storm, but oppressive conditions will be kept at bay.
Temperatures and humidity will once again take a tumble in the Northeast next weekend.
"While the air behind the late-week system will be fall-like in the Midwest, the core of the cool air will not reach the I-95 corridor," AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey said.
"Temperatures may still be trimmed to a few degrees below normal and provide pleasant weather for outdoor activities."