Thursday, June 8, 2017

Monsoon to bring welcomed heat relief to India into next week

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather meteorologist
By Kristina Pydynowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
June 8,2017, 9:12:29AM,EDT
Monsoonal rain is showing signs of making more progress across India into next week, but will continue to plague recovery efforts at the site of Wednesday's deadly plane crash in the Andaman Sea.
After a brief pause in advancement, a rapid surge north and westward is expected over the next seven to 10 days.
This surge will bring moisture into central India as well as a significant shift northward along the west coast.
In Mumbai, heavy monsoon rain will arrive during this time, while New Delhi may have a much longer wait.
Monsoon June 8
“Monsoon rain will reach Mumbai early next week,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.
“This will actually be a few days after the normal arrival of June 10,” added Nicholls.
While monsoon rain is expected to reach Mumbai within the next week, New Delhi and the National Capital Region will have to wait longer for the arrival of heat-ending rainfall.
The normal arrival of monsoon rain to the National Capital Region is during the second half of June, and that is expected again this year.
If a budding monsoon low in the northern Bay of Bengal were to track far enough inland next week, it could usher the monsoon rain to New Delhi quicker than normal. However, Nicholls does not expect this to happen.
While this low is expected to bring significant rainfall to northeastern and north-central India next week, according to Nicholls, New Delhi should miss out on this rainfall opportunity and have to wait at least an additional week for monsoon rain to arrive.
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Prior to the arrival of the monsoon, hot and very humid conditions will prevail in New Delhi, continuing the threat for heat-related illness.
A shower or thunderstorm may move over the National Capital Region and bring a drop in temperatures on one or two days. However, any relief would be brief with heat building back the next day.
"Even as the monsoon advances into India, there are signs that the rain may not be as intense across central and eastern areas late next week and into the following week," Nicholls said. "But then there will be a resurgence of moisture and heavier rain late June into July, when the monsoon should finally start around New Delhi."
Monsoonal rain has already commenced over the Andaman Sea, the site of Wednesday's deadly plane crash.
Wreckage and bodies were found on Thursday morning after the Myanmar military plane went missing early on Wednesday afternoon west of Dawei, Myanmar, according to The Indian Express.
Plane crash June 8
Rescue personnel carry bodies recovered by fishing vessels in the waters off San Hlan village, in Laung Lone township, southern Myanmar on Thursday, 8 June 2017. Fishermen have joined navy and air force personnel in recovering bodies and aircraft parts from the sea off Myanmar, where a military plane carrying 122 people including 15 children crashed a day earlier. (AP Photo/Esther Htusan)

Communication with the plane was lost on Wednesday at 1:35 p.m. local time. According to preliminary weather data, light rain was reported at Dawei at 12 p.m. and then at the next observation time three hours later.
The plane was carrying 122 passengers and flying from the coastal town of Myeik to Yangon, Myanmar.
Ten bodies had been recovered as of midday Thursday. Four children are among the confirmed dead.
Drenching showers and thunderstorms will continue to plague recovery efforts through at least Saturday.

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