By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist
January 16,2016; 12:11AM,EST
A storm will bring rain, ice, snow and travel problems to the northeastern United States by Saturday, but the storm may track too far off the coast for there to be a long duration of strong winds and rough seas of a nor'easter in New England.
The storm will rapidly strengthen and unleash heavy snow in Canadian Maritimes. Strong winds and rough seas will brush the region.
The heaviest precipitation with the storm in the United States will occur in the South on Friday.
Storm to tread lightly on the mid-Atlantic
In the mid-Atlantic region, several hours of drenching rain will occur along the coast with a combination of a little rain, spotty ice and wet snow over the central Appalachians during Friday night into Saturday. A wind will kick up along the beaches of the mid-Atlantic for several hours.
Precipitation will reach only the central Appalachians due to moisture from a storm swinging across the Midwest.
Areas from Richmond, Virginia, and Washington, D.C., to New York City will have occasional rain and perhaps patchy fog during Friday night. There can be enough of both to cause minor, sporadic travel delays.
Intermittent rain and drizzle can begin as a dash of sleet in the Interstate-81 and I-99 corridors from northern Virginia to Pennsylvania. However, slippery conditions are not likely in this swath.
RELATED:
Lingering cold may yield snowstorms from Chicago to NYC during late January
Multiple interstate pileups reported in midwestern, northeastern US as snow squalls strike
Officials open Bonnet Carre Spillway for the 11th time in history to mitigate Mississippi River flooding in Louisiana
As slightly colder air rotates eastward, snow showers will follow in part of the central Appalachians during Saturday.
Storm impacts to increase from New England to Canadian Maritimes
Farther north, steadier rain will fall over southeastern New England during Friday night into Saturday. This includes Hartford, Connecticut, Providence, Rhode Island, and Boston.
The storm will begin as a mixture of rain, wet snow and sleet, in part of southern and western New England, as well as upstate New York, before mostly rain and drizzle take over. The intermittent precipitation can then end as a bit of wet snow or snow showers later on Saturday.
While the storm is forecast to take an easterly jog, the zone of strong winds and pounding seas will stay east of southern New England but may clip Cape Cod with gusts to 40 mph on Saturday.
Enough cold air may be in place for accumulating snow to fall across the Berkshires.
For the NFL playoff game at Foxboro, Massachusetts, rain will have departed the scene by late Saturday afternoon.
For parts of central and Down East Maine, northern New Hampshire, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island, this will still be a significant winter storm on Saturday into Saturday night.
Enough wind and snow will occur to create difficult travel from Nova Scotia to southern New Brunswick and Down East Maine. In this area 6-12 inches (15-30 cm) of snow will fall.
From 1-6 inches of snow will fall over far northern and southern Maine to Vermont, even where some sleet and rain mix in.
Cold blast, snow potential follow Saturday storm
Another blast of arctic air will race southeastward from the Midwest to the East and South later this weekend into early next week.
Presses of colder air will trigger additional rounds of lake-effect snow.
"Lake-effect snow totals across western New York later Saturday into Sunday will be much lighter than what has fallen this week," AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rathbun said.
Snow totals will generally amount to between 1 and 6 inches downwind of the lakes into Sunday, following the 6-40 inches of snow that fell this past week.
However, from Sunday night into early next week, arctic air will sweep in and will trigger bands of heavy lake-effect snow and snow squalls. From 1 to 3 feet of snow is likely to fall in the southern snow belts of lakes Ontario and Erie.
Snow squalls can reach as far south as the Virginia mountains with the arctic press.
Another storm bears watching for the potential of wintry weather late next week.
Andrew Zack Junior ·
No
raison to panic (for now)...Last winter we really starding having major
snow event's during the second half of January 2015...witch later on
lead to one of the coldest winter's on record... 2016 might be a repeat
of last year maybe not has brutal but we shouln't let our gards down
this years winter could be a tricky one... We could very well get a
surprise Major snow event next week week we been having alot of brutal
winter's for the pas 4 years so i wouldn't be shoked if we wher to have
alot of huge monstrous Blizzards during the later parts of this year's
winter here in NJ we still had snow melting on the ground in early june
so ... Will see.
2 · 
Kevin Sealy ·
John
Watson, Thanks for the info. I still find it amazing that two of the
strongerst El Ninos we saw in NYC 1982-83 a blizzard in February and
the winter of 1997-98 the heaviest snowfall came on March 22 five
inches. But the winter season we only had one half of an inch of
snow.The seaon total was 5.5 iches.The following week we had four days
in a row with temperatures in the 80s.
James Ware ·
new
york department of forestry said that new york does have a large fire
history in regards to wildland fires . and brush fires do destroy homes
and infastructure . Some people may want to check the fire history of
new york
William Smith ·
I
would not panic all you snow-lovers out there in the northeastern US.
Remember, last year at this time, none of us had more than a few inches
of snow for the season,not even Boston.Then,that monster snowstorm hit
around January 27 where Boston got 3 FEET of snow and that set them on
their way for the 110-something inches that they ultimately got last
year.Even we in the NYC metro-area got 8 or 9 inches (not the 3 FEET
that they were expecting here as well,mind you), on our way to 50+
inches last year,so just be patient. Like one poster here said;it's only
January 13,we got 2 more weeks before
the 1-year anniversary of that monster blizzard from last year,so calm
down,snow can still be on the way,but like another poster said,some El
Nino winters are notorious for giving us,at least in the NYC area,our
lowest seasonal snowfall records to date,so this winter could still go
either way and look at last winter,the winter didn't even get started
until after Ground Hog's Day,basically (in fact,a lot of the recent
winters around here,I remember by mid-January,it was 50-something
degrees and no snow on the ground and we still got 50+ inches of snow).
James Ware ·
with the lack of snow cover it looks like ct new york are in for a active fire season this spring your thoughts ?
Kevin Sealy ·
Does
any recall when was the last El Nino winter that gave NYC an above
average snowfall. The normal snowfall for NY (Central Park) is 25-30
inches. The winter of 2001-02 an El Nino winter NY had only 3.5 inches
of snow, second from 1972-73 which was the winter with the least amount
of snowfall 2.8 inches.
John Watson
The
El Nino winters were 57-58, 65-66, 72-73, 82-83, and 97-98. 2001-2002
was not an el nino winter. 97-98 and 72-73 had very little snowfall
(well below 10 inches total). 57-58 was cold and snowy with totals in
the 30 inch range, 65-66 did get a snowstorm but below average totals,
and 82-83 got average snowfall with a major blizzard in February. The
strongest of these el ninos was 82-83 and 97-98. The following links may
be of interest:
http://www.weather.gov/.../monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
https://www.climatestations.com/new-york/
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/.../ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml
http://www.weather.gov/.../monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
https://www.climatestations.com/new-york/
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/.../ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml
John Watson
Yes
there were others I didn't list. I should have mentioned I only listed
the ones classified as strong, not moderate or weak. The intensities are
given in one of the links I provided.
Aaron Ginther ·
The
last El Nino winter was 2009-10 and that year had above average
snowfall in NYC. Likewise, the El Nino winter of 2002-03 was very busy
with well above average snowfall. El Nino's often correlate to enhanced
areas of storminess in the south and the east coast as the southern
branch gets activated. If there is cold air in place, these El Nino
fueled storm systems can dump quite a lot of snow. Every El Nino is
different, and snowfall is highly variable from year to year.
Since
the Euro model gives the more accurate forcast, It loks like the NYC
metro area will escape another snow storm. To date there has been no
measureable snowfall in NYC thanks to El Nino.
No comments:
Post a Comment